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2008-2009
AFC NORTH - PREVIEW - ODDS - PREDICTIONS
The AFC North is such a special division that we actually have
two separate writers covering it. Ok, we're kidding. But two of our
guys just so happened to turn in previews of the ACF North, so you
get double coverage of the Browns, Steelers, Ravens and Bengals. Not
surprisingly, both of our guys are high on the Brownies this year.
Read on......
Cleveland Browns:
Odds 8-5
Head Coach: Romeo Crennel (4th year)
Off. Coord: Rob Chudzinski; Def. Coord: Mel Tucker
2007 Record: SUR 10-6, PSR 12-4, O-U 9-6-1
This team will shine this season for numerous reasons. There is
no quarterback controversy first of all. They now have more of a
potent offense courtesy of a free agency. Management did a good job
addressing their needs on defense in the off-season.
Anderson’s job is reasonably secure in 2008 despite Brady Quinn’s
full participation in minicamps. His mechanics are a slight concern
as Anderson likes to throw without planting his feet. His 4-INT
effort in a loss to Cincinnati in week 16 cost Cleveland its shot at
securing a playoff spot. Anderson’s biggest games were against the
weakest opponents – Miami, St, Louis, Cincinnati – but again it was
his first year as a starter. There’s lots of upside here. Braylon
Edwards, Kellen Winslow, and Donte Stallworth (signed in free
agency) are super-talented players. Jamal Lewis put his ankle
problems behind him and rumbled for 1,304 yards and is still barely
29 years old. The offensive line is a brick wall with LG Eric
Steinbach and LT Joe Thomas. The schedule isn’t a monster but there
are 4 brutal out-of-division games vs. Indy, Dallas, NYG, and
Jacksonville. However, 3 of those are at home.
The Browns suddenly boast a powerful defense that should curb the
run. Adding Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams to anchor the D-line was
big, literally, and they have the talent to play up to par even
though they parted with CB Leigh Bodden. And don't forget that
they'll have speedy returner Joshua Cribbs working for them.
Odds are
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Pittsburgh Steelers:
Odds 1-1
Head Coach: Mike Tomlin (2nd year)
Off. Coord: Bruce Arians; Def. Coord: Dick LeBeau
2007 Record: SUR 10-7, PSR 9-8, O-U 9-8
A few substantial personnel losses will likely make this team a
pretender instead of a contender. With a few key changes, it means
every player switches positions and this will screw up the rhythm on
both sides of the ball.
Ben Roethlisberger’s the
7th player in history to get a $100 million contract. They did lose
standout guard Alan Faneca in free agency, but Bruce Arians’ offense
is designed to get the ball out quickly. Ben better do just that,
because this offensive line is a mixed bag this year. LT Marvel
Smith, a former 2nd round pick, had a back injury last year and has
never excelled in pass protection. LG Chris Kemoeatu replaces Faneca
and he does have upside though he’s unproven. They did pick up
journeyman C Justin Hartwig, who once kicked some tail when he was
healthy in Tennessee. Rookie 4th round pick OT Tony Hills might
start on the right bookend. Roethlisberger has one of the 8 easiest
QB schedules over the first 12 weeks, but he ends tough with the
Patriots (wk 13), Cowboys (14), Ravens (15) and Titans (16) – three
of them on the road. Overall we expect Roethlisberger, one of the 3
smartest QBs in the game with Brady and Manning, to overcome the
creaky O-line and generate big numbers week-to-week. The identity of
this offense is changing from strictly power-running to passes on
1st downs and in the red zone. A 3-RB committee? Not so fast. Parker
is a proven, dynamic back who knows how to prepare for the 16-game
grind. His broken fibula was not severe. If it happened in September
he would have been back on the field before 2007 ended. We don't see
his carries suddenly drying up, in fact it might serve him well if
he got back to the 18-20 carry range. What does concern us is the
number of pay dirt carries.
The club didn't address the defense at all this offseason, losing
LB Clark Haggans and CB/KR Allen Rossum to free agency. Obviously,
one of the priorities for the Steelers is to have a tough defense,
but it's a very veteran unit at this point, and with that comes
injuries.
Cincinnati Bengals:
Odds 9-2
Head Coach: Marvin Lewis (6th year)
Off. Coord: Bob Bratkowski; Def. Coord: Mike Zimmer
2007 Record: SUR 7-9, PSR 7-9, O-U 7-9
Too much of everything has this team in turmoil. Injuries, doubts
about players’ capabilities and players causing controversy will
cause this team’s downfall.
The 2 guards are not real nimble. Rookie OT Anthony Collins
(Kansas) was a 4th rd steal. Can Levi Jones stay healthy? Should
they have drafted an OL in rd. 2? This year
Palmer’s sort of at the crossroads – he isn’t included in the elite
QB conversations, and he’s falling to the 5th round quite often.
With Chad Johnson’s pending holdout, Chris Henry already released,
and even T.J. Houshmandzadeh grumbling about money, there’s some
uncertainty here. Plus Rudi Johnson might be past his prime. OB Bob
Bratkowski was given a few new toys to play with – TE Ben Utecht, WR
Doug Gabriel, and rookie WRs Jerome Simpson & Andre Caldwell.
Last year was a nightmare for the Bengals defense thanks to
significant injuries at the linebacker position. They ranked in the
bottom third in run and pass defense (bottom 10 vs. the pass).
Moreover, the club lost stud DE Justin Smith and FS Madieu Williams
via free agency and have only DE Antwan Odom to show as a new
veteran addition (Marvin White is penciled in as the starting free
safety). Keith Rivers also qualifies at linebacker, which helps, but
that's about it. Their return game is also short on talent.
Baltimore Ravens:
Odds 6-1
Head Coach: John Harbaugh (1st year)
Off. Coord: Cam Cameron; Def. Coord: Rex Ryan
2007 Record: SUR 5-11, PSR 3-13, O-U 9-5-2
Lack of talent at key positions will be the team’s demise this
season. A perfect example: Baltimore GM Ozzie Newsome points out in
retrospect that it was a mistake to go with Boller so soon, because
young QBs require a solid supporting group (such as Roethlisberger
enjoyed). And while RB McGahee (1207 YR and 48 recs. in 2007) lived
up to expectations after his acquisition from Buffalo, the rest of
the offense struggled in 2007.
Jonathan Ogden retired, Jared Gaither (2nd yr/Maryland) steps in.
Adam Terry has ankle issues. Jason Brown is the best player but he's
switching from guard. No help in the draft. Kyle
Boller maintains his address for the 6th straight year. Boller’s
career QB rating is 72 and it doesn’t like he’ll ever get much
higher than that. Last year he started 8 games and never reached 300
yards or 3 TDs. Boller threw 3 INTs vs. Indy and looked like he’d
even regressed.
Veterans like Ed Reed and Ray Lewis are a little more injury
prone than we've been used to seeing, and linebackers Bart Scott and
Terrell Suggs are coming off down seasons. While they have a good
young returner in Yamon Figurs, the fact is that Baltimore is
rebuilding and will go through growing pains under first-year head
coach John Harbaugh.
Consensus Reports - Get all the top rated plays of all the
major sports handicapping services in the country with the
Nations #1 Football Consensus Report.
I can see it now. Fireworks are exploding, and players are
celebrating on the field. Fans are rejoicing over the first division
title since 2005. The Cincinnati Bengals are on their way to the
Super Bowl. Hey, I can dream can’t I?! In all seriousness, the AFC
North division will be ultra competitive as usual during the 2008-09
season. With the added strength of the Cleveland Browns, and the
always tough Pittsburgh Steelers winning this division will be a dog
fight. The resurgent Cincinnati Bengals also stand a chance, and you
never know what the Baltimore Ravens will end up doing. Let’s take a
look at the AFC North division and try and find the winner.
Pittsburgh Steelers - The
Steelers won the division last year after losing just one division
game, and finishing the season at 10-6. Head coach Mike Tomlin made
a good decision drafting Rashard Mendenhall in the first round.
Mendenhall is a running back and ran 4.37 40 yard dash during the
NFL Combine. He will be a great compliment to Willie Parker. Ben
Roethlisburger is coming off a career best season, with a 104.1
passer rating in 2007. The Steelers are a proven commodity and
deserve to be favored in this tough division.
Cleveland Browns -
The Brownies are going to be as tough as they ever have been in
2008.With an offensive cast that includes Braylon Edwards, Derek
Anderson, and Jamal Lewis the Browns should have no problem putting
points on the board. On the other side of the ball players like
Shaun Rodgers and Willie McGinest should provide for many exciting
plays. If they are going to compete, Cleveland needs to improve
their play on the road. In 2007 5 of their 6 losses came on the
road, 3 to teams who did not finish the season with a winning
record. The talent is there, and Cleveland could definitely pull it
off.
Cincinnati Bengals
- My hometown team has a lot of questions to answer. How will Chad
Johnson perform after his childish “trade me, trade me” tirade
during the off season? Will the defense finally stop the run? Can
Carson Palmer cut down on his career high 20 interceptions that he
threw last year? Alright, maybe im being a little overdramatic.
Palmer did throw for 4,000+ yards and didn’t have a reliable running
back to fall back on. Johnson should be fine, but you never know.
The defense should perform at a higher level with the seasoning of
Jonathan Joseph and Leon Hall. I personally believe the Bengals are
a player or two away from being the best in the division. The talent
is there and it would come as no surprise if they took the division,
but I am going to lean in another direction.
Baltimore Ravens -
Hoping to improve on their 13-3 record they racked up in 2006, the
Ravens finished the 2007 season a disappointing 5-11. The ownership
then cleaned house wiping the entire coaching staff. They retained
defensive ace Rex Ryan, and hired John Harbaugh as the head coach.
With young guys like Joe Flacco and Kyle Boller competing for the
starting Quarterback job, the Ravens offensive should improve over
the next few years. Whoever wins the role of starter will have Todd
Heap and Derrick Mason to rely on. On the defensive side of the ball
Terrell Suggs, Ray Lewis, Ed Reed will keep points off the board.
These guys could come around and make a run, but I don’t see it
happening this year. If you like them, 8-1 is a nice price.
I will be wagering on the Cincinnati Bengals. The wager will be fun
for me, since they are my favorite team and I will be watching all
of their games. I think they have an outside shot of winning the
division, and I will have fun rooting them on. Whoever you like,
make sure to check back to Bettorsworld.com for the latest
information!
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