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GEORGIA AT LSU

KEY RELEASE

10/25/08

2* Georgia +2 over LSU - It's pretty much a curse for any team to be ranked #1 in the pre season polls which is where Georgia found themselves before the season started. It's just about impossible to live up to those lofty expectations, especially when every team you face brings their "A" game as they gun for number one. Georgia is a good football team. Not great. But if last year is any indication, this team figures to get better and better as each week goes by. Remember, last year they started 4-2 and looked average at best in doing so. Then they caught fire and ripped through the 2nd have of their schedule capped off by that blowout of Hawaii in the Bowl game, all of which earned this team that pre season #1. Also remember that this is pretty much the same team. What better way to start the stretch run than with a win over the defending National Champs?

A look at these two teams body of work to date shows us they are very similar. Both were blown out by better teams. For LSU is was Florida while Alabama waxed Georgia. Otherwise, we see some big wins against weak teams, and some mediocre performances against some stiffer SEC competition. Neither team has had that break out performance. But it's Georgia that edges out LSU in many important categories. They are number one in the SEC in passing offense, total offense and rushing defense. (LSU is 5th in the SEC in rushing defense)

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Georgia has a young offensive line that has had some injuries this year but they have held their own. In watching both teams this year, we have been less impressed with LSU. We simply feel Georgia is the better all around team here team here and the stats would seem to back us up. LSU has been a great team at home over the years (have won 30 straight at home on Saturdays) but Georgia has played some of it's best football under Mark Richt on the road as they have been one of the best road teams in the nation year after year. They are 9-2 under Richt, on the road against ranked teams. Not too shabby eh? A win here puts Georgia back in the mix as far as the big picture goes, a place where many thought they should be before the season started. This week and next will determine that as next up for the Bulldogs is Florida. Ouch. Talk about a 1-2 punch. Georgia has the talent and track record to get by LSU this week setting up a huge game next week with the Gators. 2* Georgia +2

BETTING TRENDS

GEORGIA
Georgia is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games on the road
Georgia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LSU

LSU
LSU is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia