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TEXAS TECH AT KANSAS STATE

WEEKLY COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS

 

By BW Staff - Not a Key Release though we considered it!

10/4/08

Kansas State has been regarded as one of those teams that plays a bunch of nobodies early in the year, and they have not disappointed again this year, BUT when you look at Texas Tech's schedule you find it to be even worse than K-State this year. I cannot believe they are a #7 team in the nation with a 4-0 mark when they have only beaten, UMass, SMU, Nevada, and Eastern Washington, COME ON! Two of those games were not even lined games. Looking at that, K-States cupcakes don't look all that bad playing La-Lafayette, at Louisville (loss), Montana State, and North Texas. Louisville is the toughest team of the two schedules and that was on the road. Again, both horrible schedules, but at least comparable.

Taking a look at their last games, K-State allowed 500+ yards to La-Laf, mostly on the ground while outstanding QB Josh Freeman put up some good numbers in the shoot-out. They failed to cover the number but may have been peaking ahead to their Big 12 opener. Texas Tech dominated both sides of the ball against UMass 2 weeks ago and QB Harrel lit it up once again in the wide-open, pass happy attack.

 

CAROLINA SPORTS - THE BEST BIG GAME CAPPER IN THE NATION - COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR - SATURDAY


The main angle why this is a play is although K-State has given up a ton of yards on the ground, Texas Tech is not a running team, with its style of offense. I don't think they will change up there overall attack to take too much advantage of this. Secondly, K-State is at home and is getting points. I may be stretching a bit too far on this one but getting points in a Big 12 where the middle teams haven't defined themselves yet is good enough for me. We all know what Texas, Mizzou, Kansas, Oklahoma, the big dogs, can do but after that there is a drop off to mediocre teams in the Big 12 where any team can win against the other. Tech may be the best of the average teams for now until they can prove me wrong. I see this being a shoot-out game where the last team with the ball scores, and getting points in that situation does bring tremendous value to the table. Kansas State +7 (-105) There are some 7.5's and 8's out there too. Texas Tech 34, Kansas State 31

Bonus Play
A quick total look from he Big 10...Indiana at Minnesota, Total is set at 58.
Indiana and Minnesota have combined for an average of 69 points the last 7 years they have played each other. And this years squads look about the same for a high scoring shoot out in the dome. Both teams are averaging in the 50's for their games this year so far. Not much D for either team and decent offenses equals points. No weather to factor in either in the dome. OVER 58 Indiana/Minnesota.

 

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