WEEK ONE - THE
BEST OF THE REST
If you missed any of our Key Releases you can always
check them out
Or, to get them before they hit the web, simply sign up for the
email newsletter at the bottom of this page. Aside for our Key
Releases each week, our staff will also offer picks and predictions
on a few other matchups of interest. We'll try and also cover
all the rest of the games touching briefly on most. That is what we
have here on this page.......the best of the rest if you will.
Syracuse +11.5 over
Northwestern - Anyone remember when Syracuse was a force
to be reckoned with? That would have been back in 2001 when they
went 10-3. It's been all down hill since with the last 3 years being
downright pathetic. The gap between them and the "good teams" has
been huge. They weren't even close in their games against good teams
last year and were hammered by the two Big 10 teams they faces,
Illinois and Iowa. Northwestern was no prize either though. They
were 6-6 and better than Syracuse, still losing to Illinois and
Iowa, but coming closer then Syracuse did. So, yeah, Northwestern
figures to be a little better than Cuse, but perhaps not 11.5
better. Their 6 wins a year ago were either against bad teams or
were by narrow margins. Syracuse is in desperation mode which makes
them a dangerous dog here. Northwestern simply not good enough to be
laying big numbers with. We'll look for Syracuse to be an improved
team this year and keep this one close.
Memphis +7.5 over
Bookmaker.com was the first to post
a line on this game and they opened it up Ole Miss -10. Wow. Even at
+7.5 there may be some value left with the dog. This game has been
decided by 2, 3, 4 and 7 the last 4 years. Both teams lost starting
QB's and both return a healthy number of starters from a year ago.
So why the big number on a team that was 3-9 a year ago? Granted Ole
Miss plays a much tougher schedule and played some great teams close
last year. But with new coach Houston Nutt coming in it may take
some time to get things running smoothly. Which makes a nice setup
for the dog here in a series that's historically close as it is.
Western Michigan +14 over
Nebraska - Historically speaking, you'd look at this one
and figure, Nebraska against the MAC, no contest. They have played
MAC teams 4 times and won by an average 30 points per game. But last
year Nebraska hosted Ball State and as -23 point favs came away with
a narrow 41-40 win. Western Mich also hosted Ball St losing 27-23.
Hmmmm....not much of a difference eh? W Mich has their entire team
intact from a year ago while Nebraska has plenty of new faces. This
is no strong play, but give the Broncos a shot here to keep it
bet the games early like the pro's? Bookmaker.com is the first to
post lines each week! Catch a bargain every Sunday Night!!
Tulsa -13.5 over UAB
- There are two things we hate to do. Lay big numbers, and go
with the public on a game. Which is why this particular game is on
this sheet, and not our key release sheet. But sometimes you're left
with little choice. UAB was simply a bad team the last couple of
years. Matter of fact Tulsa had a season high day on offense a year
ago when they met with Tulsa taking that one 38-30. The Tulsa
offense remains intact this year with the exception of one key
position.......QB. That could be a problem, particularly early in
the year. Otherwise, this is one potent offense that scores buckets
of points year after year. Can UAB keep up? Doubtful.
Louisiana Tech +8 over
Mississippi State This one is the game I see as a
possible upset special of the day. The line opened at Miss State
-9.5 and quickly dropped down to 8 as somebody is seeing what I see,
but caught it much earlier. What I see here is an overrated MSU team
vs. and underrated Bulldog team going toe-to-toe in a close
hard-fought battle. La Tech was 5-7 last year and hung with Hawaii
and Boise State at home, obviously the league's best team. Transfer
QB, Taylor Bennett, from Georgia Tech steps in as a veteran play
caller in a quick La Tech offense that returns both RB's and WR.
O-Line is also has 3 returning starters. The La Tech defense has
improved since HC Dooley showed up improving in the last two
The Bulldogs of Missy State struggled on the road last year and were
8-5 with wins vs. Gardner Webb, Tulane, and UAB making up 3 of those
8. 15 starters return for the Bulldogs and I am sure their are high
expectations. Without breaking it down any further, the basic
premise is that they may be overlooking a sneaky La Tech bunch who
may jump up and make it closer than they think.
This is one of those that a lot of players circle as a possible easy
win for Missy State, and I did too ,until I dug deeper for some
value. I bet that the line may jump back up before kick off but I
would gladly take the 8 and be happy confident that this one won't
be decided until the fourth quarter.
Mississippi State 21, Louisiana Tech 20.
New Mexico +7 over TCU
- Last year TCU shut out New Mexico 37-0 but that score
really not indicative of the different between these two teams. A
look at common opponents suggests that the talent level between
these two much closer than that one game. TCU in better shape with
returning starters but REVENGE can be sweet in college football,
especially when your a touchdown home dog.
Washington State +7 over
Oklahoma State - I still can't get last years epic
collapse by Oklahoma State against Texas out of my mind. The
Oklahoma State defense is, well, never very good. Of course Washing
State nothing to write home about either. But with defense never
being a priority for the Cowboys, it opens the door for covers which
is why we'll take a shot with the home dog here. Just a weak opinion
Minnesota -8 over Northern
Illinois - 1-11 a year ago Minnesota takes on 2-10 a year
ago Northern Illinois. We mentioned defense in our write up in
the game above this one, so how about Minny last year........last in
the nation!! We really have zero interferes in this one but will
lean towards Minnesota simply based on strength of conference alone.
Hey, while they both lost almost every game a year ago, Minny lost
to better teams!! : )
Pittsburgh -12.5 over
Bowling Green - Man do we hate to be on the same side of
lopsided public games. The public is all over Pitt here and we're
going to join them. Going against the public is a good strategy but
you can't do it blindly. The public may be right 50% of the time.
There's a lot of winners in that 50%. Sometimes you just gotta join
the party. This looks to be a do or die year for Wannstedt and the
Panthers. Pitt looks like a team ready to make their move. They
showed all the classic signs of being "on the verge" a year ago
topped off with their win over West Virginia to end the year.
Meanwhile Bowling Green was 8-5 but against a very weak schedule and
with losses such as a 47-14 loss to Miami Ohio sticking out like a
sore thumb. The talent level looks to be huge here. If this is a
break out year for Pitt, they win this one by 14+.
Florida -35 over Hawaii
- No real interest here, but this one could get ugly. Sure Hawaii
had a great season a year ago but their schedule basically consisted
of playing the little sisters of the poor each week. Can you say
WEAK. They were exposed in their bowl game when Georgia hammered
them 41-10. Florida meanwhile, is always loaded and returns everyone
from a year ago (Hawaii lost virtually everyone). Only the margin is
in doubt here. A few years ago Hawaii opened up at home against USC
and lost 63-17. For this game they travel from Hawaii all the way
across the country and down to Florida. Forgetaboutit. ROMP!
Michigan State +5 over Cal
- Have to go with a competitive Michigan State team here.
Both of these squads were 7-6 a year ago but they got to that mark
in very different ways. Cal was ranked as high as #2 in the nation a
year ago before they stumbled down the stretch losing 5 of 6 and
capped off with a loss to Stanford. Meanwhile Mich State was
competitive every time they took the field last year and against
some damn good teams. With healthy bunch of retuning starters at all
the key positions, look for the Spartans to turn some of those close
losses from a year ago into W's this year. State can win this one
straight up making the points well worth taking here.
Kentucky +3.5 over
Louisville - Kentucky was on the losing end of this one
for 4 straight years and 7 of the last 9 but finally broke through
last year in a come from behind 40-34 win that really jump started
the Wildcat season. Last years was a special one for Kentucky,
likely not to be duplicated anytime soon. Gone are the stars that
made last year special. But Louisville was simply terrible and
sported a defense that couldn't stop a pee wee team. The talent on
these two teams is at best, equal. Some of that confidence from a
year ago should spill over for Kentucky though. We see this as a
toss up so we'll bite and grab the points here.
Colorado State + 11 over
Colorado - Why not. This series is always decided by a TD
or less, isn't it? Sure, Sonny Lubick is gone at State and he played
an important role in those close games and Colorado does look to be
a team on the rise. But until it becomes blatantly obvious that
there's a wide gap in talent here, we have to back the home dog in a
historically close series.
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