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Yankees Angels ALCS Betting Trends

10/14/09

Gotta love it. Brisk October Nights. Playoff baseball and the New York Yankees. You either love them or you hate them. But it just doesn't seem like the post season unless they are there. Fortunately, this year they are, which brings plenty of juice to this years ALCS. Plus, dare to dream.....how great would it be to see Joe Torre face his old team in the World Series!

From a betting standpoint you have to take a long hard look at the La Angels here. Not just to win the series but in each game that they are an underdog as well. The prices on the Yankees are inflated, simple as that. There's no way the Yankees should be an almost 2-1 favorite in any individual game or in the series itself. Keep that in mind before you pluck down your Benjamin's. Now let's take a look at some betting trends for the series.

It’s been a while since the New York Yankees made a World Series and you need to go back nine years since they captured one, but the sports betting public is having a difficult time seeing anyone beating them this year.

The Yankees were dominant in the regular season (103-59 record) and continued that pace to start the 2009 post-season, sweeping the Minnesota Twins 3-0 in their American League Divisional Series.

It won’t be a straight path to the World Series however as the Yanks now face the Los Angeles Angels, who were 97-65 in the regular season and also can boast of an ALDS sweep, taking down the Red Sox 3-0.

Online sportsbooks have the Yankees as the odds-on faves to win the World Series at -125, while the Angels are +350 to win it all.

Game 1 of the American League Championship Series goes on Friday and the series price on the Pinstripes is -180 while it is +160 for the Angels.

CC Sabathia will start for the home team Yanks, who are -170 faves in Game 1, and John Lackey will do the same for the Angels, who are +155 with a Total of 8.5.

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Betting Trends:

In the Angels’ last nine visits to Yankee Stadium, there have been 7 Overs and 2 Unders.

The Yanks broke open the bank for Sabathia in the offseason and he has paid dividends. In CC’s last 20 home starts, New York has gone 15-5 straight up and in his last eight home starts, the Bronx Bombers are 8-0.

Sabathia’s last eight home starts have also produced 1 Over and 7 Unders.

Lackey has not been particularly strong in the month of October when it comes to wins and losses. In his last eight outings in that month, the Angels have gone 2-6 SU.

Under bettors have cashed in though, as his last 11 October outings have yielded 1 Over and 10 Unders.

Sabathia is a southpaw and in the Angels’ last 12 games against lefties, they are 10-2 SU and in their last 10 against LHPs, they have posted 1 Over and 9 Unders.

Lackey is a right-hander and the Yanks have been almost as impressive in their last 10 against righties going 8-2 SU with 2 Overs, 7 Unders, and a Push.

The sports betting public has been betting the Yankees and the Under in the early wagering action at online sportsbooks. The Yankees are seeing 75% of the money and the Under is getting 65% so far.

After seeing the Boston Red Sox capture a couple of World Series titles the past few seasons, you know Yankees fans are pining for another championship.

We’ll find out if they can keep rolling starting this Friday.

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