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AFC South NFL Preview
Odds - Picks - Team Analysis
2010-2011
The AFC South wasn't much of a race last year. The Indianapolis Colts completely
dominated their foes en route to a 14-2 regular season record and a trip to the
Super Bowl where they faltered against the Saints. The Colts are back with
nearly every starter intact and will be tough to beat. The Houston Texans made a
late playoff push, but just missed. They will be strong this year. The Tennessee
Titans will be much closer to the team from two years ago then the one that
started with many losses in 2009. The Jaguars have lots of young offensive
players that will make their games exciting.
Here are the current odds to win the AFC South courtesy of sportsbook.com
Colts -250
Texans +375
Titans +450
Jaguars +1800
Let's take a look at the AFC South for 2010.
Indianapolis Colts - How do you top a 14-0 start and a trip to the
Super Bowl? Well, the Colts can do it by finishing 16-0 and actually winning the
Super Bowl. I know, easier said than done. In reality, a 12-4 record would be
plenty good enough for this team to win the South. 13-3 Would probably get them
home field advantage. The Colts are VERY capable of doing that.
Superstar QB Peyton Manning will be as good as ever in 2010. The Tennessee grad
is one of the most prolific passers in the history of the game, and he will be
motivated to win the big one this year after coming so close and failing last
year. His best weapon, Reggie Wayne, is back and healthy. The running game will
be better after finishing 32nd last year thanks to Donald Brown. The UCONN alum
will make his presence known. The defense has studs in Mathis and Freeney. Look
for the Colts to have this division on lockdown by Week 10. That being
said, at odds of -250 at most
top sportsbooks, there's simply no value in betting on the colts to win the
AFC South.
Houston Texans - After rallying at the end of the year this club
missed the playoffs with a 9-7 record. This year they are better than ever with
good depth through the second string. QB Matt Schaub isn't the best in the NFL,
but his top WR is the best in the league at his position. WR Andre Johnson has
explosive speed and catching ability. He will catch over 100 passes despite
double coverage. WR Kevin Walter is an effective pass catcher. The offense will
need more production from RBs Steve Slaton and Ben Tate. Slaton is coming into
this year after an injury in 2009 and Tate is a rookie. The defense has strong
players in LB Brian Cushing and DE Mario Williams. Cushing will miss the first
four games of the year with a suspension. Williams had 9.5 sacks last year. It's
not out of the question for him to get more in 2010. Connor Barwin will be a
valuable tool on the defensive line when he is able to start. He was drafted in
the second round back in 2008. The Texans have the ability to lock down a wild
card spot, but knocking out the Colts is a tall order.
Jacksonville Jaguars - Last year this team would've been better
described as "The Maurice Jones-Drew Show". The powerful RB rushed for over
1,300 yards. He and the rest of the team are hoping others on the offense
contribute this year. That is very likely. Though he has struggled lately, David
Garrard is a capable NFL QB. The offensive line, Eugene Monroe in particular,
will be improved. Monroe, last years 1st round pick, has the potential to be one
of the best blockers in the NFL. Mike Sims-Walker is clearly the best WR on the
team. Look for him to lead the Jags in receptions. The front office did good by
drafting defensive players. The line will be stronger this year. All in all,
this team isn't quite there yet, but could be in the near future if it develops
an identity on defense and allows someone other than Jones-Drew to produce on
offense.
Tennessee Titans - Fret not, Titans fans. Your team won't start
nearly as miserably as they did in 2009. They ended the year stronger than
expected. Fisher is no slouch and he will have these boys ready to play. Fisher
has arguably the best RB in the NFL in Chris Johnson. This team would be nowhere
without Johnson. He just keeps on going and rushes for over 100 yards nearly
every game. QB Vince Young is a capable scrambler, but he needs to become a
better pro-style QB this year. There is no reason to believe he won't. The
defense on this team boasts a nasty secondary anchored by Ss Michael Griffin and
Chris Hope. Tony Brown will be a force on the defensive line. He has great speed
for his size and he can shoot the gaps well. Remember, the Titans were one of
the better teams in the entire NFL the year before last. They have one of the
best coaches in the NFL, and they finished the year strong a year ago. The
Titans would be our upset pick to win the South.
There is little reason to believe the Colts won't win the AFC South. But this is
the NFL, where teams can go from worst to first in one year. You also have a
couple of teams in the Texans and Titans that finished the year strong and are
plenty capable. It's never easy in the NFL when you have a bulls eye on your
back. But with odds around 4/1 or so on both of those teams, we see little value
in the futures wager to win the AFC South. If you feel that strongly about
either team, you'll find far more value in individual games than in this
particular futures bet.
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