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Baylor vs. Colorado

Betting Line: Baylor -1 o/u 54.5

10/16/10

 

The Baylor Bears haven't been to a Bowl games in ages. Heck, the most games they won in any season this decade was 5 one year. Otherwise, you'll find several 3 and 4 win seasons. But there are different kinds of 4 win seasons. In the past, the 4 win seasons included wins over cream puffs, and blow out losses to any "good" teams on the card. But under Art Briles, they have had a couple of 4 win seasons where they have been competitive when They have stepped up in class.

Four games into the 2010 season Baylor already has 4 wins. Now we get to see if they can close the deal. But there is a glaring problem facing them after this weeks game. Specifically, a schedule that includes Kansas State, Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas AM and Oklahoma. That makes this weeks game against Colorado all the more important. This team needs two more wins against the teams listed above. Colorado looks to be their best chance of the remaining teams, to grab a win, at which point they'll have to spring one upset the rest of the way to find their way into a Bowl game.

We are not impressed with Colorado this year. This was a do or die year for Dan Hawkins and while he is still very much alive at 3-2, his team hasn't looked good in the process. They knocked off Colorado State 24-3, but keep in mind Colorado State is one of the weaker teams in all of college football. Their win against to Hawaii wasn't easy and they were blown out by Cal and shut out by Missouri.

Baylor was a hot play last week, everyone loved them over Texas Tech but they failed to deliver. They did however, go toe to toe with Tech and other than the bad loss to powerhouse TCU, this team has found the end zone over and over again this year.

Last year Baylor beat Missouri and only lost to Nebraska 20-10. Progress has been made here but it's crucial that this program take the next step in that progression. That next step would be beating Colorado, a team they figure to be every bit as good as, likely better. Again, it doesn't get any easier after this week putting even more importance on this one. 

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The Baylor defense didn't hold up last week against Tech and a few weeks prior against TCU. But if you're looking for positives, consider that they gave up just 3, 6, 13 and 7 in their other 4 games and coach Briles promises we won't see a performance like last week again.

Colorado will have to contend with Baylor QB Robert Griffin who ranks fourth nationally in total offense with a 329-yard average, and is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,735 yards and 13 touchdowns, with just two interceptions.

Colorado has a yards per point number offensively of 18 and a defensive number of 14, neither of which is good. Baylor has a 14 offensively and a 19 defensively, good on both sides of the ball, while they are also +5 in turnover margin to Colorado's -1.

This is huge game for Baylor. There are no games left on their schedule that we can confidently say they are better than. If they lose here, they are going to look back at seasons end at the Tech game and this one as the two that got away and cost them the season.

We like our chances this week with Baylor. We have them winning the game by almost two touchdowns here so we'll go ahead and lay the -1 with a team that appears on the rise against a team that appears on the decline. Baylor -1

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