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Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens

Betting Line: Ravens -7 O/U 38.5

by

John J. Raspanti

10/10/10


Both the Broncos (2-2) and the Ravens (3-1) are coming off big victories last weekend. The Bronco's defeated the Titans 26-20 on a Kyle Orton touchdown pass with less then two minutes to play. The Ravens stunned the Steelers 17-14 on an 18-yard scoring pass from quarterback Joe Flacco to T.J. Houshmandzadeh with 32 seconds remaining. Visiting Denver is leaning more and more on quarterback Orton's right arm. There rushing game is mostly non-existent, with Knowshon Moreno averaging less the 3 yards a carry. (Moreno is listed as questionable) On the other hand or arm Kyle Orton is rolling, completing 67 percent of his passes with six scores. Amazingly the Bronco's are the number one team in the league through the air with an average of 339 yards a game. Orton's favorite target is wide receiver Brandon Lloyd who's once erratic career is definitely picking up. Lloyd is averaging 18 yards a catch. Eddie Royal has caught 25 balls and Jabar Gaffney 22. The Bronco's defense has been average at best with corner Champ Bailey being his usual shutdown self. Linebacker D.J. Williams leads the team with 30 tackles.

Every year the Ravens defensive unit can be overpowering and intimidating. This year is no different as there allowing only 235 yards per game. Old pro Ray Lewis has 40 tackles already this season plus a sack. Safety Dawan Landry has 26 tackles and has played consistently. Offensively Joe Flacco had his second straight good against the Steelers. Flacco completed 24 of 37 passes for 256 yards and the game winning score, showing real poise and confidence. Running back Ray Rice has gained 230 yards while backup Willie McGahee is not doing very well averaging only 2.5 yards a carry. Flacco has a real stud in wide receiver Anquan Boldin who has caught 27 passes for 355 yards and two scores. Todd Heap has 17 catches, and Derrick Mason 13.

The Ravens will be keying on the Bronco's short passing game, with Ray Lewis roaming the middle. This is the second consecutive road game for the Bronco's, hard to win two games in a row on the road in the NFL. The Ravens with Joe Flacco playing well, should win here.

The Ravens aren't exactly lighting up the scoreboard. Combined with their defense, the under looks like the way to go here.

Broncos/Ravens under 38.5

 

DENVER

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Baltimore
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

BALTIMORE

Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Denver
Baltimore is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

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