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Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets
Betting Line: Jets -6 o/u 42 Reduced Juice Wagering Lay -105 or
LESS Only at
5Dimes.com!
By
John J. Raspanti
The Pack (4-3) is coming off an emotional victory over their NFC north rivals
the Vikings. Despite numerous injuries and penalties, they find themselves tied
with the Bears for first place in their division. For their trouble, they get to
travel to New York and face a very feisty and well-rested Jets team. Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers has completed 63 percent of his passes and thrown for twelve
touchdowns. Rodgers also has nine interceptions. The interceptions are troubling
especially when facing an athletic Jet secondary. Running back Brandon Jackson
is gaining a little over four and half yards a carry. Wide receivers Greg
Jennings and Donald Driver have played well. Driver has been battling a groin
injury that has slowed him down a bit.
He still leads the team in receptions
with twenty eight. Jennings has scored five touchdowns. Losing explosive wide
receiver Jermichael Finley for two months was a major blow. The Packer defense
is led by hard hitting sack artist Clay Matthews. Linebacker A.J. Hawk has fifty
nine tackles while Charles Woodson has forty five plus two forced fumbles. The
unit has struggled somewhat against the run and is ranked 18th overall.
The Jets (5-1) come strutting back to the city raring to go. Linebacker David
Harris and safety Jin Leonhard are the statistical leaders in tackles. Eric
Smith and Jason Taylor both have three sacks. The Jet defense has been more
solid then spectacular this year. They've been burned late in games and played
inconsistently at times. Offensively quarterback Mark Sanchez has thrown nine
touchdown passes with only two interceptions. LaDainian Tomlinson continues to
run like he did five years ago. He's gained 490 yards with an average of over
five yards a carry. Sanchez likes wide receivers Dustin Keller and Braylon
Edwards. Keller has fives touchdowns and Edwards four. The Jets are only
averaging 175 yards a game though the air. On the ground its 159 yards a game.
The Packers will be focusing on stopping the run. Is this a good strategy? Young
quarterback Sanchez has improved quite a bit this year.
We see the home team Jets coming out like gangbusters. It will be up to the
Packer defense to keep them in check. This could be a tall order. The Pack must
strike first. They have to get some momentum and knock the Jets down a peg. The
Jets D will be pressuring Rodgers big time trying to force turnovers. They might
get a few. It's been a tough year to predict games (see Raiders 59 Broncos 14)
but we feel pretty confident that Jets will win this one.
Last year we felt the Jets were big overachievers. They were an 8-8 team that backed into the playoffs and got on a roll. They were a good team, but there were better. This year, it's a different story. At this early stage of the NFL season, it's safe to say the Jets are one of the better teams in the NFL.
This week they face a Packer team that can also claim to be among the best in the NFL this year. Both teams have some very good yards per point numbers on both sides of the ball. But with the Packers coming off of such an emotional game a week ago, and the Jets rested, it looks to be a good spot for the Jets.
The Jets lead the NFL in turnover margin at +10. They are #2 in the NFL in rushing and they are #4 in the NFL defending the run. Those 3 stats are among the most important for a winning football on any level, be it Pop Warner or the NFL. With that in mind, we're going to go ahead and lay the number here with the Jets. At -6, the number is a tad too high for us to get involved in a serious way. At -3, we'd be very interested in the Jets. At -6, it's just a light recommendation. Jets -6