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Troy vs. Middle Tennessee
Tuesday Night Football
10/5/10
The Troy Trojans could easily be undefeated. They started the season with a
win over Bowling Green, then narrowly lost 41-38 against Oklahoma State. After
that they lost to UAB 34-33. In week three they downed Arkansas State 35-28.
Both of their losses came on the road. Now they will have to travel once again.
This time they will play the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.
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The Blue Raiders
boast the 32nd best rushing game in the FBS. They lost to Minnesota 24-17 to
start the year and are currently 2-2 overall. Who is going to come out on top in
this Tuesday Night Football matchup? Let's find out!
The Troy Trojans have underperformed from an ATS viewpoint. They are just 1-3
ATS and failed to cover a big spread against Bowling Green. They were 2-5 on the
road ATS in 2009. Middle Tennessee was 4-1 ATS at home last year. Troy won the
meeting between these two 31-7 in 2009. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 ATS in 2010.
Both of these teams want a win in conference play, so expect a good game.
The Trojans of Troy were 9-4 with a 44-41 loss to Central Michigan in the GMAC
Bowl in 2009. Many of the key cogs from that team are gone, but a solid core
remains. Troy is known throughout college football as a scrappy team and they
will give everyone their best shot. That includes Middle Tennessee. Getting
their first road win after two upsetting losses starts with freshman QB Corey
Robinson. The Paducah, KY native leads the 6th best passing offense in the FBS,
statistically speaking. He had 404 passing yards 2 TDs in this teams 34-33 loss
to UAB. He also played well against Oklahoma State. Road environments aren't
hindering the play of this star freshman.
HC Larry Blakeney is in his 19th year, and his defense runs a 4-3 scheme. With
lots of young faces on the defense, it has hasn't been working. That is mostly
is mostly attributable to lack of personnel. The Trojans are giving up a
monstrous 459 total yards per game. They won't win many football games if they
can't correct themselves here. Doing so on the road won't be easy.
The Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee have their biggest game of the young season
this week. They will be eager to try and get a win. That starts with their
powerful rushing game. That rushing game is led by senior Phillip Tanner. The
Dallas, TX native has racked up 309 yards and 5 TDs on 50 attempts. Junior D.D.
Kyles is also an important cog in the offense. He has got 220 yards and 4 TDs on
20 touches this season. They should be licking their chops in anticipation of
playing the weak Troy defense. They should have no problem pounding the rock up
and down the field all day long.
The Middle Tennessee defense is bad, but not as bad as Troys. They are giving up
an average of 352 yards per game. Until their last game when they sacked the QB
an amazing 7 times, they were not getting pressure on opposing QBs. Winning this
game could be contingent on their ability make problems for the Trojans freshman
QB. Nobody likes to get hit, and that goes especially for those who haven't
really been hit before. Namely, freshman quarterbacks.
This game will be exciting to watch because it looks like it will be a shootout.
Both offenses know how to get points on the board, although they are different.
Troy will seek to win with an air attack, while Middle Tennessee wants to keep
it on the ground. The winner of this game will be the team that is able to get
the most stops from their defense.
This line opened up Mid Tenn -2.5 and has been bet up to -3. We think Mid
Tenn will have a little more in the offensive tank than Troy here. Mid Tenn wins
a game that likely sees close to 70 points scored.
Mid Tenn -3 Predicted score 42-31