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Florida International vs. Arkansas State Tuesday Night Football Pick

10/18/11

Arkansas State hosts Florida International Tuesday night in a Sun Belt Conference matchup between a couple of 4-2 teams. Arkansas State is a -3.5 point favorite in a series that has seen the home team win the last 4. As of Monday morning there is no total posted.

Ah, Tuesday night football. A bookmakers dream. It's the only game in town and square bettors will come out in droves feeling forced to flip a coin one way or the other just to have some action on the game. Count us among those who wish there were only games on Saturday and Thursday. We're reaching the time of year where there will soon be a game each night of the week.

On a Saturday, a game like this could get overlooked. Maybe an injury wouldn't become known to the masses until game day or something along those lines. But under the bright lights, everything is magnified, even for a Sun Belt Conference game.

These two teams have put up very similar numbers this year. They are almost identical in points scored, points allowed, yardage gained and given up as well as yards per point offensively and defensively. Florida International stepped up in class against Louisville and won on the field. Arkansas State stepped up twice, against teams a bit better than Louisville, Illinois and Virginia Tech, and lost decisively both times.

Sometimes, in the sports betting game, actually, often times, the oddsmakers post the correct number and you simply have to pass the game. We feel that's the case here. Having said that, we know many of you will make a play on this game either way. So, our best guess here is to go with Arkansas State. This is a series that has favored the home team where Arkansas State is 2-0 and playing only it's 3rd home game this year. They have revenge working for them off last year's 31-24 loss at FIU and they have already equaled last seasons win total making them one of the most improved teams in the Sun Belt. It's a weak call but we'll side with Arkansas State and you may be able to get -3 or better. Arkansas State -3 or better

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