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Texas vs. UCLA Pointspread Pick with Betting Preview
9/17
Last week in Texas it was McCoy to the rescue. No, not Colt McCoy. His little brother Case! McCoy and freshman David Ash shared the QB duties after starter Garrett Gilbert proved to be ineffective and it was McCoy who led the winning drive in a game that was pretty much dominated by BYU most of the 1st 3 quarters.
This week, Texas Travels to California to take on UCLA with the first crack at revenge from last year. It was UCLA who came into Texas and embarrassed the Longhorns 34-12 last year, their first of 7 losses on the year. Texas opened as a 3 point road favorite and has been bet up to -3.5 and -4 in spots. Apparently bettors feel as though they can trust this young Texas team in the road favorite role.
Texas fans aren't used to mediocrity. After their 13-1 season in 2009, this team went 5-7 a year ago and suffered losses to teams that at one time unimaginable. They lost to Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas State and Texas AM for example. They had their moments as well. They hung with Oklahoma and they beat Nebraska but all in all it was an embarrassing year to be a Long Horn fan.
This is a young Texas team. They played 18 true freshman in their opener, the most ever under Mack Brown. They have obvious problems at QB combined with the inexperience of the team as a whole. There is plenty of talent on this Longhorn team, but it may take a while to get that talent to perform up to the level they are capable of.
We'd really love to be able to have a strong opinion on UCLA in this spot. Unfortunately, an opening day loss to Houston and barely getting by San Jose State is preventing us from that. Just not sure if we can trust the Bruins. This is the year significant progress must be shown if Neuheisel is going to stick around. He's in his 4th year. This team is his now. His first year was 4-8. 7-6 in year #2 followed up by 4-8 last year. Anything less than 7 wins and Neuheisel is in a world of trouble.
UCLA is loaded with returning starters. Logic would tell us that, after beating Texas by 22 points last year, this UCLA team would be in position for a repeat performance against this young Texas team. But logic would also suggest that UCLA would have a much more impressive first two games of the season. But they didn't.
This comes down to a game between two teams we feel we can't trust. The betting public is currently backing Texas to the tune of 71% so we're going to go ahead and go the other way. We'll take the home underdog Bruins to make it two straight over Mack Brown and the Texas Longhorns. UCLA +3.5
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