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College Football Pick
Kansas State continues to roll and find themselves at the No. 2 spot in the BCS rankings and favored by -9.5 points this week, at 5 Dimes Sportsbook. They haven't found much competition in home games this year, beating Miami (FL) by 39 points, Kansas by 40 points and Texas Tech by 31 points. They have scored at least 50 points in five of eight games this season. Oklahoma State will have their hands full when they travel to Manhattan this weekend. The Cowboys have looked good lately, but in their two road games this season, they haven't been as hot losing at Arizona by 21 points and barely beating Kansas 20-14. This will be another difficult road game for OK St. ote that the a incredible 99% of the action at Sportsbook.ag is on Kansas State!
In last year's game in Stillwater, the home team was victorious 52-45 in a back and forth game that didn't have a winner until the final minutes. Obviously, without Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon, the Cowboys have not been able to score like that all year. In addition, the Wildcats defense has improved from a year ago. Collin Klein totaled 375 yards and four TDs in that game and will likely have another successful day as the Heisman favorite. With the way K State has played at home this season, it's a wonder why they currently only sit as 9-point favorites.
No one has been able to stop the Wildcats offense all season. Klein has 28 total TDs and 2,264 total yards. The big thing is that he hasn't thrown an interception since the third game of the year against North Texas. Hand in hand with that is his 70.9% completion percentage which is up 13 points from last season. Running back John Hubert has kind of taken a backseat to Klein in the media, but he's having a great season of his own. Hubert has 722 rushing yards and 10 TDs. Tyler Lockett and Chris Harper continue to be Klein's top targets and they both have 453 yards a piece.
In OK State's previous games against high-powered offenses, they didn't end too well. They gave up 59 points to Arizona and 41 points to Texas. Unfortunately for them, Kansas State has been better than each of those schools and averages 44 points per game.
Their offense will need to score to be able to put any fight in this game. With J.W. Walsh injured, the original starter, Wes Lunt, will once again start at QB for the Cowboys. He led his team last week in a 36-14 win over TCU. Lunt finished with 324 yards, one TD and one INT. Running back Joseph Randle will have to have another big game. He has had at least 100 yards in six of seven games this season and a total of nine TDs. The Wildcats have only allowed one 100-yard rusher all season and that was against Kansas in a 4-point win. The Cowboys top WR Josh Stewart who has 48 grabs for 574 yards, hasn't had a TD in three straight games.
The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a winning home record, but that's not something they've been able to do this year. On the other end, the Wildcats are a solid 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings, but Oklahoma State is only 2-6 ATS in the last eight contests. The over has hit five times in the last six games between the two schools.
Oklahoma and Iowa State were able to come close to Kansas State, but those games were at home. Can Oklahoma State come close on the road? We don't think so. Providing there's no let down here, and there shouldn't be, we have Kansas State winning by 20 to 27 points. Grab this one before it goes past -10! Kansas State -9.5.
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