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Week 13

Free NFL Picks

12/2/12

Here, we go around the NFL and offer a selection for each game, week 13. We'll also designate a handful of games as best bets. Hard to believe that we have just one month remaining in the NFL regular season. This is a great time of year with plenty of games on tap that will be do or die for many teams. Enjoy!

 

Bears -3.5 over Seahawks - A couple of the leagues best defenses hook up here. But the Bears are the better team here and playing at home. The Seahawks lose a little magic when on the road.

 

Packers -7.5 over Vikings - Other than their big win over the 49ers, the Vikings have beaten no one of significance. Their only road win came at Detroit. Look for the Packers to bounce back after last weeks debacle in New York and prove they're still a force come playoff time.

 

49ers -7 over Rams - This is the time of year when the cream really rises to the top. The 49ers are off wins over two pretty good football teams, the Bears and Saints and there's no doubt the are a Super Bowl contender. We expect San Fran to dominate this one.

 

Cardinals +4.5 over Jets - Want no part of this one. Two bad teams. Neither one can be trusted laying points do we'll take the dog.

 

Panthers -3 over Chiefs - This is what you get when you strive for parity in the NFL. There seems to be an abundance of BAD football teams in the NFL these days. These two top the list and no one is worse than the Chiefs. Check that -21 turnover margin number!

 

Lions -5 over Colts - By finishing dead last in the NFL last year, the Colts not only got the #1 pick with Andrew Luck, they also got the easiest schedule in the NFL this year. That explains their 7 wins. Looking ahead, the Colts could actually win 10 games this year. Wow. But trust us folks, this is no playoff team. They are a paper tiger if there ever was one. Not much separates the 4 win Lions and the 7 win Colts.

 

Jags +6 over Bills - Can't they just let these two take the rest of the year off? Rest up for next year? Another game where neither team should be trusted as a fav, so we'll take the dog. Remember our golden rule - never trust a bad team with your money. These are two bad teams.

 

Pats -7.5 over Dolphins - This one interesting in that, the Dolphins actually have a pretty good defense. But there's no way they can match the Pats point for point. Pats a whopping +23 in turnover margin, Fish -10.

 

Texans -6 over Titans - We mentioned that the cream rises to the top down the stretch. We still think the Texans fit into the "cream' category, though they sure haven't looked like it the past couple of weeks. But that's what's keeping this number down, so we have some value with the Texans here. Be careful though, the Texans could get caught looking ahead to next weeks opponent - The Patriots.

 

Bucs +7 over Broncos - The difference in this one could be Manning and the home field. But the Bucs are every bit as good as the Broncos and should bring this one right down to the wire. Can't pass up the touchdown here with a very capable dog.

 

Browns over Raiders - No line posted here yet due to the status of Weeden. He's listed as probable, and should play. Bottom line here is the Browns are the better football team. We'll take them here as an underdog, and if by chance they were favored, we'd lay up to -3.

 

Bengals -1.5 over Chargers - Our model, along with all the numbers we use to handicap an NFL game, have this one as a toss up. But we think Norv Turner is a dead man walking in San Diego and the team knows it. This is a Chargers team playing out their remaining schedule against a Bengals team fighting for a playoff spot.

 

Eagles +10 over Cowboys - The Eagles are a joke. But then, the Cowboys aren't far behind. You'd need your head examined if you were to lay double digits with the Cowboys. Laying double digits is risky even with good NFL teams.

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