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Falcons

vs.

Dolphins

NFL Pick

Betting Trends

9/22/13

The Dolphins host the Falcons Sunday in their first home game of the year as they look to stay undefeated, yes, that's right, undefeated, and move to 3-0 on the year. The Falcons are 1-1, losing on the road to the Saints and beating the Rams at home last week. The Dolphins are -2.5 point home favorites at 5 Dimes Sportsbook with a total of 44.5.

The Dolphins may be 2-0, but the betting public apparently isn't buying it. 82% of the wagers taken on this game at sportsbook.com have come in on the Falcons. Likely a reaction to who the Dolphins have beaten, the Browns and the Colts, along with the publics love affair with Matty Ice and the Falcons. The public also loves the over here with 90% of the action coming in on over 44.5.

Not a heck of a lot to go on here only 2 games into the season. It's not easy to win on the road in the NFL so we have to give the Dolphins some credit. Aside from beating the Browns, they were able to go into Indy and beat a QB who can do some damage. So facing Matt Ryan won't be much different. The Dolphins defense has been playing well and Tannehill is coming along fine at QB. No question Dolphin coach Joe Philbin has the Fish headed in the right direction. This game shapes up as one of the better ones on the board this week and we're going to side with the Dolphins in their first home game. We're also going to buck the public and go under the total here as 23 of the last 34 Falcons games have gone under. Dolphins -2.5 and Under 44.5

 

FALCONS
Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

DOLPHINS

Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Miami is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Miami is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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