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TCU

vs.

Texas Tech

College Football

Pick

Betting Trends

9/12/13

Texas Tech hosts TCU on Thursday night in a game that will have TCU looking for a little revenge from last years OT loss. Currently the Horned Frogs are favored by -3 at GTBets with a total of 62 while the betting trends at the worlds largest sportsbook, sportsbook.com, show us that 59% of the betting actions thus far has vome in on TCU. So, a fairly balanced game in terms of the public.

You know you're going to see some points scored in this one. The final last year was 56-53 and not much has changed for these teams. Texas Tech has already put up over 100 points in two games but should get a test here against a decent TCU stop unit. TCU has had the more difficult schedule thus far, going toe to toe with LSU in a 37-27 loss. It should also be noted that TCU had significant yardage and first down edges in their game a year ago.

Our approach to college football handicapping is mostly statistical. That being said, we don't have enough data to accurately predict early season games. So, there's a little guesswork involved the first few weeks. While our numbers from a year ago, suggest that Texas Tech is the right side getting points at home, we're going to side with TCU and the revenge angle in this spot. TCU -3

 

TCU

TCU is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
TCU is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
TCU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
TCU is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU's last 7 games on the road


TEXAS TECH

Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Texas Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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