Week 5
NFL
Free Picks
against the Spread
10/11/15
Last weeks NFL Picks went 11-1 against the spread! Not a bad week. Tough act to follow, but we’ll sure as hell try! We’re at least at a point in the season where teams are starting to show their hands and we can get a better grasp of who the contenders are and who the pretenders are.
Jags +3 over Bucs – Seriously? The Bucs favored? That’s an automatic go against. When you field the 30th ranked rush defense in th NFL, you’re not going to win many Games.
Bills -2 over Titans – At anything less than -3, have to favor the Bills. Both teams have had some offensive success this year but it’s the Bills defense that stands out in this one. Bills come in with a very respectable 16.4 defensive yards per point number while the Titans defensive number a very poor 12.
Browns +7 over Ravens – May have to lay a little extra juice to get the +7. Just think there’s some value going against the Ravens these days as they are still getting respect from the betting public based on what they used to be rather than what they are now.
Falcons -7 over Redskins – The Redskins offensive yards per point number of 19.6 shows an inability to move the ball and turn yards into points. Compare that to the Falcons number of 11.8, one of the best in the league. No way the Skins trade points here. Also check the turnover differential, Skins -4 and Falcons +6. Falcons look like a winner.
Bears +9 over Chiefs – So far, neither team much to write home about. That being the case, we’d prefer to be taking points in a Game between two teams desperately seeking win #2
Eagles -5.5 over Saints – matchup between two 1-3 teams. Nice win for the Saints last week at home over Dallas. But this one is on the road and Philly is playing only it’s 2nd home Game and looking for it’s first home win.
Packers -8.5 over Rams – No question the Packers are the better team. The feeling here is that only the margin is in doubt. Wouldn’t be shocked to see the Rams keep it close but we’re going to lay the points here.
Bengals -3 over Seahawks – This is the week we find out of Cinci is for real. This Game is being handed to them on a silver platter. A chance for them to send a message to the rest of the NFL. The numbers say Bengals.
Cards -2.5 -115 over Lions – Lions have scored 16, 12 and 10 in their last 3 Games. Cards have no trouble putting points on the board. Sure, have to consider who each team has played thus far, but Monday nights finish may have put the final nail in the Lions coffin.
Cowboys +8.5 over Pats – Willing to take a shot here with the big home dog. Pats first two wins by 7 and 8 prior to blowing out the Jags.
Raiders +4.5 over Broncos – Game opened -5.5 and went to -4.5 despite 77% of the action coming in on the Broncos. Just the scenario we look for when going against the public.
Giants -7 over 49ers – Good team vs. Bad Team. This one looks too easy, so be careful!