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Broncos

vs.

Bills

Week 3

NFL Pick

9/24/17 

By: Jason Green

The Broncos are perfect on the season and they throttled the Dallas Cowboys in their last game. This will be their first road game of the season and they are tied for first place in the tough AFC West where three of the four teams in the division are 2-0. The QB play was the issue in Denver last season, but the team got great play from Trevor Siemian in the blowout win over Dallas last week.

The Bills won their opener, against the weak Jets, but lost their last game where their offense was a tad stagnant. That may be an understatement, as they were held to only three points in a loss to the Carolina Panthers. However, their defense played well holding Carolina to only nine points and this season they have only given up one TD and 21 points.

These teams last met in the 2014 season at Denver where the Broncos beat the Bills 24-17.

The Bills have covered the spread in their last four games facing the Broncos.

Denver beat the Cowboys 42-17 in their last game where they played well on both sides of the ball and played great D against the run holding Dallas to only 40 yards and holding last season’s rushing leader Ezekiel Elliot to only eight yards on nine carries.

Broncos QB Trevor Siemian was 22 for 32 in the win over Dallas with 4 TD and 1 INT and Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, who had 2 TD in the game, combined for 133 receiving yards. C.J. Anderson had a big game rushing for 118 yards with a TD and averaged a legit 4.7 yards per carry. The Broncos will be tested by the Bills’ D, but if they can move the chains they will be in good shape since Buffalo has far from a dynamic offense.

In their last game the Bills lost 9-3 in a game that was far from a barnburner. They only had a grand total of 176 yards and only 10 first downs, but their silver lining is that they played good defense and they did not turn the ball over. Tyrod Taylor passed for only 125 yards and he also led the team with 55 rushing yards while LeSean McCoy, who rushed for 110 yards in the season opener, was a no show rushing for nine yards on 12 carries. Needless to say he has to play better in this game, which will not be easy facing a Denver run D that was great last week in the Dallas win.

Key Betting Trends

The Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, and in their last 7 road games the have an Under record of 5-2.

The Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game, and in their last 9 home games the Over record is 8-1.

Jason’s Pick: I think the Bills will give the Broncos a good game, but Denver has too much talent on both sides of the ball. Siemian will have another solid game and the Denver D will pick it up in the 2nd half and the Broncos will win and cover the spread in Buffalo this Sunday afternoon.

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