Dallas Cowboys
vs.
Indianapolis Colts
NFL Pick
ATS Trends
12/16/2018
By: Jason Green
Dallas Cowboys (8-5 SU 8-5 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (7-6 SU 6-6-1 ATS)
The Cowboys have won five in a row and with their OT win over the Philadelphia Eagles in their last Game they took control of the NFC East. They are two Games up on the Eagles and Washington Redskins in the division and they do not play either team again in the regular season. Dallas is led by a solid defense and Ezekiel Elliot leads the league in rushing yards and Amari Cooper has been a great fit for America’s Team and he had three TD in the last Game.
After getting shut out in a loss snapping a five-Game win streak the Colts beat the Houston Texans snapping their nine-Game win streak. They are two Games back of the Texans in the AFC South and a win in this Game really helps their playoff chances while a loss will drop them to .500 and in limbo for the playoff race. Andrew LUck is the key to Indy in this Game, but he has a tall task facing a legit Dallas defense that ranks 8th in the league defending the pass.
The Colts are a 3-point home favorite with a total of 46.5.
This season the Cowboys are 8-5 ATS with an O/U record of 6-7 and the Colts are 6-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 6-7.
These teams have not met since the 2014 season.
The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five Games between these teams.
In their last Game, the Cowboys were at home and they beat the Philadelphia Eagles 29-23 in OT. Dallas had 576 total yards in the Game while Philly only had 265, but the Game was a close one, as America’s Team had three turnovers and only forced one.
Dak Prescott passed for 455 yards with three TD and also had two picks and Amari Cooper was huge with 217 receiving yards with three TD iNCluding the Game-winner in OT. Ezekiel Elliot rushed for 113 yards averaging Four yards per carry and he and Cooper give the Cowboys a great 1-2 puNCh. Dallas has to hold onto the rock in this Game and avoid the turnover, which almost cost them their last Game where they had over 300 more yards than the Eagles.
Prescott and Elliot will be facing an Indianapolis defense that ranks 15th in the league against the pass and 9th against the run.
The Colts were on the road in their last Game keeping their playoff hopes alive with a 24-21 win over the Houston Texans. They outGAined the Texans 436 yards to 315 yards, but only rushed for 50 yards and had the Game’s only turnover.
Andrew LUck passed for 399 yards with two TD and one INT and T.Y. Hilton had a big Game with 199 receiving yards. Marlon MACk led the Colts with only 33 rushing yards and whoever carries the rock in this Game will be up against a Dallas run D that ranks 3rd in the league in run defense and stuffed the run in their last win over the Eagles.
Cowboys ATS Trends
5-0 ATS in their last 5 Games
4-1 ATS in their last 5 Games facing a team with a winning record
Under record of 21-6 in their last 27 road Games
Colts ATS Trends
4-0 ATS in their last 4 Games facing a team with a winning record
5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 Games following a straight up win
Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 Games
Under record of 14-5 in their last 19 home Games
Jason’s Pick: I hate to do it since I am no fan, but the Cowboys are the pick in this Game. Even on the road Elliot will be the big gun, the Dallas D will keep LUck in check, and the Cowboys will not only cover, but get their 6th straight win and send the Colts to the .500 mark.