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Week 17

NFL Pick
By: Jason Green

 Arizona Cardinals (7-8 SU 5-9-1 ATS) vs. Seattle Seahawks (9-6 SU 6-8-1 ATS)
 The Cardinals can get back to .500 in this game and knock the Seahawks out of the playoff picture, and while they have won three of their last four games in Seattle they still are still a double-digit road underdog. They are down to their 3rd straight QB and while their defense has played pretty good as of late giving up 27 points in their last three games, 20 coming in the lone loss in that span, they only rank 25th in the NFL in ppg.
 At 5 dimes sportsbook the Seahawks are the 10-point favorite with a total of 38.5.
 The Seahawks stopped the bleeding of losing two straight, including getting embarrassed at home getting crushed by the Rams, before winning their last game. They won their last game while their offense failed to show up and that hurt Russell Wilson’s MVP chances. Still, while Seattle’s defense is banged up they played well in the last game and they not only have to win this game to make the post-season, but have the Atlanta Falcons lose to the Carolina Panthers.
 In the first match-up between these teams in the desert in Arizona the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 22-16.
 In the last six games between these teams the road team is 5-0-1 ATS, but can the Cardinals keep that trend going?
 The Cardinals beat the New York Giants 23-0 in their last game and that was their first shutout win in 25 seasons. Looking at the stats the Cardinals had fewer yards and had two turnovers, forcing three, but the key was on 3rd down where New York was only 1/14. Drew Stanton will get his 2nd start against Seattle in this game and in the win over the Giants he passed for 209 yards with a couple of scores and a pick and the ageless Larry Fitzgerald was the lead guy with 119 receiving yards and he also hauled in a TD catch. Since David Johnson went out for the season with an injury the Arizona run game has really struggled and against the Giants RB Kerwynn Williams led the club with only 51 rushing yards on a 3.2 average. The Cardinals have only won two of their seven road games this season, but they will be facing a banged-up Seattle defense and they have had success in Seattle in the last few seasons including beating them last season there.
 The Seahawks were in the Big D in their last game where they beat the Dallas Cowboys 20-12. The key in the game was that they forced three turnovers and did not commit any, which was key since they were out-gained 283 yards to 136 yards. Once again Russell Wilson led the team in rushing, but only had 29 yards on the ground to go along with 93 passing yards. Seattle used to be one of the toughest places in the league to play, but this season they are only 4-3 in their house.
 The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games facing a team with a winning record, and in their last 6 road games they have an Under record of 5-1.
 The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS win, and in their last 5 games facing a team with a losing record they have an Under record of 4-1.
 Jason’s Pick;
The first game between these teams was pretty close, but don’t think this game will be. Wilson will atone for the last game and have a big one in this division match-up and Seattle will win and cover the spread and hope the Falcons lose to the Panthers. 

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