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Minnesota Vikings

vs.

Green Bay Packers

Preview and Pick

9/16/18   


By: Jason Green 

  

Minnesota Vikings (1-0 SU 1-0 ATS) vs. Green Bay Packers (1-0 SU 0-1 ATS)

 

This game is always a big one between two NFC North bitter rivals, but this early season division matchup has some storylines. First of all, Aaron Rodgers may not play because of a knee injury that forced him out of the last game, but he came back to lead a great comeback in Green Bay’s 24-23 win over the Chicago Bears. Second, Rodgers was knocked out for the season last year in the first game facing the Vikings, who won both of their games facing the Packers last season. 

The Vikings also won their season opener with new QB Kirk Cousins having a solid debut. The Vikings’ D came up with four turnovers in the win over San Fran and their defense may secretly be hoping that Rodgers is in street clothes. 

Last season in Minnesota’s two wins over Green Bay they held them to only 10 points, but with Rodgers not in action. With him out the Packers faltered last season failing to make the playoffs and they have failed to cover the spread in their last four games. 

At 5Dimes sportsbook the Packers are a 1-point favorite with a total sitting at 46.5. 

Early in the season the Vikings are 1-0 ATS with an O/U record of 0-1-0 and the Packers are 0-1 ATS with an O/U record of 1-0. 

The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Packers, but the favorite has covered the spread in the last 7 games between these two rivals. 

Cousins played well in his first game in a Vikings’ uniform passing for 244 with 2 TD and he was not picked off. He showed composure in the pocket, was only sacked twice, and he has a good WR corps to work with and in the 49ers game Adam Thielen had 102 receiving yards to lead Minnesota. The Vikings had a mixed bag in the first game in the run game, as they did rush for 116 yards, but neither Latavius Murray or Dalvin Cook averaged more than 3.8 yards per carry. 

The Vikes have a great defense that had 3 picks in the win over the 49ers and held them to only 90 rushing yards. 

The Rodgers saga continues, as in the opening win over the Chicago Bears he rescued the team with three 2nd half TD’s bringing Green Bay back from a 20-0 3rd quarter deficit. Randall Cobb had 142 yards including the game-winning 75-yard TD reception and Davante Adams had 88 receiving yards and a score. 

Rodgers had to do it all to bring the Packers back in their opener since the team had issues on the ground. They only rushed for 69 yards and their lead RB in Jamaal Williams (47 rushing yards), only averaged 3.1 yards per carry. 

 

Key Betting Trends 


Vikings

8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September

5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games

25-11 ATS in their last 36 games following a straight up win

Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 road games

 

Packers

2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss

0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games

1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record

 

Jason’s Pick: Rodgers will play in this game, as he is a tough guy to say the least. While the Vikings may be better than the Packers in most areas QB is not one of them. Cousins is legit, but with Rodgers under center at Lambeau Field you have to go with the Packers to win and cover. 

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