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Cardinals look to take Rubber game - Yanks try to keep streak alive

6/15

The Cardinals look to take the rubber game in their series with the Phillies while the Yankees look to keep their 3 game winning streak alive and gain some ground in the AL East. Yesterday we hit 3 of 4 dogs showing you the value of underdog betting in baseball.

Phillies at Cardinals +125 - Sometimes you have to go right back to the well for the same reasons you played a game the day before. You have the two of the best teams in the National League ending their 3 game series. After dropping the first game by a whopping 18 runs, the Cards look to win their 15th series of the season and break a 4 series losing streak against the Phillies. No Pujoles, however, the Cards are at home, they are one of the best teams in the NL, they at are going up against Brett Myers who is 3-8 with a 5.34 era and the Phillies are only hitting .200 if you take away their 20 run outburst two nights ago. All this and you get a price of +125. It's a long term play you simply have to make.

 

Yankees - 125 at Astros - While betting underdogs is one of the keys to successful baseball betting, that doesn't mean there's no room for favorites. As a general rule of thumb, you should never be betting favorites at a price of more than -130. You simply can't win long term doing so. But there is room to lay -130 or less and this is an example of that. Baseball is all about streaks. Winning streaks and losing streaks. Here we have the Yankees at 3 games above .500 for the first time all year, on a 3 game winning streak, 7-3 their last 10 and sending Chien-Ming Wang to the hill to attempt to stay perfect on the road this year (7-2 overall with a 4.30 era). He'll be taking on a slumping Astro team which has dropped 13 of it's last 16 games! Could the Yankees be making their move? They haven't had a major strak to speak of all year long and certainly, the timing is right.

 

Padres + 148 at Indians - Some plays are just common sense. Again, you have to remember, when you make a play in baseball, you are not necessarily expecting to win it. Hard for most baseball bettors to grasp this concept. When you make a play, you are basically saying, the odds are wrong. If I make this same play 1000 times, I will win it enough to show a profit. Playing with that mindset, will produce long term profits. Such is the case in this match up today. The Indians really shouldn't be favored -158 over anyone. They really aren't very good and are always a threat to lose with that bullpen. They throw Sabathia today who may be getting respect based on the past rather than the present. He's 4-8 on the year with a 4.34. The Padres are hot, going 8-2 over their last 10 games and worth a shot today.

BREAK EVEN CHART

Moneyline Loss Win Win %
required
-320 -320 100 76.19%
-300 -300 100 75.00%
-280 -280 100 73.68%
-270 -270 100 72.97%
-260 -260 100 72.22%
-250 -250 100 71.43%
-240 -240 100 70.59%
-230 -230 100 69.70%
-220 -220 100 68.75%
-210 -210 100 67.74%
-200 -200 100 66.67%
-180 -180 100 64.29%
-170 -170 100 62.96%
-160 -160 100 61.54%
-150 -150 100 60.00%
-140 -140 100 58.33%
-130 -130 100 56.52%
-120 -120 100 54.55%
-110 -110 100 52.38%
-105 -105 100 51.22%
-100 -100 100 50.00%
105 -100 105 48.78%
110 -100 110 47.62%
120 -100 120 45.45%
130 -100 130 43.48%
140 -100 140 41.67%
150 -100 140 41.67%
160 -100 160 38.46%
170 -100 170 37.04%
180 -100 180 35.71%
200 -100 200 33.33%
210 -100 210 32.26%
220 -100 220 31.25%
230 -100 230 30.30%
240 -100 240 29.41%
250 -100 250 28.57%
260 -100 260 27.78%
270 -100 270 27.03%
280 -100 280 26.32%
290 -100 290 25.64%
300 -100 300 25.00%

 

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