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Cardinals look to
take Rubber game - Yanks try to keep streak alive
6/15
The Cardinals look to take the rubber game in their series with
the Phillies while the Yankees look to keep their 3 game winning
streak alive and gain some ground in the AL East. Yesterday we hit 3
of 4 dogs showing you the value of underdog betting in baseball.
Daily Baseball picks can be found on the
Bettorsworld home page and on
Bob Harvey's Bettorsworld page.
Phillies at Cardinals +125 - Sometimes you have to
go right back to the well for the same reasons you played a game the
day before. You have the two of the best teams in the National
League ending their 3 game series. After dropping the first game by
a whopping 18 runs, the Cards look to win their 15th series of the
season and break a 4 series losing streak against the Phillies. No
Pujoles, however, the Cards are at home, they are one of the best
teams in the NL, they at are going up against Brett Myers who is 3-8
with a 5.34 era and the Phillies are only hitting .200 if you take
away their 20 run outburst two nights ago. All this and you get a
price of +125. It's a long term play you simply have to make.
Yankees - 125 at Astros - While betting underdogs
is one of the keys to successful baseball betting, that doesn't mean
there's no room for favorites. As a general rule of thumb, you
should never be betting favorites at a price of more than -130. You
simply can't win long term doing so. But there is room to lay -130
or less and this is an example of that. Baseball is all about
streaks. Winning streaks and losing streaks. Here we have the
Yankees at 3 games above .500 for the first time all year, on a 3
game winning streak, 7-3 their last 10 and sending Chien-Ming Wang
to the hill to attempt to stay perfect on the road this year (7-2
overall with a 4.30 era). He'll be taking on a slumping Astro team
which has dropped 13 of it's last 16 games! Could the Yankees be
making their move? They haven't had a major strak to speak of all
year long and certainly, the timing is right.
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Padres + 148 at Indians - Some plays
are just common sense. Again, you have to remember, when you make a
play in baseball, you are not necessarily expecting to win it. Hard
for most baseball bettors to grasp this concept. When you make a
play, you are basically saying, the odds are wrong. If I make this
same play 1000 times, I will win it enough to show a profit. Playing
with that mindset, will produce long term profits. Such is the case
in this match up today. The Indians really shouldn't be favored -158
over anyone. They really aren't very good and are always a threat to
lose with that bullpen. They throw Sabathia today who may be getting
respect based on the past rather than the present. He's 4-8 on the
year with a 4.34. The Padres are hot, going 8-2 over their last 10
games and worth a shot today.
BREAK EVEN CHART
| Moneyline |
Loss |
Win |
Win %
required |
| -320 |
-320 |
100 |
76.19% |
| -300 |
-300 |
100 |
75.00% |
| -280 |
-280 |
100 |
73.68% |
| -270 |
-270 |
100 |
72.97% |
| -260 |
-260 |
100 |
72.22% |
| -250 |
-250 |
100 |
71.43% |
| -240 |
-240 |
100 |
70.59% |
| -230 |
-230 |
100 |
69.70% |
| -220 |
-220 |
100 |
68.75% |
| -210 |
-210 |
100 |
67.74% |
| -200 |
-200 |
100 |
66.67% |
| -180 |
-180 |
100 |
64.29% |
| -170 |
-170 |
100 |
62.96% |
| -160 |
-160 |
100 |
61.54% |
| -150 |
-150 |
100 |
60.00% |
| -140 |
-140 |
100 |
58.33% |
| -130 |
-130 |
100 |
56.52% |
| -120 |
-120 |
100 |
54.55% |
| -110 |
-110 |
100 |
52.38% |
| -105 |
-105 |
100 |
51.22% |
| -100 |
-100 |
100 |
50.00% |
| 105 |
-100 |
105 |
48.78% |
| 110 |
-100 |
110 |
47.62% |
| 120 |
-100 |
120 |
45.45% |
| 130 |
-100 |
130 |
43.48% |
| 140 |
-100 |
140 |
41.67% |
| 150 |
-100 |
140 |
41.67% |
| 160 |
-100 |
160 |
38.46% |
| 170 |
-100 |
170 |
37.04% |
| 180 |
-100 |
180 |
35.71% |
| 200 |
-100 |
200 |
33.33% |
| 210 |
-100 |
210 |
32.26% |
| 220 |
-100 |
220 |
31.25% |
| 230 |
-100 |
230 |
30.30% |
| 240 |
-100 |
240 |
29.41% |
| 250 |
-100 |
250 |
28.57% |
| 260 |
-100 |
260 |
27.78% |
| 270 |
-100 |
270 |
27.03% |
| 280 |
-100 |
280 |
26.32% |
| 290 |
-100 |
290 |
25.64% |
| 300 |
-100 |
300 |
25.00% |
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