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NFL Weekly Look Ahead – Week
Starting this week, each NFL weekly look ahead will break down one of the better match-ups each Sunday. For week 5 we focus on the NFC East with the larger-than-life match-up this week between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. Besides the obvious reasons to talk about this game, both teams come in with just one loss: Philly at 3-1 and Dallas at 2-1. The Cowboys off a bye week routed the Titans 45-14. The Eagles struggled in the first half of Monday Night Football, but rebounded nicely and opened up the game in the third quarter and won 31-9 over Green Bay.
Both teams have identical ATS records to their records W/L wise. That is not the only stat that is practically a mirror image between the two teams. Dallas is scoring 29.7 points per game, the Eagles scoring 29.2. Similarly, Philly is conceding 18 points a game on defense while the Cowboys are giving up 16 a contest. Dallas comes in 2-0-1 O/U with the Eagles 2-2 in totals.
Star power will be the focal point of this game. Donovan McNabb is having one his better seasons, posting a 106 qb rating with 9 touchdowns to just 1 interception. Terrell Owens has done well in his first year of as a member of the Cowboys, but has not dominated. His persona is practically bigger than his play and regardless if he failed to catch a ball this season, his hype would still be off the wall.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles 10/8 4:15 pm (FOX)
Line: Philadelphia -2.5
The Cowboys come in 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the NFC. Conversely, Philly is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games in the division. Dallas swept the season series last year, but Philly holds the series edge 5-3 since 2002.
When the Eagles are a favorite, they under are 21-7-2 in their last 30 games. The over is 3-0 for the Cowboys in as many games when they face a team with a winning record. However, the over is 4-0 for the ‘Boys in their last 4 games.
As well, the over is 5-1-1 in Dallas’ last seven games overall. Similarly, the over is also 10-4-1 in the Cowboys last 15 games as a road underdog.
For Philly, the over has hit four of five in the Eagles last five home games. The over has also been successful in NFC play, hitting four of five when Philly plays in conference.
Head-to-head, the Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings. Also benefiting Dallas, the underdog is 3-0 in the last three meetings.
The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in as many games when rushing for more than 150 yards on the ground in the previous game. Dallas is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five October games.
With Dallas’ stringy defense, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less then 15 points the previous game.
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite. They are also 35-16 in their last 51 games following an ATS win.