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HOME RUN DERBY ODDS + ANALYSIS
2008
Here's a look at some of the top contenders in this years Home Run Derby.
Betting on the home run derby can be an absolute blast and can also be very
profitable as well! You need to take into consideration the ball park, and each
participants past in that particular park, in this case Yankee Stadium. Like
with any betting proposition, you need to analyze the odds posted on each
contender and determine if a wager has any value. Most of the time, the odds on
all the participants start around 5/1 and up, so there's the potential for a
nice payoff betting on the homerun derby. Once we have the odds for this years
Derby, we'll post them and keep them updated right up until the event begins. So
be sure to check back!
Josh Hamilton: Odds - 7/2 - Outfielder Josh Hamilton is tied for eleventh for home
runs in MLB. His home run trend looks like this: 6 in April than he spiked with
slamming 8 in May and ever since then he has tailed off dramatically only
blasting 5 and his last digger was on June 17TH. Ever since April 4TH when his
slugging percentage hit .688, it has fluctuated with a gradual trend downward to
.546 on July 6TH. At Yankee Stadium Hamilton has no ball go out of the yard! Yes
he will get his fair share of home runs tonight, but it is not realistic to
think he will get 15 in a round.
Dan Uggla: Odds 5/1 - Second baseman Uggla is currently third amongst the home
leaders in the league with 23. His home run trend looks like this: 4 in April,
then spiked in May hitting a bakers’ dozen, 7 in June. His last home run was
June 20TH when he tabbed 2. His slugging percentage has steadily risen in the
first half of the season from .480 in April to .563 currently with peaks and
valleys in the middle. No home runs at Yankee Stadium in his career. Look for
him to advance to the second round.
Chase Utley: Odds 4/1- Second baseman Utley is tops in MLB with 25. His home run
trend looks like this: 10 in April, 8 in May and just 4 in June, so far 2 this
month. His slugging percentage has dropped from .741 to .500 currently. No home
runs at Yankee Stadium in his career. Nonetheless, this month’s trend seems to
be on the upswing, therefore he might go past the second round.
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Lance Berkman: Odds 4/1 - First baseman Berkman has accumulated 22 home runs and is
tied for fourth. His home run trend looks like this: 8 in April, 9 in May and
just 5 in June. slugging percentage has dropped from .856 in May to a pathetic
.217 currently. He has one home run at Yankee Stadium in his career. Don’t look
for him to get past the second round at best.
Grady Sizemore: Odds 5/1 - Grady Sizemore has accounted for 22 home runs and is tied
for fourth. His home run trend looks like this: 1 home run in March then only a
pair in April, picks it up in May hitting 7 and in June he continued the upward
to 9. He already has smashed 3 this month. Sizemore’s slugging percentage has
significantly risen in the first half of the season from .423 to an overwhelming
.947 this month so far. He has one home run at Yankee Stadium in his career.
Trends and strength indicate that he “should” get to the final round.
Ryan Braun: Odds 8/1 - Outfielder Ryan Braun is tied for ninth for
home runs with 21 in MLB. His home run trend looks like this: 3 in
April, then really unloaded with 11 in May, 6 in June and
mysteriously had just 1 since June 17TH. His slugging percentage has
been extremely inconsistent in the first half of the season. No home
runs at Yankee Stadium in his career. Don’t look for him to get past
the first round at best.
Odds To Win MLB Home Run Derby 2008
Courtesy of Sportsbook.com
Josh Hamilton 7 - 2
Chase Utley 4 - 1
Lance Berkman 4 - 1
Justin Morneau 5 - 1
Dan Uggla 5 - 1
Grady Sizemore 5 - 1
Evan Longaria 8 - 1
Ryan Braun 8 - 1
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