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NFL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR BETTING ODDS
Many great college players turn out to be flops in the NFL. Only
hardcore NFL fans will probably remember Akili Smith. This guy was
drafted with the third overall pick in the 1999 NFL Draft. He could
go on to play 2 games before being cut by the Cincinnati Bengals.
Selected first in that same draft was Donovan McNabb. He wasn’t
Rookie of the Year, but he showed signs that he belonged. Edgerrin
James would go on to become the Rookie of the Year that season. He
would rush for 1,553 yards and 13 touchdowns that season.
Ironically, he was selected one pick after Smith. From bust to the
best in just one pick. Let’s see who will be the bust and who will
be the best in 2009.Who is the next Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Matt Ryan (10-1) - It was clear from the g et go that Matt Ryan would be a solid NFL QB. He has the poise in the pocket required to be a good NFL QB. He's calm cool and collective and isn't afraid to sit back there until the very last minute checking off on all his options. But for this proposition, betting on a QB could prove risky. A quarterback winning this award, is rare. Although, interestingly enough, 2 of the last 4 winners were QB's. Roethlisberger won it in 2004 and Vince Young in 2006. But prior to those two, the last QB to win the award was Dennis Shaw (who?) back in 1970! The vast majority of the winners of this award are running backs. Most newly drafted QB's are brought along with kid gloves and don't see any significant playing time right off the bat. The learning curve for a QB in the NFL is much different than a running backs. Running backs run. QB's need to learn how to read complex defensive schemes not to mention learning their own teams offense. Even if Ryan were to start right off the bat, there's a very good chance he's struggle.
Above are a few of the major contenders. Will post the complete odds below. To sum up, the winner of the award is a running back 90% of the time. That being the case, the duo from Arkansas, McFadden and Jones figure to have the inside track. In looking for the best value, we lean towards Jones. At 8-1, he'll be on a team that should be among the best in the NFL. A good supporting cast can do wonders for a new running backs numbers. Jones has the potential to be involved in more high profile, meaningful games, thus, more potential publicity. It will all come down to the numbers either way, and McFadden should shine. It's just that 3-1 odds isn't a juicy enough price to make this handicapper bite. So we'll make a play on Jones here at 8-1 with a smaller wager on McFadden at 3-1 just in case.
Now, let's get the show on the road!
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