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Texas Rangers Undervalued by Oddsmakers
I mentioned this the other day but it's worth mentioning again. We're seeing a return to mediocrity across the majors by some of the teams tagged as big time contenders just a couple of weeks ago. It's important to take a glance at the Major League Baseball standings, specifically, the winning percentages, as an illustration as to why you shouldn't bet favorites higher than -130 or so and why you should concentrate on underdogs. You have a handful of teams around 60% or close to it. The Rays and Bosox in the AL East. The Angels and then one NL team, the Cubs.
The mighty Yankees are 5 games over .500 at 53%. The Red Hot Tigers are at 51%. One of the NL's best offensive teams to date, the Phillies, are dropping quickly and sit at 53%. Mater of fact, the entire NL East is up from grabs in a sea of mediocrity with the Phillies, Mets, Marlins and Braves all between 40 and 44 wins on the year.
How about the NL West? Not one team is above 50%. The Division leading D-Backs are one game over .500 at 42-41 for 50.6%. I bring this up to get you to broaden your outlook when you look at a days MLB card and try to ferret out a few plays. Dig a little deeper into the days games and look for other handicapping factors such as how a team does against Righties or Lefties. How a team does in day games vs night games and how a team does home and away.
For example, the Texas Rangers are a .500 baseball team this year, but one of the biggest money makers from a betting standpoint in many categories. If you bet on the Rangers strictly when they face a right handed pitcher for example, you'd be up 16 units this year. Likewise, if you bet the Rangers in all their road games, this mediocre team with a road record of 22-23 put close to 7 units profit in your pocket. For that matter, if you just bet blindly on the Rangers in EVERY game this year you'd be up 10 units. They are only 2 games over .500, but the Rangers have been undervalued by the oddsmakers all year long. Remember that before you lay -200 tonight with Chamberlin and the Yankees.
Todays Free Play comes courtesy of Bob Harvey Sports.
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