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SABATHIA MAKES FIRST START FOR BREWERS

7/8/08

There's a few interesting series this week as we're just about at the all star break. We have the Cardinals and Phillies, two of the National Leagues contenders squaring off in Philly. We have CC Sabathia making his debut for the Brewers. The Bosox and Twins continue their set and the Rays visit the Yanks for two in the Bronx.

The Cardinals find themselves as high as +193 underdogs in Philly tonight, which is just plain ridiculous. Certainly the pitching matchup favors the Phillies and yeah, they have a higher probability of winning tonight than the Cards do. But not at odds as high as -210. You almost have to make an automatic play on the Cardinals here on principle alone. The Phillies are just 2 games over .500 at home and they have lost 3 straight and 8 of their last 9 at home. The Cards are one of the few teams in all of baseball that has a winning record on the road. You're just about guaranteed to win this wager over the long run. A wager on a +193 dog under these exact conditions will show you a profit long term, whereas, a play on a 210 favorite under these circumstances will send you looking for a loan eventually.

Briefly, on CC Sabathia, wouldn't it be funny if he was bombed tonight after this big trade that's supposed to cement the Brewers post season chances? His ERA in 4 games against the Rockies is 9.82. The Rockies have won 6 of their last 7. Hmmm.

Are you taking full advantage of the stats available to you for free on a daily basis. We have a ton of information here on the site that you can use in your daily handicapping efforts. Trends, matchups, previews, pitcher logs, etc.etc. All the info is located at this link http://www.bettorsworld.com/matchups.htm

 

Here, for example, is a list of trends for today's matchups :

JULY 8, 7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
  • Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
  • Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
  • Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:05 PM
    HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
  • Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games
  • Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:05 PM
    MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
  • Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
  • Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:05 PM
    ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
  • St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
  • Philadelphia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:05 PM
    TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 12 games at home
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:07 PM
    BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
  • Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
  • Toronto is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Baltimore
  • Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:10 PM
    ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
  • Arizona is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
  • Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games when playing Arizona
  •  
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    JULY 8, 7:10 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
  • San Francisco is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • San Francisco is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
  • NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  •  
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    JULY 8, 8:05 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games
  • Chi Cubs are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at home
  •  
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    JULY 8, 8:05 PM
    COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
  • Colorado is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Colorado
  •  
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    JULY 8, 8:05 PM
    LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
  • LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
  • Texas is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
  •  
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    JULY 8, 8:10 PM
    CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
  • Chi White Sox are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
  •  
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    JULY 8, 10:05 PM
    FLORIDA vs. SAN DIEGO
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
  • Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
  • San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
  •  
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    JULY 8, 10:05 PM
    SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
  • Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
  • Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
  •  
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    JULY 8, 10:10 PM
    ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
  • Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
  • LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of LA Dodgers's last 20 games when playing Atlanta
  •  
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