Any thoughts on Boise St vs BYU and S flor vs Cincy. I did some research on S Florida and they should be able to win solid from what I have seen from their schedule and opponents they have played. They beat Louisville outright and played some good team tough. Any thoughts on this would be great.
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ON PAPER...Boise St. should handle BYU.
BYU is 0-7 ATS in home games when they allow 350-400 total yards since 1992
BYU is 1-6 ATS in home games against good offensive teams averaging more than 450 yards per game
Boise St. is 9-0 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games
Boise St. is 10-2 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite
Boise St. is averaging 49.7 points per game over the last 3 games with their last game being a 77-14 pounding of San Jose St. This game reminds me of the October 9th game against Colorado St. where BYU was handled at home by Bradley Van Pelt in a 58-13 beat down. Van Pelt was just 10 of 15 in that game (on Thursday also) for 232 yards. That's 23 yards per pass!! Boise St. QB Ryan Dinwiddie is a little better throwing the ball than Van Pelt. Van Pelt is more of a scrambler whereas Dinwiddie should have all day to sit in the pocket and pick apart a sore BYU secondary.
This has "Blowout" written all over it!!
Boise St. -7...this line scares me a little, but we're still going with a 5* Play!!
Good Luck,
The Hammer
Sports-Plays.com
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good call hammer!
i was on boise st and it was easier than it looked. i just knew that the two times i watched byu earlier this season that i felt they really sucked. i also rememebered boise st getting screwed on a critical 4th down call against a pac-10 team in the early part of the season. just wish i had gone stronger....but.....
WINNER....WINNER....CHICKEN DINNER!!!
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Cincy/S.Florida
I love Cincy +2.5 in this game. Both teams have solid defenses, & no advantage is held there by either team. On the other side of the ball is where I think Cincy will dominate play. Namely @ the QB position. Gino Guidugli hasn't exactly had a Heisman winner type of year, up to this point. I feel this will be his breakout game.
If you look back @ the last 2 seasons, Guidugli has always started slow, then finished on a tear. Who knows why this is, but who cares? It happens. He has a gun for an arm, & has 2 years of starting experience under his belt.
This is a must win game for both teams. However, I give the slight edge to Cincy here, as S.Florida is on the brink of being eliminated from bowl consideration. They must win out...which is highly unlikely, & they all know it. On the other hand, Cincy has a realistic shot @ a bowl, but they definetely need this game, or they can forget it, as they have games vs. TCU & Louisville on deck. They have been in this position before, & they thrive in it.
I call for the outright upset....Cincy beats S.Florida 21-10! Take the points!
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