Dingers NFL Picks Week 11

[Dinger]

Looking for a huge week. Only my second 5* pick this year.
(1-0 on 5* picks)

Developed my own system about 5 years ago. Points, yardage , time of possession, turnovers, strength of schedule just to name a few indicators.

System has 49ers -14......10.5 point difference from Vegas.

Why is the Cowboys favored on the road???
I have Was -6.....8 pt diff


Last Week: 3-2
Season: 30-25

Here's what it likes:
SF -3.5 5*****'s
Was +2 4*'s
Hou +8.5 3*'s
AZ -3.5 2*'s
Bal +6.5 2*'s

Let's add a $20 parlay on the above teams.
$55 on the 49er's

[Dinger]

I see the line has moved -3.5 to -6 in 2 days. Thats why I bet / post early.

Not the only one to like the 49ers this week.

[jpehl]

dinger,
You have wash favored -6 right, is this with or without Portis. I dont know if this is your system or not but do you have any thoughts on this game.
jpehl

[Dinger]

The -6 is with Portis. My current system doesn't calculate for injuries.

I created an injury formula but it takes 2 hours to formulate...way too long.
A top 5 RB for example being out changes the line by 4 points. Not sure how accurate that is..but I would have to calculate injuries on both teams to come with a true number...ugh...I'm still tinkering with the formula.

Usually if there is a major injury...I skip picking that game. I posted early and then an hour later I heard about Portis being down.

My top 5 picks: 27-23 (not impressive)
However Overall picks: 82-59

week 1 7-9 7-9
week 2 11-3 18-12
week 3 9-7 27-19
week 4 10-3 37-22
week 5 7-5 44-27
week 6 6-8 50-35
week 7 7-7 57-42
week 8 9-5 66-47
week 9 9-5 75-52
week 10 7-7 82-59


Overall picks not documented on bettersworld, but I 'm in the ESPN contest pick'm vs spread. I have a 1 game discrepancy...somehow I missed picking a game I would have won on.

[jpehl]

Well just my 2 cents but I will be very surprised if the redskins win. I really think we win by ten. Tough to take two games against same team.Good Luck
jpehl

[Dinger]

Looking great on my 5 Star pick with the 49er's.

Still 2nd half to play.

[RAW]

Congradulations Dinger, the 49ers were gold. It's cool you have a workable system you have confidence in...I love systems too, they can be unbeatable at times. Keep up the good work.

[woodee12]

Nice blowout call on SF! I cannot believe they did not score in the 2nd half!

I needed a couple more TDs from Gore!