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Wow! I found an old files when I was going through my flash drive with a folder named "Sportsbook"...
I need to bring these up to current. I believe the hot streak doesn't start until at least a week into the season or later.
Anyway, tzx his was researched from 1997-2005.
Years ago, my uncle claimed that there was a profitable baseball play. He stated that baseball is a streaky sport.
Play on teams with a 3 game or more win streak or against teams with a 3 game or more losing streak.
I compiled a database for all the games since 97.
Preliminary results prove this wrong, actually it should be a strong fade!
This play on teams with a three game or more winning streak trend actually lost -15,324 from 1997 through 2005 on a $100 wager.
Then I found this one for the opening series of the baseball season, once again it was from 97-2005
From 97-2005 there have been 94 3-game opening series:
The home team has been:
12 times the home team was swept.
Started 1-2 31 times, 9 of those teams avoided being swept.
Started 2-1 37 times, 10 teams lost going for the sweep.
14 times the home team swept the series.
Overall, the home team lost the first two games 21 times and won the first two games 24 times. There is a 53% chance of the team spliting the first two games.
From 97-2005 there have been 11 4-game opening series:
2 times the home team was 1-3
8 times the home team went 2-2
1 time the home team went 3-1, and that team lost the fourth game.
In conclusion, it is very rare for a team to come out very hot or cold at the start of the season (difficult to sweep or be swept).
Can you tell I'm bored when there's nothing on TV and I'm working out of town!?
Let me know if you want any specifically researched for baseball, odds are I probably have it.
I need to bring these up to current. I believe the hot streak doesn't start until at least a week into the season or later.
Anyway, tzx his was researched from 1997-2005.
Years ago, my uncle claimed that there was a profitable baseball play. He stated that baseball is a streaky sport.
Play on teams with a 3 game or more win streak or against teams with a 3 game or more losing streak.
I compiled a database for all the games since 97.
Preliminary results prove this wrong, actually it should be a strong fade!
This play on teams with a three game or more winning streak trend actually lost -15,324 from 1997 through 2005 on a $100 wager.
Then I found this one for the opening series of the baseball season, once again it was from 97-2005
From 97-2005 there have been 94 3-game opening series:
The home team has been:
12 times the home team was swept.
Started 1-2 31 times, 9 of those teams avoided being swept.
Started 2-1 37 times, 10 teams lost going for the sweep.
14 times the home team swept the series.
Overall, the home team lost the first two games 21 times and won the first two games 24 times. There is a 53% chance of the team spliting the first two games.
From 97-2005 there have been 11 4-game opening series:
2 times the home team was 1-3
8 times the home team went 2-2
1 time the home team went 3-1, and that team lost the fourth game.
In conclusion, it is very rare for a team to come out very hot or cold at the start of the season (difficult to sweep or be swept).
Can you tell I'm bored when there's nothing on TV and I'm working out of town!?
Let me know if you want any specifically researched for baseball, odds are I probably have it.