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Here are some notes I found surfing for Teaser Strategies:
I am looking for games where I can tease the favorite down to less than three points and also looking for games where I can tease a small underdog to where it is catching more than a touchdown. This is referred to in the sports betting industry as a basic strategy teaser, and it is taking advantage of the best use of the key numbers for NFL betting.
Another thing I like to do, which goes against conventional wisdom of many sharp bettors, is to branch out on a 6.5-point teaser when I can tease a three-point favorite to a 3.5-point underdog. Sportsbooks will not let you buy a .5 point off of the key number of three because of the great value of that extra half point off of the most important key number. In my eyes this a great way to get a bit of extra value off a teaser. However, when you use this strategy you have to take into account that it’s going to be more expensive since you will pay more vigorish on a 6.5-point teaser as opposed to the 6-point option, and that in teasing through the number zero you are teasing through a bunch of garbage numbers like two, one and zero, which games very rarely fall on. It has, however, worked for me, but I must be sure I really like the game before I venture down this road.
I feel with teasers you are somewhat betting that the bookies have a solid line on the game.
Tease rivalry games, divisional matchups, and playoff games. Teams that are in big rivalries or that are in conference know each other very well and more importantly, the linesmakers know how these teams fare against one another. The lines for these games are pretty precise, more accurate than teams who rarely play one another. At the end of each season the linesmakers know the teams pretty well and also there is enough game tape that each coach can scout the opponents pretty well.
Tease better defenses, don't tease against good offenses.
A common mistake I see with teasers is teasing a total. There is no total in the NFL or College that when teased six points, raises your win rate 20%. In general, teasing any total is a bad play. Fortunately one of the best ways to play a teaser is to play a spread that when teased, moves through the key numbers of 3 and 7. Teasing Dallas from +2 to +8 or Pittsburgh from -7.5 to -1.5 are two examples.
I am looking for games where I can tease the favorite down to less than three points and also looking for games where I can tease a small underdog to where it is catching more than a touchdown. This is referred to in the sports betting industry as a basic strategy teaser, and it is taking advantage of the best use of the key numbers for NFL betting.
Another thing I like to do, which goes against conventional wisdom of many sharp bettors, is to branch out on a 6.5-point teaser when I can tease a three-point favorite to a 3.5-point underdog. Sportsbooks will not let you buy a .5 point off of the key number of three because of the great value of that extra half point off of the most important key number. In my eyes this a great way to get a bit of extra value off a teaser. However, when you use this strategy you have to take into account that it’s going to be more expensive since you will pay more vigorish on a 6.5-point teaser as opposed to the 6-point option, and that in teasing through the number zero you are teasing through a bunch of garbage numbers like two, one and zero, which games very rarely fall on. It has, however, worked for me, but I must be sure I really like the game before I venture down this road.
I feel with teasers you are somewhat betting that the bookies have a solid line on the game.
Tease rivalry games, divisional matchups, and playoff games. Teams that are in big rivalries or that are in conference know each other very well and more importantly, the linesmakers know how these teams fare against one another. The lines for these games are pretty precise, more accurate than teams who rarely play one another. At the end of each season the linesmakers know the teams pretty well and also there is enough game tape that each coach can scout the opponents pretty well.
Tease better defenses, don't tease against good offenses.
A common mistake I see with teasers is teasing a total. There is no total in the NFL or College that when teased six points, raises your win rate 20%. In general, teasing any total is a bad play. Fortunately one of the best ways to play a teaser is to play a spread that when teased, moves through the key numbers of 3 and 7. Teasing Dallas from +2 to +8 or Pittsburgh from -7.5 to -1.5 are two examples.
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