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  • Handicapping

    I just find it strange that so many people rely on trends to handicap games. With every trend that ends, another one begins. I prefer to stick with the basics myself. I take a lot of stock in personnel and stats. Fundamentals pay off. Anybody else find trends to be more annoying than helpful?

  • #2
    I prefer to play hunches and/or go with what I feel applies today rather than what has happened in the past. It's more fun that way rather than just playing a trend. However, I guess it's hard to buck a solid trend too and I certainly will go with them on occasion as well.

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    • #3
      I don't mind trends favoring my picks. But overall I could careless about trends when doing my handicapping.

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      • #4
        I would agree with you for the most part. Some trends are outright ridiculous. Like, the Giants are 18-0 against the spread the week after they play the Pats on Monday Night and the temperature is below 37 degrees and they are on the road west of the Mississippi.........you get the idea.

        Some trends go back so far it has absolutely nothing to do with the current team and their players.

        Most of those kinds of trends are put out by scamdicappers and used as marketing ploys.

        There can be trends that are useful though, but generally, you have to discover them yourself.

        You can uncover trends in the NFL for example that can give you an idea of situations where perhaps linemakers are over pricing favorites in certain situations. This kind of trend can be profitable if you find them.

        Some college trends are worth paying attention to as well. With so much tradition and history in certain college match ups, trends in those games can be an eye opener. Some coaches have other coaches number.

        So yeah, in general, the trends out there that you see are garbage and a handicapper should focus in the strengths and weaknesses of the teams first.

        But there are nstances where trends can be used effectively to back up your statistical handicapping.

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