Consider the following play for 10/13

[Taxman]

don't post too often as I look for only strong value plays. I try not force any wager.

Here is one that I have played for tonight:

Over the last four seasons, 5 MNF games had the home team as dogs of 8.5 or more. The home team was 2-3SU, 5-0ATS, 5-0O.

This the Browns 'Super Bowl'. They had an off week to prepare, they are 3-0SU/ATS L3Y coming off a bye.

If they are going to make a run for the playoffs, it must be this game. I need to control myself, I think I am starting to drink too much Brown kool aid.

One final comment. Look at the Browns M/L, +290! A team getting 9 generally has a higher M/L. Are the sportsbooks hedging a Browns SU W? Then again, what do I know, I am not going to quit my day job.

Good luck!

PLAYED
CLE +9
OVER 43.5

[garister]

I think I can hold out for +10 later though.

NY slammed the Rams 41-13, then squeeked by Cincy the following week.
NY just slammed the Seattle Seahawks hopefully they will follow suit.

[KJALB]

With ya guys on this one Clev should be the right play.

[khandor]

garister,

I don't think the number is going to reach +10.

You will probably need to buy the extra point if you're looking for that specific number.

[garister]

Its a more even wagered game than I expected i played at +9, I can't believe I'll be rooting for the Browns.