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Michigan State at Illinois

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  • Michigan State at Illinois

    Illinois -1.5 pts vs Michigan State

    Illinois opens as a 1.5pt home favorite vs Michigan State
    Prime time baby 8 pm central on ESPN

    The ESPN bus is on campus as ESPN host College Game Day
    in Illinois for this game. A Big game for Illinois.

    A Look at this game from the floor.

    State comes in to this game a twice wounded bear, a severe
    beat down (wake up call maybe) vs Wisky last game, and a second
    bullet with the Injury of Kalin Lucas.

    Losing Lucas is a huge blow if he cant play and I know that high ankle
    sprains are impossible to play through even if he laces them up.

    Lucas means 30 Min's of solid play, 16 pts a game and can hit from
    any where with good average. When Lucas went down with his injury
    in the Wisconsin game in the second half you could see the air being
    let out of this team. It was very obvious his loss is big.

    Lets look at some Stats regarding this match up

    The over/under is 139 points......The Under is 7-1 last 8 games head to head at Illinois.

    At home the Illini average 79 pts a game while the sparties are putting up 69 pts a game on the road for the season.

    When I look at the last 5 games stats which is a good predictor on how teams are playing in real time. I see State hitting only 29% from 3 point land, and Illinois at 38%.

    Tom Izzos squad curshes the boards for rebounds and hold a dominant 41% to 30% edge over Illinois in the Offensive rebound area.

    Coach Weber is well aware of the dominance State has inside and is going to force the issue down low with every big he can find.

    This game is going to be a WAR.

    I see a low scoring Defensive battle in the corn fields in the
    middle of winter.

    The Illini are starting to really come together as a team and if they play 40 minutes of basketball this game would be a walk in the park.

    I Like Illinois to win this game by 3

  • #2
    GL.

    I like the UNDER 138 the best for this game but hope Illinois wins too.

    Comment


    • #3
      A couple of picks:

      Wisconsin/Mich under 115.5- I think both teams will be content to work their offenses and dig in on defense.

      Missouri -4.5 I think the Buffaloes will be flat after the near miss earlier in the week and mizzoo takes advantage.

      Good luck!

      Swicat

      Comment


      • #4
        Switching gears to the NBA- I like

        Phil +5.5
        Utah -8
        Portland +3.5

        Good luck to the Illini tonight. I think it is a make or break for them

        Swicat

        Comment


        • #5
          Illinois wins this game by 5

          78-73

          Scoring right about the average of 79pts a game
          the Illini served up home court tonight

          Beating the Top 5 team in the Nation and moving into
          second place in the Big 10 standings is a huge boost
          to the NCAA Dance card invite list.

          Quality wins over Clemson., Vandy and Michigan State
          is a good start for a resume builder.

          Michigan State has now lost 2 Big 10 games in a row
          and head to Purdue on Tuesday.

          Comment

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