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  • Baseball systems?

    Anybody know any good, reliable baseball systems to grind out a profit for the season?

    What do you think of these?

    System #1. When betting totals you want to take the league average of ERA and batting average then look for teams that have an ERA higher than the average and above average batting. If two of these teams are playing each other take the over. To pick the under just do the opposite. basically what you want is good batting and poor pitching for overs, bad batting and good pitching for unders.


    System #2. Simple Home Chase
    Developed by Hookem22 - goes like this:

    The idea is to chase a team doing well at home to win one game on a homestand, when they are playing a team playing poorly at the time

    1. Home Team is .500 or above at home and at least 5-5 their last 10 games.
    2. Visitor is .500 or less on the road.
    3. Home team loses the first game or the series - this removes the possibility of having to chase 3 games.
    4. Play until home team wins one game. (Doubling your bet until you win.)
    5. All plays are ML.

    This year I will not play 4 game sets.

    Generally speaking you get 3-4 sets to chase per series.

    This was very profitable last year, especially before the all-star break.

    I'll start this the first of May, so as to get good reliable stats.



    System #3. Home Favorite Chase System
    Play on a +.470 team that has lost their last 3 or more home games as a favorite of -110 or more, and is again favored at home by -110 or more. I chase for up to 4 games.

    In 2005 it went 45-0 in a 4 game chase. (went 44-1 using a 3 game chase)
    In 2006 it went 40-0 using a 4 game chase.

    In 2007 it went 39-0 using a 4 game chase.

    2005
    45-0
    Gm.1.. 28 (66.66%)
    Gm 2… 9 (88.09%)
    Gm 3… 6 (97.72%)

    Gm 4….2 (100%)
    3 gm loss- Texas/TB -11.41 units Hit on gm #4

    2006
    40-0
    Gm 1... 28 (70.0%)
    Gm 2... 6 (85.0%)
    Gm 3... 4 (95.0 %)
    Gm 4... 2 (100%)

    2007

    39-0

    Gm 1…26 (66.6%)

    Gm 2…9 (89.7%)

    Gm 3…3 (97.4%)

    Gm 4…1 (100%)

    Heck, you could just stop after game 1 or 2 and make money.

    Progressive bet to win one unit.

  • #2
    I have one that has been golden for years. Pound the Nationals under whatever the season win total is. They are barely a good triple A team.

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    • #3
      How about an over/under system where you figure in the ERA of both starting pitchers and maybe the bullpens, the average runs scored per game for each team, the batting average of each team and maybe the average runs per game for the umpire? Any other factors to add in?

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