Last Week: 10-4-1
Season: 35-23 (60%)
Just Leans and open for discussion now. Final picks later.
Chicago -1 vs Tampa. I actually like the way Cutler and Martz are running the offense. Nicely designed plays. Bears OL looked better against the Vikings and have been run-blocking well. Bears D the difference in this one. Blount still out for Tampa.
Tennessee -3 vs Houston. Second in a row on the road for the Texans and Tenny is at home after a bye. That's not fair! NFL used to make bye teams travel or play another bye team. Amazingly, the line movement says Houston as it has come down to 3!
Carolina -2 vs Washington. Chance for Panthers to win and I think they will get it. It's up to their D and they won't be as challenged this week vs Beck and Shanahan's conservative play-calling. Cam will need to run it a bit.
San Diego -1.5 at NY Jets. Big game for both teams. Might be bigger and more pivotal for the Jets so I might yield to the situational spot and back off. Advantage to the Jets for Home Field, Coaching and Special Teams, but I don't think their D is what it used to be. It will be up to Sanchez and I don't think he's up to it. Rivers is a gamer and he will be slinging it to a VERY good corps of receivers. Gates is back. Revis can only cover one of them.
Lions -3. I liked Falcons at first at +4 or +3.5 but now it is Lions at only -3. Both teams may be over-rated. Third home game in a row for the Lions and they are ticked off that they lost to the Niners in the last minute last week and then Swartz went postal after Harbaugh. Leaning Lions now, but Best is probably out, Megatron has been quiet lately and Stafford not so confident. Also, that vaunted Lions DL has been run over by Matt Forte and Frank Gore the last two weeks. Is Julio Jone sback for Atlanta?
Arizona +4 vs Pittsburgh. I don't like Kolb, but they ARE hungry and at home and could get after Big Ben. Steelers dinged up. Harrison and Troy are ?
St. Louis +13 at Dallas. I guess because they actually played the Pack tough. They had an INT in the endzone. If that scores they would have covered! Backdoor is always open when you are getting +13 or +14. I guess I am expecting Cowboys to be a little flat after another tough loss against a good team. Hard to then get up for the bad team. You want to prove yourself against a GOOD team and you might tend to play down to the bad team. Even if Bradford is out, Feeley is capable and Bradford has been experiencing a sophmore jinx anyway.
Seattle +3. I liked the Browns and McCoy at the start of the season, but they laid an egg in the opener when I backed them. Whitehurst is capable and the Seahawks D is pretty good. Getting 3 in a toss-up game is good. Seattle proved they can handle the travel vs the Giants.
Minnesota +9 vs Green Bay. Rookie QB in for Minny. Minny D not bad. I would like +10. Bad spot for GB. Viks should be up for it to salvage their season and show that they are a decent team. Give it to AP! Pack D not playing very well. But can Rodgers and that O Unit be stopped?
Raiders? I liked them at -3 when they opened but it is all the way to -5.5. Forget it. Palmer going to start?! Wow. Who knows.
Jets/Chargers over 43. Both teams should open it up for this important game. Should be a close, back and forth game and those tend to keep each other pushing.
Houston/Tennessee under 44.5. Like this a lot as Tenny playing good D and Houston D much improved. Both offenses missing play-makers and both teams will want to establish the run. Tenny coach very conservative.
St. Louis/Dallas under 44. Dallas D playing well and St. Louis D decent as they held GB to 24 at GB. And you can be sure Dallas will sit on any DD lead they get this time. Hear that Romo?
Chicago/Tampa under 44 due to always rainy weather and travel fatigue and soft field. And Da Bears' D.
Season: 35-23 (60%)
Just Leans and open for discussion now. Final picks later.
Chicago -1 vs Tampa. I actually like the way Cutler and Martz are running the offense. Nicely designed plays. Bears OL looked better against the Vikings and have been run-blocking well. Bears D the difference in this one. Blount still out for Tampa.
Tennessee -3 vs Houston. Second in a row on the road for the Texans and Tenny is at home after a bye. That's not fair! NFL used to make bye teams travel or play another bye team. Amazingly, the line movement says Houston as it has come down to 3!
Carolina -2 vs Washington. Chance for Panthers to win and I think they will get it. It's up to their D and they won't be as challenged this week vs Beck and Shanahan's conservative play-calling. Cam will need to run it a bit.
San Diego -1.5 at NY Jets. Big game for both teams. Might be bigger and more pivotal for the Jets so I might yield to the situational spot and back off. Advantage to the Jets for Home Field, Coaching and Special Teams, but I don't think their D is what it used to be. It will be up to Sanchez and I don't think he's up to it. Rivers is a gamer and he will be slinging it to a VERY good corps of receivers. Gates is back. Revis can only cover one of them.
Lions -3. I liked Falcons at first at +4 or +3.5 but now it is Lions at only -3. Both teams may be over-rated. Third home game in a row for the Lions and they are ticked off that they lost to the Niners in the last minute last week and then Swartz went postal after Harbaugh. Leaning Lions now, but Best is probably out, Megatron has been quiet lately and Stafford not so confident. Also, that vaunted Lions DL has been run over by Matt Forte and Frank Gore the last two weeks. Is Julio Jone sback for Atlanta?
Arizona +4 vs Pittsburgh. I don't like Kolb, but they ARE hungry and at home and could get after Big Ben. Steelers dinged up. Harrison and Troy are ?
St. Louis +13 at Dallas. I guess because they actually played the Pack tough. They had an INT in the endzone. If that scores they would have covered! Backdoor is always open when you are getting +13 or +14. I guess I am expecting Cowboys to be a little flat after another tough loss against a good team. Hard to then get up for the bad team. You want to prove yourself against a GOOD team and you might tend to play down to the bad team. Even if Bradford is out, Feeley is capable and Bradford has been experiencing a sophmore jinx anyway.
Seattle +3. I liked the Browns and McCoy at the start of the season, but they laid an egg in the opener when I backed them. Whitehurst is capable and the Seahawks D is pretty good. Getting 3 in a toss-up game is good. Seattle proved they can handle the travel vs the Giants.
Minnesota +9 vs Green Bay. Rookie QB in for Minny. Minny D not bad. I would like +10. Bad spot for GB. Viks should be up for it to salvage their season and show that they are a decent team. Give it to AP! Pack D not playing very well. But can Rodgers and that O Unit be stopped?
Raiders? I liked them at -3 when they opened but it is all the way to -5.5. Forget it. Palmer going to start?! Wow. Who knows.
Jets/Chargers over 43. Both teams should open it up for this important game. Should be a close, back and forth game and those tend to keep each other pushing.
Houston/Tennessee under 44.5. Like this a lot as Tenny playing good D and Houston D much improved. Both offenses missing play-makers and both teams will want to establish the run. Tenny coach very conservative.
St. Louis/Dallas under 44. Dallas D playing well and St. Louis D decent as they held GB to 24 at GB. And you can be sure Dallas will sit on any DD lead they get this time. Hear that Romo?
Chicago/Tampa under 44 due to always rainy weather and travel fatigue and soft field. And Da Bears' D.
Comment