SUPER Super Bowl System

[WildCard]

Supposeably this formula has predicted the spread winner over 82 % since Super Bowl I.

I moved and can't locate the site I was using to gather this info.
Can anyone direct me to a site whereas I can find these stats ?

It would be most appreciated !!!

1. Award a point if the team you're studying has averaged 24 or more during its last 3 games.

2. Give an additional point to a team if it averaged 30 or more during its last 3 outings.

3. Add a point if the team scored in double digits in every game this season.

4. Add a point if the team being considered was able to hold its opposition to 10 points or less in 4 games this past season.

5. Add another point if the team has held its opponents over the past 3 games to an average of 10 points or less.

6. Add a point if the club has won its last 3 games against the pointspread.

7. Award another point if the team holds an advantage over its opponent in the pointspread category during the past 3 games.

8. Tie-Breaker : Play the team that has recorded the largest number of pointspread wins over the course of the season.

Sincerely,
WildCard

[Carpet]

Interesting

What about subtracting points when you have a great defense

[dragon1952]

This site will give all of that info I believe.
http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/t...2.aspx?season=

In the left hand column select any team under 'NFL Teams". At the bottom it will show 2011 and 2012 results. If you want to go back further click on "Full schedule/results". This will give you the stats for 1-5 on your list
and
also in the left hand column select anything under "NFL Odds", and the next page will show "ATS Numbers" in the left hand column. Under that heading select "By Season". This will give you the info for #8 on your list.

For #'s 6 and 7 you'd have to look back and see what the spread was (unless it's obvious by the score that the team covered). I sometimes just look back at the spreads used in our NFL GOW contest if I can't remember.

[Taxman]

Remember Hank Stram's Super Bowl System?

I can remember he was spot on picking the SU winner at an overwhelming high rate:

Here's how it goes:

1. Give 10 points if a team has won a Super Bowl in the last three years.
2. Give 8.0 points to any team whose opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history.
3. Give 8.0 points to the team that has allowed the fewer defensive rushes.
4. Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs.
5. Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes.
6. Give 5.0 points to the team with the lower defensive rush average per carry.
7. Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns.
8. Give 4.0 points to the team the team with the better record against the point spread.
9. Give 4.0 points to the team that has the superior net penalty yards.
10. Give 3.5 points to the team that has the best yards per pass attempt.
11. Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest points.
12. Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns.
13. Give 3.0 points to the team that has the most sacks.
14. Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewest offensive pass attempts.
15. Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year.
16. Give 1.5 points to the team with the best average per offensive rush.
17. Give 1.0 points to the team with the best completion percentage.

[hart attack]

my system says take the ravens

[woodee12]

My system says flip a coin. No value in the super bowl in my eyes, ever.
Only value play is the under. With as much money bet by the public, the under is the only bet I would dare to make.
Other than that, I may play a couple stupid props but overall with hoops n hockey going on, there are far better ways to make a wager than this super hype bowl.

[WildCard]

Appears good defense is addressed in #'s 4 and 5.

Would certainly be interesting if a compurter WHIZ could generate a program that
supports this win %.
Then add your weighted value number and observe the results.

Carpet,

I can admit that I first became aware of this system late 1970's.
If my memory is correct and since I missed a few years, I only remember
losing 4-5 years during this period of 30 plus years.

Would make me extremely excited to view the results.

[WildCard]

Thanks Dragon

[Taxman]

Appears good defense is addressed in #'s 4 and 5.

Would certainly be interesting if a compurter WHIZ could generate a program that
supports this win %.
Then add your weighted value number and observe the results.

I will try to run this information over the next weekend. I'm interested to see the results as well.

[WildCard]

Taxman,

Thanks so much.

I made a small wager Balt +4.

However I entend to place a large wager on the team the system chooses.

With Best Reguards,
WildCard

ps
Think system lost last year but not sure, wasn't able to bet.
But even if it lost, will take that as good sign, meaning avg should be in system's favor.

[dragon1952]

If my math was correct Bal gets 4 pts and SF gets 3. However, the deciding pt was Bal covering past 3 and SF not. But it's real hard not to give SF a pt there also considering they had a 14 pt win vs Ari with a spread of 16, which would actually be their only spread loss in the past 3 because I think you'd have to count the 4 pt win at Atlanta a spread win also considering it opened at -3.5.
At first glance I think I'd have to take the pts with Bal also.

[WildCard]

Dragon,

Hope you're correct.
Haven't had time to research stats as yet.
However I did double my bet.
Figured I best get some more down as line now 3.5

If my calulations confirm Balt, and Taxman's match and
Past winning % is over 70.
Then I'm going to make the largest bet I've ever made !

WildCard

[WildCard]

If my math was correct Bal gets 4 pts and SF gets 3. However, the deciding pt was Bal covering past 3 and SF not. But it's real hard not to give SF a pt there also considering they had a 14 pt win vs Ari with a spread of 16, which would actually be their only spread loss in the past 3 because I think you'd have to count the 4 pt win at Atlanta a spread win also considering it opened at -3.5.
At first glance I think I'd have to take the pts with Bal also.

Dragon,
Your numbers right on.
Same 4-3 here.

[Carpet]

Keep that info coming men lets nail this bad boy down and turn it into GREEN.

[woodee12]

I am in the minority I think and don't use stats such as these to cap games but I like the niners myself. I hope the money line keeps going down bc if it does I will just play sf small on the ml.
The Super Bowl is the biggest public perception bet in the world. People watched the ravens man handle the pats late and that us driving the line in the game.
I think sf is the better team overall when looking at the whole body of work.

San Fran by 6 and under 47.5 is my call without using any stats just gut and line reading.