Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Thursday Hoops

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Thursday Hoops

    OK...so I lied

    So, on with this masochistic futility and no more whining like a bitch. Here is some more amateurish analysis from a square's point of view.
    All stats/averages are from league play only.

    N. Carolina -3 @ Clemson - OK, N. Car. is just 3-4 on the road, Clemson 4-3 at home. Clemson gives up around 61.7 ppg, the Tar Heels 68.7,
    but N.C. is averaging around 14.5 more ppg on offense, 72 vs 57.7. In Clemson's last 5 games their offensive avg has dropped to just 55 ppg.
    At first I was thinking Clemson at home but after looking at it closer I think Clemson is going to have play a hell of a defensive game to keep
    up on offense. Guessing NC 67 Clem 62.
    Drexel -2.5 @ Old Dominion - ODU is just 2-14 and just 1-7 at home since league play started. Drexel has revenge for a 12 pt loss at home
    to ODU, a game in which ODU hit 8 of 16 3-pointers for 50% which is ridiculous considering their 27% season avg. Drexel was 4-2 on the road until
    losing their last 2 games by a combined 3 pts, one in double OT, and against two top 3 league teams. Drexel hasn't lost more than 2 in a row since
    a 3 game slide in games 2-4 of league play (one was a 3 pt loss and one an OT loss).
    South Carolina +9.5 vs Missouri - Missouri has been a terrible road team going just 1-6 so far with the only win against last place Miss St. who has
    been losing huge to everyone lately. At least S. Car. has a few decent efforts. In their 7 home games they are just 2-5 but 3 of the losses have been
    by 7 or less, and their last home game was a W vs Mississippi. The Gamecocks only lost by 6 at Missouri earlier so considering how poorly the Tigers
    have played on the road the +9.5 looks pretty decent.

    Leaning slightly toward Virginia -PK but I always seem to pick the wrong side where Duke is concerned.

  • #2
    My top plays for today....

    Zaga/Ohio State...ML Parlay (laying about -130odds with this one but worth it in my eyes). BYU getting too much credit here and with all the upsets, I don;t think Zaga take this one lightly. And OSU "should" route NW too. I think the PSU win opened their eyes a bit too.

    Oregon State +10 over Oregon

    Under 58 Cal/Utah (1st half)

    Thats all for me today. Playing conservative until conference tourney time.

    Comment


    • #3
      I like Ohio St also....ML no brainer of course. Something I notice from the 1st match-up where Ohio St won by 10. O.S. only hit 29% on 3's whereas NW hit 11 of 26, well above their avg. NW got out-rebounded by 21 and they only got 3 attempts from the line compared to 22 for O.S. who shot poorly from there on that particular day. Out of NW's 11 losses, 10 have been by double-digits and 9 have been by 14 or more with the last 3 being by 21, 28 and 31! Over those last 3 games they've only scored 41, 41 and 43 pts. You just wonder if they haven't just cashed it in for the season. I like Ohio St to win by at least 10.
      I want to like Gonzaga but they've already clinched #1 seed for the league tournament and only need 1 more win to win the conference which they'll get next week for sure at home vs Portland. They beat BYU earlier by 20 so you would think ML is a decent shot anyway....not sure about the 5.5.

      Comment


      • #4
        Dragon/woodee,
        Great help as usual. Dragon I'm surprised you didn't put
        those three into a parlay. I'm leaning on you guys and
        Carpet as we head to the conference tournaments.
        Good Luck tonight.
        My one play tonight, Drexel -2.5.
        I will be watching Duke/VA should be a good one.

        Comment


        • #5
          Here's my parlays for the day

          5pt teaser
          Drexel
          OldDominion 02/28/13(19:05 ET)
          Drexel +2
          Duke
          Virginia 02/28/13(21:05 ET)
          Duke +6
          Missouri
          SCarolina 02/28/13(21:05 ET)
          SCarolina +14.5
          NorthCarolina
          Clemson 02/28/13(19:05 ET)
          NorthCarolina +1
          OhioSt
          Northwestern 02/28/13(19:05 ET)
          OhioSt -6

          and then
          N. Car -2 (bought 2)
          Ohio St -8 (bought 3)

          and
          Drexel -2
          Ohio St -10
          S. Car +10
          Last edited by dragon1952; 02-28-2013, 06:02 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Just a few thoughts on the games tonight

            Gonzaga # 2 in the land a 5 point chalk at BYU this line does not compute, didn't these two teams play earlier this year and the Zags won by 20? So what gives with this line?

            Let me give you a Carpets view. Ground level if you will. Illinois beat Gonzaga this year out west and showed that defense can beat this team. The Zags are the most over rated team in the top 10. I am not sure where they belong they play such a soft conference the numbers are skewed.

            BYU isnt that great of a team but you never know what the air of salt lake city will do to a team. Taking BYU and the points.

            So you might say hell Carpet is betting on the air levels but in reality this Byu team is a scrappy bunch that plays hard and that is what I am betting on the team that plays the hardest.

            Duke vs Virginia Pick em- I thought a few Duke players were banged up for tonight. Heading into a snake den I still have to roll with Duke tonight.

            Good Luck all

            Carpet
            Last edited by Carpet; 02-28-2013, 07:29 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              oh well, that's the problem with parlays. Last 3 days I've missed 5 by just one game...even had a 5-pt, 9 teamer miss by one.

              Comment


              • #8
                Friday--

                Harvard +6 at Princeton--Baiscially for the tourney berth. I think Harvard is the better team so this line baffles me.

                Comment

                Working...
                X