Sorry for the late post, lost track of time.
I'm going with UNC +12
UNC not getting much love, talent level on D is fairly close.
I can see the Tar Heels keeping it within 10. I'll take the overlay of points.
When North Carolina
has the ball
Category UNC
Offense Kentucky
Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency 107.4 36 83.3 1 99.7
Avg. Poss Length 15.2 11 20.3 345 18.0
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 48.3 180 33.5 1 48.6
Turnover %: 16.9 42 26.0 8 20.1
Off. Reb. %: 43.0 5 31.1 174 31.6
FTA/FGA: 41.4 101 29.5 56 37.7
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 28.0 300 25.4 14 33.7
2P%: 50.3 99 30.7 1 47.5
FT%: 69.8 136 66.7 122 68.3
Block%: 7.6 74 25.9 1 9.9
Steal%: 8.0 67 12.5 36 9.6
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 24.1 336 37.2 261 34.3
A/FGM: 61.8 32 40.8 3 53.3
Defensive
Fingerprint: Mostly
Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 16.1 345 32.8 60 28.2
2-Pointers: 60.8 15 44.5 309 50.9
Free Throws: 23.0 95 22.7 115 20.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 37.5% 55 46.1% 2 32.0%
Experience: 1.29 yrs 295 0.87 yrs 344 1.67
Effective Height: +1.9 62 +6.7 1 0.0
Average Height: 77.8" 40 79.6" 1 76.7"
When Kentucky
has the ball
Category Kentucky
Offense UNC
Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency 112.8 5 89.2 12 99.7
Avg. Poss Length 16.1 43 18.0 182 18.0
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 50.4 115 38.1 6 48.6
Turnover %: 16.5 30 21.1 116 20.1
Off. Reb. %: 46.3 1 36.2 299 31.6
FTA/FGA: 39.7 137 37.4 171 37.7
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 27.7 305 24.1 5 33.7
2P%: 53.8 35 39.3 19 47.5
FT%: 65.3 258 72.8 293 68.3
Block%: 4.7 7 16.1 18 9.9
Steal%: 7.2 36 11.1 84 9.6
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 27.9 304 38.0 280 34.3
A/FGM: 59.2 70 46.7 55 53.3
Defensive
Fingerprint: Inconc-
lusive
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 18.3 336 26.5 231 28.2
2-Pointers: 61.3 13 47.2 269 50.9
Free Throws: 20.4 194 26.3 32 20.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 46.1% 2 37.5% 55 32.0%
Experience: 0.87 yrs 344 1.29 yrs 295 1.67
Effective Height: +6.7 1 +1.9 62 0.0
Average Height: 79.6" 1 77.8" 40 76.7"
I'm going with UNC +12
UNC not getting much love, talent level on D is fairly close.
I can see the Tar Heels keeping it within 10. I'll take the overlay of points.
When North Carolina
has the ball
Category UNC
Offense Kentucky
Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency 107.4 36 83.3 1 99.7
Avg. Poss Length 15.2 11 20.3 345 18.0
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 48.3 180 33.5 1 48.6
Turnover %: 16.9 42 26.0 8 20.1
Off. Reb. %: 43.0 5 31.1 174 31.6
FTA/FGA: 41.4 101 29.5 56 37.7
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 28.0 300 25.4 14 33.7
2P%: 50.3 99 30.7 1 47.5
FT%: 69.8 136 66.7 122 68.3
Block%: 7.6 74 25.9 1 9.9
Steal%: 8.0 67 12.5 36 9.6
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 24.1 336 37.2 261 34.3
A/FGM: 61.8 32 40.8 3 53.3
Defensive
Fingerprint: Mostly
Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 16.1 345 32.8 60 28.2
2-Pointers: 60.8 15 44.5 309 50.9
Free Throws: 23.0 95 22.7 115 20.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 37.5% 55 46.1% 2 32.0%
Experience: 1.29 yrs 295 0.87 yrs 344 1.67
Effective Height: +1.9 62 +6.7 1 0.0
Average Height: 77.8" 40 79.6" 1 76.7"
When Kentucky
has the ball
Category Kentucky
Offense UNC
Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency 112.8 5 89.2 12 99.7
Avg. Poss Length 16.1 43 18.0 182 18.0
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 50.4 115 38.1 6 48.6
Turnover %: 16.5 30 21.1 116 20.1
Off. Reb. %: 46.3 1 36.2 299 31.6
FTA/FGA: 39.7 137 37.4 171 37.7
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 27.7 305 24.1 5 33.7
2P%: 53.8 35 39.3 19 47.5
FT%: 65.3 258 72.8 293 68.3
Block%: 4.7 7 16.1 18 9.9
Steal%: 7.2 36 11.1 84 9.6
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 27.9 304 38.0 280 34.3
A/FGM: 59.2 70 46.7 55 53.3
Defensive
Fingerprint: Inconc-
lusive
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 18.3 336 26.5 231 28.2
2-Pointers: 61.3 13 47.2 269 50.9
Free Throws: 20.4 194 26.3 32 20.9
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 46.1% 2 37.5% 55 32.0%
Experience: 0.87 yrs 344 1.29 yrs 295 1.67
Effective Height: +6.7 1 +1.9 62 0.0
Average Height: 79.6" 1 77.8" 40 76.7"