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  • Monday Analysis

    Arena Football League Action for Monday February 23rd, 7:30 PM
    INDIANA (0 - 2) at DETROIT (1 - 1)
    Detroit -7

    The Indiana Firebirds will be looking for their first win of the season when they visit the Detroit Fury on Monday at the Palace of Auburn Hills. Indiana began to show signs of improvement in the second half of last weeks game against the New Orleans VooDoo, but came up just short when they allowed a TD as time expired and fell, 41-40.

    The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 59-55 Detroit win in this game.

    StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring INDIANA to cover the spread:
    INDIANA is 12-5 ATS over the past 2+ years on the road
    INDIANA has won its last three games ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
    INDIANA is 10-2 ATS over the past 2+ years against division opponents

    Key Stats:
    Despite being 0-2, Indiana has allowed just 226 yards per game. In the critical PYA (pass yards per attempt) differential statistic, the Firebirds are a minus 1.4. Meanwhile, Detroit is a minus 2.0 in that stat, thanks to a terrible 4.8 PYA on offense.

    Head-to-Head History:
    All games in this series since 1996
    INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1996
    INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT since 1996
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
    The average score in these games was INDIANA 55, DETROIT 46
    The average spread in these games was INDIANA favored by 7.6 points



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    NHL Action Monday, 2/23/2004 10:35 PM
    NASHVILLE (30-22-7-2, 69 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (23-17-14-7, 67 pts.)
    #1 GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - TOMAS VOKOUN, LOS ANGELES - ROMAN CECHMANEK
    Los Angeles -0.5 -115

    StatFox Super Situations favoring LOS ANGELES to cover the puck line:
    * Play Against - Road underdogs or pick on the puck line (NASHVILLE) - off a road win by 2 goals or more, with a winning record in the second half of the season. (48-22 since 1996.) (68.6%, +26.3 units. Rating = 3*)

    The StatFox Estimator projects a 2.7-2.4 win in this game. Based on that projection: LOS ANGELES is 20-5 ATS (+16.4 Units) when they allow 2 or less goals this season.The average score was LOS ANGELES 2.5, OPPONENT 1.1

    StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring LOS ANGELES to cover the spread:
    * NASHVILLE is 4-19 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NASHVILLE 1.4, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 2*)
    * NASHVILLE is 3-12 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games off a road win over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was NASHVILLE 1.9, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 0*)
    * NASHVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games off a road win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NASHVILLE 0.9, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)
    * NASHVILLE is 1-10 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games off a win by 2 goals or more as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NASHVILLE 1.4, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 1*)
    * NASHVILLE is 4-18 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NASHVILLE 1.8, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 2*)

    Head-to-Head History:
    Games over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 10-1 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 8-1-2 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons.
    Over the last five games, NASHVILLE has managed just 3 goals against Los Angeles.



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    College Hoops Monday, 8:00 PM
    FRESNO ST (12 - 12) at RICE (18 - 7)
    Fresno State -7.5

    StatFox Super Situations favoring RICE to cover the spread:
    Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FRESNO ST) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games.
    (123-74 since 1997.) (62.4%, +41.6 units. Rating = 2*)

    The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 73-65 Rice win in this game. The Owls are expected to outshoot the Bulldogs 47-43%. Based on the projections: RICE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 60 to 69 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was RICE 71.2, OPPONENT 63.4

    StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring RICE to cover the spread:
    * FRESNO ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season. The average score was FRESNO ST 62.4, OPPONENT 65.0 - (Rating = 0*)
    * FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. The average score was FRESNO ST 60.7, OPPONENT 68.0 - (Rating = 0*)
    * RICE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. The average score was RICE 68.2, OPPONENT 69.2 - (Rating = 1*)

    Key Stats:
    Rice is 11-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 14 ppg. (82-68) The Owls beat Fresno State by 21 at home a year ago. Fresno State meanwhile is struggling a bit on offense, scoring just 55.5 ppg over its last 4.


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