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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21
PITTSBURGH (-6.5) over Rutgers by 13 (5:45)
At first glance, it appears to be a vote for the "undefeated defensive running dog". Behind RBs Rice and Leonard, Knights are averaging 195 RYPG, 4.7 YPR. Cause for Panther backer concern when they recall that Michigan St. ran for 335 yards against the Panthers (and hasn't won a game since). Rutgers also features the most improved defense in the Country at 8 PPG. With Pitt's 6 wins (vs. one of the weakest schedules in the Nation), why would I be laying this chalk? Two reasons: Pitt QB Palko is in "the zone", as the most efficient passer in the Nation and (2), team leader H. B. Blades began wearing his Rutgers shirt the first day of off-season workouts. It's a meaningful reminder to the entire team that they have circled this date on their calendars in red as their "REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR". IS IT OURS TOO? TO FIND OUT, SIGN UP AT ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
PENN ST. (-17.5) over Illinois by 24 (Noon)
Illinois lost 20-17 as 6 point HF to lowly Ohio (5 TOs were the culprit as they limited OU to just 238 yards). Later, as predicted on this page, Penn St. lost by only 7 to the best team in the country. Somehow, we have gotten over a full TD of value from those results. Might be because QB Morelli was knocked silly in the second half. Truth is, there is little drop off in any of their first 3 QBs. All they need to do is hand the ball to RB Hunt and let a top ranked defense set the tone.
Michigan St. (-7) over NORTHWESTERN by 14 (Noon)
After running roughshod over Pitt 5 weeks ago, the Spartans endured the Notre Dame debacle, were upset by Illinois, then predictably lost to the 2 best teams in the Country. Now, their best wide*out is injured and QB Stanton is battered and bruised. At 3-4 SU, do they toss the towel, as has been the nature of this program? I say "No!" as they will be meaningful favorites in the next 4 games and can easily salvage the season. Why the motivation against lowly Northwestern with injured RB Sutton and a passing attack averaging just 121 RYPG? How about a 14-49 ass whipping in Evanston LY as all the motivation they will need. CAN "SPARTY" GET "OFF THE MAT"TO RALLY FOR A HUGE VICTORY AS "OUR REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR". TO FIND OUT GO TO ONLINE SERVICES AND SIGN UP NOW. IT"S GOING TO BE A HUGE WEEKEND.
Louisville (-16.5) over SYRACUSE by 24 (Noon)
This line has dropped 3 points since the opener. We accept the gift as a potential 5* BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK. THESE BEAUTIES ARE NOW 6-1 ATS. We used the Orange for a couple of those victories. In recent weeks ,however, they have been exposed as a pretender. Like allowing 34 points to Wyoming and 457 RY to WVU LW. Against quality defenses, they failed to score more than 17 points. With the return of QB Brohm, that won't be nearly enough on the fast track of the Carrier Dome. Cards are out scoring foes 41-13 with their 500+ YPG offense. They average over " a Nickel" per with their balanced running and passing attack. Lay it with the "Ville". TO FIND OUT HOW STRONG, GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
NC State (+3) over MARYLAND by 4 (Noon)
Divergent results of LW put Wolf Pack in desired role of dog where they stand 14-2 ATS away from Raleigh. They blew one to Wake despite out gaining the Deacons 334-266. Terps due for downer after expending much energy to come back from 20 down for win, no cover, vs. lowly UVA. To read about momentum, letdowns, and bounce backs, read my free articles on this site ("Chocolate Cake" and "Erectile Dysfunction")
ARKANSAS (-17) over Mississippi by 24 (12:30)
The popgun offense of Ole Miss (14 PPG, 216 YPG) took over rated Alabama to OT LW before falling 23-26. It's a real downer for this trip to Arkansas. They will meet a Hog team who is rolling the last 2 weeks rushing for 279 yards vs. Auburn and 381 LW in a 63-7 momentum-building cruise, 63-7 vs. SE MO. Now they have a full tank to Steamroll a Rebel defense allowing 4.2 YPR.
NOTRE DAME (-13.5) over UCLA by 20 (2:30)
Technicians will point to the inverted home road dichotomy which finds the Bruins on a 12-2 ATS run as road dog and the Irish just 6-11 ATS HF. Dame has covered just 1 of their L10 games with a profile of a rushing offense that gains just 107 RYPG and 3.3 YPR. With UCLA allowing just 15 PPG, 2.8 YPR and having plenty of practice defending PAC 10 passing attacks, why the love for Notre Dame? Starting UCLA QB, Olsen, is out meaning back up QB Cowan makes his second start (could pass for only 112 yards at Oregon LW). That's assuming he recovers from laryngitis, which is precluding him from calling signals this week! UCLA HC Dorrell says he doesn't even want to think about the option of starting his third stringer who has never taken a snap. Just the statement this kid needs to hear should he be pressed into action.
S. Carolina (-3.5) over VANDERBILT by 10 (3:00)
CAROLINA HC SPURRIER HAS NEVER LOST TO VANDY. I SAID NEVER! DON'T EXPECT THAT TO START TODAY. Since insertion of QB Newton, the Game Cock passing attack has come to life averaging 222 PYPG. It will work well against the decidedly inferior pass defense of Vandy. That unit will lead a rested and healthy Carolina team to their 5th consecutive conference road win on one of the weakest home fields in the league. Great value here following Vandy's upset of vastly over ranked Georgia.
BYU (-28.5) over UNLV by only 21 (3:00)
Cougars are 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS and play with a week of rest after just covering in this price range. UNLV has lost 5 straight, is 1-5 SU, 1-4 ATS. They are off a home OT defeat and have a QB controversy.
MICHIGAN (-13) over Iowa by 20 (3:30)
Looks like a great spot for the Hawk Eyes to bounce back following their 3 point upset loss as RF at Indiana LW. They have a 29 PPG offense with good balance, a defensive front allowing 3.7 YPR and a top 20 pass defense. AINT GONNA HAPPEN! While all others backed Penn St. LW, I wrote on this page that Michigan was the best team in the Country and would prove so in the next month. That includes today as their perfectly balanced offense and the best defense in the Country emerges with a surprisingly easy victory.
NEBRASKA (+6.5) over Texas by 1 (Noon)
Improved Huskers enter on a 4 game win streak at 6-1 SU, 4-2 ATS. We have been successfully riding their train most of the season. In the 3rd year under HC Callahan, they have put it all together with an offense running and passing for at least 208 YPG. And a defense allowing just 13 PPG and less than 100 RYPG. Those stats good enough to get this victory in front of the most devoted home crowd in college football? YES!
Wisconsin (-6) over PURDUE by 13 (Noon)
Purdue will get more than their share of support as an "offensive home dog". They average 38PPG and 431 YPG. But Wisky has one of the best pass defenses in the Nation allowing just 123 YPG. When the Badgers have the ball, they will Steamroll their way to victory with their balanced offense averaging 4.6 YPR and over 200 PYPG. Purdue allows 4.1 YPR and has a bottom 20 pass defense. We win for the 3rd consecutive week backing Bucky Badger.
TENNESSEE (-10.5) over Alabama by 17 (3:30)
Technicians will relish the role of rivalry road dog. This is a series that has seen the traveler go 13-1 ATS with L3G decided by a total of 15 points. What the history books don't show is that the Vols, after being 5-6 SU LY, are one of the Nations most improved teams at 5-1 SU ATS. Resurgence has been keyed in no small part by improvement of QB Ainge, the league's total offense leader. What also does not show up on the stat sheet is the fact the VOLS ARE PLAYING AS A RESTED HOMER OFF A HUGE MOMENTUM BUILDING WIN WITH REVENGE FOR LAST YEARS 6-3 LOSS. THAT'S PLENTY 'NUFF TO FURTHER EXPOSE THE OVER RATED TIDE. IS IT ENOUGH TO MAKE THEM OUR 6% REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR. MAKE SURE YOU ARE THE FIRST IN YOUR BLOCK TO FIND OUT BY GOING TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW AND SIGNING UP.
WYOMING and Colorado St. UNDER 40.5 (4:00)
These are among the 2 most improved defenses in the league, if not the Nation. They are allowing just 267 YPG and 269 YPG respectively. Coincidentally, they are each performing well below their offensive output of recent years. Neither has much of a running game and neither averages more than 310 YPG. A cold windy day in Laramie would only help our cause. OUR COLLEGE OVER UNDERS ARE 15-7 (69%) ATS FOR THE SEASON. WE HAVE OUR FIRST 5% TOTAL PLAY THIS SATURDAY. YOU'LL GET IT AND ALL THE OTHER TOTALS AS PART OF YOUR WEEKEND PACKAGE WHEN YOU GO TO ONLINE SERVICES TO SIGN UP.
ARIZONA ST (-23) over Stanford by 16 (3:30)
The Sun Devils showed a resurgence, following a pair of miserable outings, in a 21-28 loss but cover vs. USC. Now they are back in the desert where they always play their best ball, standing 9-2 ATS as HF (-10+). Stanford is 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS averaging just 11 PPG. Their last wing was clipped with foot injury to QB Edwards.
NEVADA (-13) over San Jose St. by 20 (7:00)
Time to expose the 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS Spartan who enters here on a 4 game win streak. But those wins all came at home against Stanford, Cal Poly, SD St. and Utah St. (don't bother looking in the top 25 for any of those names). Against that weak level of competition they are allowing 4.4 YPR with a bottom 20 pass defense. On the road for the first time since week 1, they journey to Nevada where the Wolf Pack is 7-0 SU ATS. The "Pistol Attack" is in for a huge night as they expose the suspect Spartan defense.
Oregon St. (-2) over ARIZONA by 9 (7:00)
Playing without your top 2 QBs can get you a win against lowly Stanford. But it won't get you many points against an improved Oregon St defense that has allowed just a combined 30 points to Wash. and Wash. St. L2W. For the year, they allow just 129 RYPG and have a top 20 pass defense. Their comeback victory at Washington LW was a potential season saver, evening their mark at 3-3 SU. They out gained the Huskies 488-256, winning despite a (-3) in the TO column. Expect the offensive momentum to carry over today.
LSU (-32.5) over Fresno St. by only 26 (8:00)
LSU bounced back from its second loss with a 49-0 victory vs. Kentucky. They are now 8-2 ATS as (-10+) Fresno lost their 5th straight to Hawaii to drop to 1-5 SU, 0-6 ATS. They allowed 570 yards and were *3 in the TO column. Following their heart breaking loss to USC last November, they are on a 0-9 ATS run.
Texas Tech (-2.5) over IOWA ST. by 10 (3:30)
Iowa St. has a weak defense allowing 29 PPG, 4.3 YPR and is bottom 5 in the Nation against the pass. TTRR, who passes 76% of the time for 337 PYPG, was held in check by the solid pass defenses of Missouri and Colorado. They lost by a combined score of 68-27. Yet, TTRR has been a resilient group standing 18-7 ATS / loss. Look for the "bounce" today as they blow away the weak secondary of the Cyclones.
OKLAHOMA ST. (-2) over Texas A&M by 9 (7:00)
Check out the support we have if we decide to use Ok St. as our 2006 REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR. Last year the Cowboys lost 23-62 at College Station. It was not atypical of the home road dichotomy these 2 bring to the field today. Cowboys stand 16-7 ATS home while the Aggies are just 4-13 ATS away. A&M punched their Bowl ticket LW when they were handed a gift for the second consecutive week by a Missouri team who coughed up 3 critical fumbles. Before that, Aggie victims had included such notables as The Citadel, LA Laff., Army and LA Tech. LW, Ok St. scored a momentum building 42 points in the second half at Kansas for a rare road win, bringing them to 4-2 SU for the season. Though the remaining slate is daunting, victories today and later this year vs. Baylor on this field would make them Bowl eligible. Is this enough to qualify the Cowboys as our REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR? TO FIND OUT GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
MISSOURI (-16) over Kansas St. by 23 (2:00)
TALK ABOUT REVENGE. After many seasons in which K St. was the dominant program, Missouri takes the field as 16 point chalk today. They will be doing so with the knowledge they have lost 13 consecutive times to the Wild Cats. Two weeks ago, new Kansas St. HC Prince openly stated he was going to a youth movement. He acknowledged his team might "Take some lumps". LW, they took one from Nebraska, 21-3, being out rushed 190-22. Defense is the area where Missouri has made its biggest improvement. They allow just 14 PPG and 270 YPG. Their offense, under QB Daniels, has improved as well at 32 PPG 473 YPG. LW, they gift wrapped a 25-19 loss at A&M with 3 TOs. With 13X revenge and coming of their first loss of the season, look for the Tigers to come fully focused against a Wild Cat team who is starting their young players on the road for the first time.
OKLAHOMA (-13.5) over Colorado by only 6 (7:00)
Divergent results from LW have negatively impacted our line value. Not enough, however, to divert us from the Buffs as defensive dog. It's been a tough luck season for the Sooners who have lost their starting QB, on a controversial play at Oregon, and LW lost RB Peterson to a broken collarbone. He was the heart and soul of their team. Buffs finally broke into the win column for well liked first year coach Hawkins. The defense continues to play tough (2.5 YPR, 322 YPG) while the offense shows improvement each week. Take the 2 TD dog in a game featuring a pair of teams headed opposite directions.
Georgia Tech (+7.5) over CLEMSON by 1 (7:45)
Your offensive stats would look pretty, too, if you played 4 games against the defense of Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, LA Tech and Temple. In short, this will be the toughest defense they faced all year. Under the guidance of DC Tenuta, Tech is allowing just 16 PPG, 2.4 RYPG and has a top 10 pass defense. Though the offensive numbers aren't as glitzy as that of the Tigers, with veteran QB Ball at the helm, they average 5.0 YPR and feature a big play passing threat in WR Johnson. Hard fought ACC series has seen the dog cover 11 straight times.
Tulsa (-12) over MEMPHIS by 19 (8:00)
3 weeks ago, Memphis HC West fired DC Dunn and switched the defense to a 4-3 from a 3-3-5. Since then, they have allowed 233 RYPG and have a bottom 20 pass defense. They have allowed 102 points and 1414 yards L3G. They have never gotten their ground game going, averaging less than 100 RYPG. Tulsa is at the opposite end of the spectrum on a 14-4 ATS streak and have covered 10 of their last 11 road games. A balanced attack has concentrated more on their running game of late with 486 yards overland L2G. Under rated pass defense is among top 25. It will slow the only phase of the Memphis game that has been a positive.
Air Force (-13.5) over SANDIEGO ST by 20 (8:00)
Huge defensive half at Colorado St., resulting in a 24-21 win, left the Air Force at 3-2 SU and may have salvaged their season. Expect them to control the ball, which they run 84% of the time for 276 RYPG, for long stretches vs. State's 4.3 YPR defense. 0-5 SU ATS Aztecs still reeling in HC Longs first season. They lost their top 2 QBs and best RB. The resulting 12 PPG offense implies little chance to come thru the back door once the Fly Boys have established their lead.
WASHINGTON ST (+4) over Oregon by 3 (5:00)
Live home dog with the Cougars whose improved defense is among the best in the Country. They'll need that 112 RYPG stop unit and top 15 pass defense if they are to slow QB Dixon and the Ducks. Key to victory could be Cougars ability to control the ball overland with a running game averaging 4.6 YPR. They would do so against a battered and bruised Duck defense that is allowing 4.4 YPR and 185 RYPG. Could this be the ideal setting for the Cougars to score a shocking upset as THEY AVENGE A 34-31 LOSS TO OREGON LY AND WIN FOR US AS THE 2006 COLLEGE FOTBALL REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR? TO MAKE SURE YOU GET EVERY WINNER WE OFFER THIS WEEKEND GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
PITTSBURGH (-6.5) over Rutgers by 13 (5:45)
At first glance, it appears to be a vote for the "undefeated defensive running dog". Behind RBs Rice and Leonard, Knights are averaging 195 RYPG, 4.7 YPR. Cause for Panther backer concern when they recall that Michigan St. ran for 335 yards against the Panthers (and hasn't won a game since). Rutgers also features the most improved defense in the Country at 8 PPG. With Pitt's 6 wins (vs. one of the weakest schedules in the Nation), why would I be laying this chalk? Two reasons: Pitt QB Palko is in "the zone", as the most efficient passer in the Nation and (2), team leader H. B. Blades began wearing his Rutgers shirt the first day of off-season workouts. It's a meaningful reminder to the entire team that they have circled this date on their calendars in red as their "REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR". IS IT OURS TOO? TO FIND OUT, SIGN UP AT ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
PENN ST. (-17.5) over Illinois by 24 (Noon)
Illinois lost 20-17 as 6 point HF to lowly Ohio (5 TOs were the culprit as they limited OU to just 238 yards). Later, as predicted on this page, Penn St. lost by only 7 to the best team in the country. Somehow, we have gotten over a full TD of value from those results. Might be because QB Morelli was knocked silly in the second half. Truth is, there is little drop off in any of their first 3 QBs. All they need to do is hand the ball to RB Hunt and let a top ranked defense set the tone.
Michigan St. (-7) over NORTHWESTERN by 14 (Noon)
After running roughshod over Pitt 5 weeks ago, the Spartans endured the Notre Dame debacle, were upset by Illinois, then predictably lost to the 2 best teams in the Country. Now, their best wide*out is injured and QB Stanton is battered and bruised. At 3-4 SU, do they toss the towel, as has been the nature of this program? I say "No!" as they will be meaningful favorites in the next 4 games and can easily salvage the season. Why the motivation against lowly Northwestern with injured RB Sutton and a passing attack averaging just 121 RYPG? How about a 14-49 ass whipping in Evanston LY as all the motivation they will need. CAN "SPARTY" GET "OFF THE MAT"TO RALLY FOR A HUGE VICTORY AS "OUR REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR". TO FIND OUT GO TO ONLINE SERVICES AND SIGN UP NOW. IT"S GOING TO BE A HUGE WEEKEND.
Louisville (-16.5) over SYRACUSE by 24 (Noon)
This line has dropped 3 points since the opener. We accept the gift as a potential 5* BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK. THESE BEAUTIES ARE NOW 6-1 ATS. We used the Orange for a couple of those victories. In recent weeks ,however, they have been exposed as a pretender. Like allowing 34 points to Wyoming and 457 RY to WVU LW. Against quality defenses, they failed to score more than 17 points. With the return of QB Brohm, that won't be nearly enough on the fast track of the Carrier Dome. Cards are out scoring foes 41-13 with their 500+ YPG offense. They average over " a Nickel" per with their balanced running and passing attack. Lay it with the "Ville". TO FIND OUT HOW STRONG, GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
NC State (+3) over MARYLAND by 4 (Noon)
Divergent results of LW put Wolf Pack in desired role of dog where they stand 14-2 ATS away from Raleigh. They blew one to Wake despite out gaining the Deacons 334-266. Terps due for downer after expending much energy to come back from 20 down for win, no cover, vs. lowly UVA. To read about momentum, letdowns, and bounce backs, read my free articles on this site ("Chocolate Cake" and "Erectile Dysfunction")
ARKANSAS (-17) over Mississippi by 24 (12:30)
The popgun offense of Ole Miss (14 PPG, 216 YPG) took over rated Alabama to OT LW before falling 23-26. It's a real downer for this trip to Arkansas. They will meet a Hog team who is rolling the last 2 weeks rushing for 279 yards vs. Auburn and 381 LW in a 63-7 momentum-building cruise, 63-7 vs. SE MO. Now they have a full tank to Steamroll a Rebel defense allowing 4.2 YPR.
NOTRE DAME (-13.5) over UCLA by 20 (2:30)
Technicians will point to the inverted home road dichotomy which finds the Bruins on a 12-2 ATS run as road dog and the Irish just 6-11 ATS HF. Dame has covered just 1 of their L10 games with a profile of a rushing offense that gains just 107 RYPG and 3.3 YPR. With UCLA allowing just 15 PPG, 2.8 YPR and having plenty of practice defending PAC 10 passing attacks, why the love for Notre Dame? Starting UCLA QB, Olsen, is out meaning back up QB Cowan makes his second start (could pass for only 112 yards at Oregon LW). That's assuming he recovers from laryngitis, which is precluding him from calling signals this week! UCLA HC Dorrell says he doesn't even want to think about the option of starting his third stringer who has never taken a snap. Just the statement this kid needs to hear should he be pressed into action.
S. Carolina (-3.5) over VANDERBILT by 10 (3:00)
CAROLINA HC SPURRIER HAS NEVER LOST TO VANDY. I SAID NEVER! DON'T EXPECT THAT TO START TODAY. Since insertion of QB Newton, the Game Cock passing attack has come to life averaging 222 PYPG. It will work well against the decidedly inferior pass defense of Vandy. That unit will lead a rested and healthy Carolina team to their 5th consecutive conference road win on one of the weakest home fields in the league. Great value here following Vandy's upset of vastly over ranked Georgia.
BYU (-28.5) over UNLV by only 21 (3:00)
Cougars are 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS and play with a week of rest after just covering in this price range. UNLV has lost 5 straight, is 1-5 SU, 1-4 ATS. They are off a home OT defeat and have a QB controversy.
MICHIGAN (-13) over Iowa by 20 (3:30)
Looks like a great spot for the Hawk Eyes to bounce back following their 3 point upset loss as RF at Indiana LW. They have a 29 PPG offense with good balance, a defensive front allowing 3.7 YPR and a top 20 pass defense. AINT GONNA HAPPEN! While all others backed Penn St. LW, I wrote on this page that Michigan was the best team in the Country and would prove so in the next month. That includes today as their perfectly balanced offense and the best defense in the Country emerges with a surprisingly easy victory.
NEBRASKA (+6.5) over Texas by 1 (Noon)
Improved Huskers enter on a 4 game win streak at 6-1 SU, 4-2 ATS. We have been successfully riding their train most of the season. In the 3rd year under HC Callahan, they have put it all together with an offense running and passing for at least 208 YPG. And a defense allowing just 13 PPG and less than 100 RYPG. Those stats good enough to get this victory in front of the most devoted home crowd in college football? YES!
Wisconsin (-6) over PURDUE by 13 (Noon)
Purdue will get more than their share of support as an "offensive home dog". They average 38PPG and 431 YPG. But Wisky has one of the best pass defenses in the Nation allowing just 123 YPG. When the Badgers have the ball, they will Steamroll their way to victory with their balanced offense averaging 4.6 YPR and over 200 PYPG. Purdue allows 4.1 YPR and has a bottom 20 pass defense. We win for the 3rd consecutive week backing Bucky Badger.
TENNESSEE (-10.5) over Alabama by 17 (3:30)
Technicians will relish the role of rivalry road dog. This is a series that has seen the traveler go 13-1 ATS with L3G decided by a total of 15 points. What the history books don't show is that the Vols, after being 5-6 SU LY, are one of the Nations most improved teams at 5-1 SU ATS. Resurgence has been keyed in no small part by improvement of QB Ainge, the league's total offense leader. What also does not show up on the stat sheet is the fact the VOLS ARE PLAYING AS A RESTED HOMER OFF A HUGE MOMENTUM BUILDING WIN WITH REVENGE FOR LAST YEARS 6-3 LOSS. THAT'S PLENTY 'NUFF TO FURTHER EXPOSE THE OVER RATED TIDE. IS IT ENOUGH TO MAKE THEM OUR 6% REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR. MAKE SURE YOU ARE THE FIRST IN YOUR BLOCK TO FIND OUT BY GOING TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW AND SIGNING UP.
WYOMING and Colorado St. UNDER 40.5 (4:00)
These are among the 2 most improved defenses in the league, if not the Nation. They are allowing just 267 YPG and 269 YPG respectively. Coincidentally, they are each performing well below their offensive output of recent years. Neither has much of a running game and neither averages more than 310 YPG. A cold windy day in Laramie would only help our cause. OUR COLLEGE OVER UNDERS ARE 15-7 (69%) ATS FOR THE SEASON. WE HAVE OUR FIRST 5% TOTAL PLAY THIS SATURDAY. YOU'LL GET IT AND ALL THE OTHER TOTALS AS PART OF YOUR WEEKEND PACKAGE WHEN YOU GO TO ONLINE SERVICES TO SIGN UP.
ARIZONA ST (-23) over Stanford by 16 (3:30)
The Sun Devils showed a resurgence, following a pair of miserable outings, in a 21-28 loss but cover vs. USC. Now they are back in the desert where they always play their best ball, standing 9-2 ATS as HF (-10+). Stanford is 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS averaging just 11 PPG. Their last wing was clipped with foot injury to QB Edwards.
NEVADA (-13) over San Jose St. by 20 (7:00)
Time to expose the 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS Spartan who enters here on a 4 game win streak. But those wins all came at home against Stanford, Cal Poly, SD St. and Utah St. (don't bother looking in the top 25 for any of those names). Against that weak level of competition they are allowing 4.4 YPR with a bottom 20 pass defense. On the road for the first time since week 1, they journey to Nevada where the Wolf Pack is 7-0 SU ATS. The "Pistol Attack" is in for a huge night as they expose the suspect Spartan defense.
Oregon St. (-2) over ARIZONA by 9 (7:00)
Playing without your top 2 QBs can get you a win against lowly Stanford. But it won't get you many points against an improved Oregon St defense that has allowed just a combined 30 points to Wash. and Wash. St. L2W. For the year, they allow just 129 RYPG and have a top 20 pass defense. Their comeback victory at Washington LW was a potential season saver, evening their mark at 3-3 SU. They out gained the Huskies 488-256, winning despite a (-3) in the TO column. Expect the offensive momentum to carry over today.
LSU (-32.5) over Fresno St. by only 26 (8:00)
LSU bounced back from its second loss with a 49-0 victory vs. Kentucky. They are now 8-2 ATS as (-10+) Fresno lost their 5th straight to Hawaii to drop to 1-5 SU, 0-6 ATS. They allowed 570 yards and were *3 in the TO column. Following their heart breaking loss to USC last November, they are on a 0-9 ATS run.
Texas Tech (-2.5) over IOWA ST. by 10 (3:30)
Iowa St. has a weak defense allowing 29 PPG, 4.3 YPR and is bottom 5 in the Nation against the pass. TTRR, who passes 76% of the time for 337 PYPG, was held in check by the solid pass defenses of Missouri and Colorado. They lost by a combined score of 68-27. Yet, TTRR has been a resilient group standing 18-7 ATS / loss. Look for the "bounce" today as they blow away the weak secondary of the Cyclones.
OKLAHOMA ST. (-2) over Texas A&M by 9 (7:00)
Check out the support we have if we decide to use Ok St. as our 2006 REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR. Last year the Cowboys lost 23-62 at College Station. It was not atypical of the home road dichotomy these 2 bring to the field today. Cowboys stand 16-7 ATS home while the Aggies are just 4-13 ATS away. A&M punched their Bowl ticket LW when they were handed a gift for the second consecutive week by a Missouri team who coughed up 3 critical fumbles. Before that, Aggie victims had included such notables as The Citadel, LA Laff., Army and LA Tech. LW, Ok St. scored a momentum building 42 points in the second half at Kansas for a rare road win, bringing them to 4-2 SU for the season. Though the remaining slate is daunting, victories today and later this year vs. Baylor on this field would make them Bowl eligible. Is this enough to qualify the Cowboys as our REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR? TO FIND OUT GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.
MISSOURI (-16) over Kansas St. by 23 (2:00)
TALK ABOUT REVENGE. After many seasons in which K St. was the dominant program, Missouri takes the field as 16 point chalk today. They will be doing so with the knowledge they have lost 13 consecutive times to the Wild Cats. Two weeks ago, new Kansas St. HC Prince openly stated he was going to a youth movement. He acknowledged his team might "Take some lumps". LW, they took one from Nebraska, 21-3, being out rushed 190-22. Defense is the area where Missouri has made its biggest improvement. They allow just 14 PPG and 270 YPG. Their offense, under QB Daniels, has improved as well at 32 PPG 473 YPG. LW, they gift wrapped a 25-19 loss at A&M with 3 TOs. With 13X revenge and coming of their first loss of the season, look for the Tigers to come fully focused against a Wild Cat team who is starting their young players on the road for the first time.
OKLAHOMA (-13.5) over Colorado by only 6 (7:00)
Divergent results from LW have negatively impacted our line value. Not enough, however, to divert us from the Buffs as defensive dog. It's been a tough luck season for the Sooners who have lost their starting QB, on a controversial play at Oregon, and LW lost RB Peterson to a broken collarbone. He was the heart and soul of their team. Buffs finally broke into the win column for well liked first year coach Hawkins. The defense continues to play tough (2.5 YPR, 322 YPG) while the offense shows improvement each week. Take the 2 TD dog in a game featuring a pair of teams headed opposite directions.
Georgia Tech (+7.5) over CLEMSON by 1 (7:45)
Your offensive stats would look pretty, too, if you played 4 games against the defense of Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, LA Tech and Temple. In short, this will be the toughest defense they faced all year. Under the guidance of DC Tenuta, Tech is allowing just 16 PPG, 2.4 RYPG and has a top 10 pass defense. Though the offensive numbers aren't as glitzy as that of the Tigers, with veteran QB Ball at the helm, they average 5.0 YPR and feature a big play passing threat in WR Johnson. Hard fought ACC series has seen the dog cover 11 straight times.
Tulsa (-12) over MEMPHIS by 19 (8:00)
3 weeks ago, Memphis HC West fired DC Dunn and switched the defense to a 4-3 from a 3-3-5. Since then, they have allowed 233 RYPG and have a bottom 20 pass defense. They have allowed 102 points and 1414 yards L3G. They have never gotten their ground game going, averaging less than 100 RYPG. Tulsa is at the opposite end of the spectrum on a 14-4 ATS streak and have covered 10 of their last 11 road games. A balanced attack has concentrated more on their running game of late with 486 yards overland L2G. Under rated pass defense is among top 25. It will slow the only phase of the Memphis game that has been a positive.
Air Force (-13.5) over SANDIEGO ST by 20 (8:00)
Huge defensive half at Colorado St., resulting in a 24-21 win, left the Air Force at 3-2 SU and may have salvaged their season. Expect them to control the ball, which they run 84% of the time for 276 RYPG, for long stretches vs. State's 4.3 YPR defense. 0-5 SU ATS Aztecs still reeling in HC Longs first season. They lost their top 2 QBs and best RB. The resulting 12 PPG offense implies little chance to come thru the back door once the Fly Boys have established their lead.
WASHINGTON ST (+4) over Oregon by 3 (5:00)
Live home dog with the Cougars whose improved defense is among the best in the Country. They'll need that 112 RYPG stop unit and top 15 pass defense if they are to slow QB Dixon and the Ducks. Key to victory could be Cougars ability to control the ball overland with a running game averaging 4.6 YPR. They would do so against a battered and bruised Duck defense that is allowing 4.4 YPR and 185 RYPG. Could this be the ideal setting for the Cougars to score a shocking upset as THEY AVENGE A 34-31 LOSS TO OREGON LY AND WIN FOR US AS THE 2006 COLLEGE FOTBALL REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR? TO MAKE SURE YOU GET EVERY WINNER WE OFFER THIS WEEKEND GO TO ONLINE SERVICES NOW.