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CFB Week 10
Rutgers +6.5 vs Louisville - The only reason Louisville beat West Virginia was because West Virginia beat themselves with rally-killing penalties, poor kick-off/punt coverage and costly turnovers..... 6 fumbles with 3 being lost and 7 penalties for 68 yds. The Mountaneers had a 5 min time of possession advantage, 318 yds rushing, 540 total yds of offense and 24 first downs. Rutgers is at 8-0, will be playing at home, has a better defense than West Virginia...they've only given up 7 TD's in 8 games and an average of only 8 pts per game... and have had 2 weeks to prepare. And are getting 6.5 pts!
Maryland -2.5 vs Miami - Miami at 5-4 and still sitting on those 5 pathetic wins vs Florida A&M, Houston, North Carolina, Florida Int. and Duke. They've lost every game against quality competition. And mayland at 7-2 is pretty quality competition right now. In their 5 conference games they have the 4 pt loss at Georgia Tech and then reeled off 4 wins in a row vs Virginia, N.C. State, Florida St and Clemson. They are a perfect 5-0 at home this year. Miami needs a win to become bowl eligible and it may be tough with a road game at Virginia next week followed by a home game vs Boston College. Miami is coming off of 3 very tough games in a row and will have to dig deep to win here.
Indiana +19 vs Michigan - I've won going against Michigan the past 2 weeks. The closer it gets to the showdown with Ohio St the less they seem to cover by. Michigan, at 10-0, hasn't won by this much since game 3 of the season. They didn't come close to covering at home against Northwestern and Ball St. The Wolverines are coming off of 3 straight home games so this is their first road game in a while also. They'll have to finish off on the road too as next week's game is at Ohio St. Michigan will want to be extra careful in this game so that they can go into Ohio St healthy. Indiana was playing pretty well until they hit that buzzsaw at Minnesota last week but they have scored 76 pts in their last 2 home games vs Iowa and Michigan St so they certainly have the ability to cover this considering the circumstances for Michigan. This is a dangerous spot for the Wolverines.
Wake Forest +7 @ Florida St - The Seminoles at 5-4 still don't have a win over a really quality team with losses to Clemson, N.C. State, Boston College and Maryland. I guess you could say the same about 8-1 Wake but they did beat Boston College last week holding them to only 14 pts, and they aren't the favorite here either so they don't have to win...just stay close, which their defense should allow.
Tennessee +5.5 @ Arkansas - Tennessee's 2 losses have been by 1 to Florida and by 4 to LSU, and they led in both of those games late into the 4th Q. Can't say much bad about the Razorbacks since USC but the Vols have the ability to win this one outright and they're getting lots of points. I'll buy a half point for 6.
Houston -5 @ SMU - SMU hasn't really beat anybody tough and Houston is a big step up in quality. Houston is about an eyelash of being 10-0 and whooped up on a pretty good Tulsa team last week by 17 pts!
Iowa St +8 @ Colorado - These are two pretty darn even teams. This should be a 3 pt spread at the most. Both teams are a little banged up with the big one being RB Hicks for the Cyclones but how Colorado can be expected to beat anyone by 9 is beyond me.
Northwestern +22.5 vs Ohio St - Michigan finally on deck for Ohio St who peeked last week in an ordinary looking 17-10 win at Illinois. They travel again this week to Northwestern whose 'D' has stepped it up a bit in the past 2 weeks in holding Michigan and Iowa to a combined 24 pts. Like Michigan, if they were smart they'd get a lead and then coast.
California -13.5 @ Arizona - Arizona has got a pretty good defense but not sure it can stop Cal's 37.5 pt average in PAC 10 games alone. Arizona, on the other hand, is sporting a whopping 13 pt per game average in PAC 10 games and have only reached 300 yds of toal offense once in 6 tries. In fact they've been held under 200 yds twice. Cal has won their 6 PAC 10 games so far by scores of 28, 28, 21, 18, 7 and 14. The only game they didn't win by at least this spread was the OT game vs Washington.
Texa Tech +8.5 @ Oklahoma - If Texas Tech doesn't turn the ball over like it did against Missouri and Colorado they will cover in this game and maybe even pull an upset. It should be run vs pass and Oklahoma can be vulnerable to the pass as Oregon has shown when they torched them for 343
yds. and 34 pts!
N.C. State +17 @ Clemson - Clemson is out of synch in the past 2 games (both losses) and their coach has said that QB Proctor is in a slump. N.C. State is only 3-6 but all of their losses but one have been by 8 pts and under.
Oregon +7.5 @ USC - USC only beat Washington St and Washington by 6 each, Arizona St by 7 and lost to Oregon St. (we'll throw out the Stanford game
) ... now they get an even tougher opponent possibly? USC hasn't been playing well enough to beat a team like this by more than a TD.
NFL Week 10
I'm only going to pick 2 games this week in the NFL.
New Orleans +4.5 @ Pittsburgh - I keep going with Pittsburgh thinking they're going to snap out of it and they haven't. They've looked absolutely pathetic the past 2 weeks....at Oakland, a team everyone is pounding and then you figure back home against Denver they will step it up and save face after a 2 game losing streak.....and they don't. They haven't had a 100 yd rushing game in 3 games, Rothlisburger is making mistake after mistake, especially in the red zone and the defense can't come up with a big play. They've had 13 TO's in the past 3 games! They are 2-6 both SU and ATS. On the other hand, New Orleans at 6-2 both SU and ATS, continues to surprise and there is no way they don't cover in this game.
Tampa Bay +9 @ Carolina - Carolina has done nothing to warrant being 9 pt favorites. They are at 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS, their 4 wins have been by 2, 3, 8 and 2, and they are getting outscored on average by 3 pts per game.... and they are only averaging 17 pts per game. These two have already met with the result a 26-24 win by Carolina.
Rutgers +6.5 vs Louisville - The only reason Louisville beat West Virginia was because West Virginia beat themselves with rally-killing penalties, poor kick-off/punt coverage and costly turnovers..... 6 fumbles with 3 being lost and 7 penalties for 68 yds. The Mountaneers had a 5 min time of possession advantage, 318 yds rushing, 540 total yds of offense and 24 first downs. Rutgers is at 8-0, will be playing at home, has a better defense than West Virginia...they've only given up 7 TD's in 8 games and an average of only 8 pts per game... and have had 2 weeks to prepare. And are getting 6.5 pts!
Maryland -2.5 vs Miami - Miami at 5-4 and still sitting on those 5 pathetic wins vs Florida A&M, Houston, North Carolina, Florida Int. and Duke. They've lost every game against quality competition. And mayland at 7-2 is pretty quality competition right now. In their 5 conference games they have the 4 pt loss at Georgia Tech and then reeled off 4 wins in a row vs Virginia, N.C. State, Florida St and Clemson. They are a perfect 5-0 at home this year. Miami needs a win to become bowl eligible and it may be tough with a road game at Virginia next week followed by a home game vs Boston College. Miami is coming off of 3 very tough games in a row and will have to dig deep to win here.
Indiana +19 vs Michigan - I've won going against Michigan the past 2 weeks. The closer it gets to the showdown with Ohio St the less they seem to cover by. Michigan, at 10-0, hasn't won by this much since game 3 of the season. They didn't come close to covering at home against Northwestern and Ball St. The Wolverines are coming off of 3 straight home games so this is their first road game in a while also. They'll have to finish off on the road too as next week's game is at Ohio St. Michigan will want to be extra careful in this game so that they can go into Ohio St healthy. Indiana was playing pretty well until they hit that buzzsaw at Minnesota last week but they have scored 76 pts in their last 2 home games vs Iowa and Michigan St so they certainly have the ability to cover this considering the circumstances for Michigan. This is a dangerous spot for the Wolverines.
Wake Forest +7 @ Florida St - The Seminoles at 5-4 still don't have a win over a really quality team with losses to Clemson, N.C. State, Boston College and Maryland. I guess you could say the same about 8-1 Wake but they did beat Boston College last week holding them to only 14 pts, and they aren't the favorite here either so they don't have to win...just stay close, which their defense should allow.
Tennessee +5.5 @ Arkansas - Tennessee's 2 losses have been by 1 to Florida and by 4 to LSU, and they led in both of those games late into the 4th Q. Can't say much bad about the Razorbacks since USC but the Vols have the ability to win this one outright and they're getting lots of points. I'll buy a half point for 6.
Houston -5 @ SMU - SMU hasn't really beat anybody tough and Houston is a big step up in quality. Houston is about an eyelash of being 10-0 and whooped up on a pretty good Tulsa team last week by 17 pts!
Iowa St +8 @ Colorado - These are two pretty darn even teams. This should be a 3 pt spread at the most. Both teams are a little banged up with the big one being RB Hicks for the Cyclones but how Colorado can be expected to beat anyone by 9 is beyond me.
Northwestern +22.5 vs Ohio St - Michigan finally on deck for Ohio St who peeked last week in an ordinary looking 17-10 win at Illinois. They travel again this week to Northwestern whose 'D' has stepped it up a bit in the past 2 weeks in holding Michigan and Iowa to a combined 24 pts. Like Michigan, if they were smart they'd get a lead and then coast.
California -13.5 @ Arizona - Arizona has got a pretty good defense but not sure it can stop Cal's 37.5 pt average in PAC 10 games alone. Arizona, on the other hand, is sporting a whopping 13 pt per game average in PAC 10 games and have only reached 300 yds of toal offense once in 6 tries. In fact they've been held under 200 yds twice. Cal has won their 6 PAC 10 games so far by scores of 28, 28, 21, 18, 7 and 14. The only game they didn't win by at least this spread was the OT game vs Washington.
Texa Tech +8.5 @ Oklahoma - If Texas Tech doesn't turn the ball over like it did against Missouri and Colorado they will cover in this game and maybe even pull an upset. It should be run vs pass and Oklahoma can be vulnerable to the pass as Oregon has shown when they torched them for 343
yds. and 34 pts!
N.C. State +17 @ Clemson - Clemson is out of synch in the past 2 games (both losses) and their coach has said that QB Proctor is in a slump. N.C. State is only 3-6 but all of their losses but one have been by 8 pts and under.
Oregon +7.5 @ USC - USC only beat Washington St and Washington by 6 each, Arizona St by 7 and lost to Oregon St. (we'll throw out the Stanford game
) ... now they get an even tougher opponent possibly? USC hasn't been playing well enough to beat a team like this by more than a TD.NFL Week 10
I'm only going to pick 2 games this week in the NFL.
New Orleans +4.5 @ Pittsburgh - I keep going with Pittsburgh thinking they're going to snap out of it and they haven't. They've looked absolutely pathetic the past 2 weeks....at Oakland, a team everyone is pounding and then you figure back home against Denver they will step it up and save face after a 2 game losing streak.....and they don't. They haven't had a 100 yd rushing game in 3 games, Rothlisburger is making mistake after mistake, especially in the red zone and the defense can't come up with a big play. They've had 13 TO's in the past 3 games! They are 2-6 both SU and ATS. On the other hand, New Orleans at 6-2 both SU and ATS, continues to surprise and there is no way they don't cover in this game.
Tampa Bay +9 @ Carolina - Carolina has done nothing to warrant being 9 pt favorites. They are at 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS, their 4 wins have been by 2, 3, 8 and 2, and they are getting outscored on average by 3 pts per game.... and they are only averaging 17 pts per game. These two have already met with the result a 26-24 win by Carolina.
I've got to catch the Capper!
.......It's just one drunken man's opinion anyway, so good luck to you in the contest ............I'm busy trying to figure out some money-makers for tomorrow.........
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