Developed my own system about 5 years ago. I tweak it every year looking for a solid formula. System involves Strength of Schedule, points, Off/Def yardage, mistakes and so on.

Last Week: 2-3

I don't make my own picks and let the system come-up with its own number.
Compare to the Vegas line and look for differences.
Here's what it likes in week 2.

Cle +6 5*'s
Jak -5.5 2*'s
Min +2 2*'s
Was 0 2*'s
GB -3 2*'s (Love this pick)

Hoping to rebound as it completly missed on the Raiders Monday night week 1.