Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Observations on the Hilton SuperContest picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Observations on the Hilton SuperContest picks

    In Week 2, right before the Philly/Dallas Monday Night game, I posted an observation that I had made regarding the SuperContest consensus picks for that week. Every game that had been picked by 65% or more of the contestants choosing that game as one of their selections had gone 4-0 with Philly being the 5th. Philly covered also, so for that week the angle was 5-0. I finally figured out how to go back and look at all of the results so here they are through Week 5.
    Games that were picked by at least 65% of the contestants choosing that game as one of their weekly picks.
    Example:
    Week 4
    88 pick Washington +11
    29 pick Dallas -11

    75% of the contestants picking that game as one of their weekly selections picked Washington. I round up to the nearest 1. So I would include a 64.51% pick as 65%.
    Results:
    Week 1 - 5-2
    Week 2 - 5-0
    Week 3 - 2-4 (3-4 if you count one 64.3% pick that just missed the cutoff)
    Week 4 - 3-1
    Week 5 - 4-1-1

    So after 5 weeks the total is 19-8-1 (or 20-8-1 if we count the 64.3% pick). That's over 70% winners regardless of whether or not you include that one game.
    I haven't actually used this yet, just kind of keeping an eye on it.

  • #2
    Would it be possible for you to post the picks? Or maybe a link?

    Comment


    • #3
      It may not be until Sunday morning as I don't think they post the picks before then, but I'll try to get them at least an hour before gametime.

      Comment


      • #4
        good stuff dragon. I'll keep an eye out for this. Thanks.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by juluvg
          good stuff dragon. I'll keep an eye out for this. Thanks.
          You don't need those.Just stick your methods your doing fine. Keep up the great picks
          good luck

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by garister
            You don't need those.Just stick your methods your doing fine. Keep up the great picks
            who me?

            Thank you very much

            Here's the link to the SuperContest picks. You have to do the computations once the picks are published.
            http://www.thespread.com/nfl/nfl-sup...as-hilton.html

            Comment


            • #7
              Here's today's picks
              111 Chicago -2.5 Atlanta 46 70%
              97 Arizona Dallas -5 46 68%
              91 Seattle -2 Green Bay 34 73%
              90 Cleveland New York Giants -7.5 47 66%
              87 NY Jets -6 Cincinnati 46 65%
              85 Baltimore Indianapolis -4.5 54
              84 Houston -3 Miami 49
              83 Carolina Tampa Bay -2 57
              82 Jacksonville Denver -3.5 22 79%
              78 St Louis Washington -13.5 28 73%
              76 New England San Diego -6 54
              62 Philadelphia -4.5 San Francisco 37
              47 New Orleans -7.5 Oakland 44
              37 Detroit Minnesota -13.5 31


              As you can see, there are 6 picks that qualify.
              Chicago -2.5
              Arizona +5
              Seattle -2
              Cleveland +7.5
              Jacksonville +3.5
              St Louis +13.5

              My personal favorite of the day is Philadelphia -4.5 which just missed at 62.2 %.

              Comment


              • #8
                Sorry, there are actually 7. I missed one.
                NY Jets -6

                Comment


                • #9
                  4-2 this week so far with Cleveland up tonight.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    dragon, when is this info avail? Sat nite late, or early Sun morning? I kept track of this same info about 6 years ago, and got similar results that you are getting now, lost track of the trend after a few years.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Early Sunday morning sometime. Not exactly sure how far in advance of the games. I'm a late riser

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Here are today's picks:
                        115 Indianapolis -1 Green Bay 50 69.60%
                        112 Chicago -3 Minnesota 30 78.80%
                        103 Buffalo PK San Diego PK 59 63.50%
                        98 Houston -8.5 Detroit 29 77%
                        92 NY Jets -3 Oakland 39 70%
                        82 Miami -2.5 Baltimore 46 64%
                        77 New Orleans Carolina -3 68 53%
                        73 Washington -7 Cleveland 43 63%
                        70 Tennessee -8.5 Kansas City 33 68%
                        69 Dallas -7 St Louis 25 73.40%
                        65 New England -3 Denver 57 53%
                        58 NY Giants -10.5 San Francisco 38 60.40%
                        52 Cincinnati Pittsburgh -9.5 35 59.70%
                        51 Tampa Bay -10.5 Seattle 36 58.60%

                        There are 6 picks that qualify with at least 65%.
                        Indianapolis -1
                        Chicago -3
                        Houston -8.5
                        NY Jets -3
                        Tennessee -8.5
                        Dallas -7

                        Record to date:
                        Week 1 - 5-2
                        Week 2 - 5-0
                        Week 3 - 2-4
                        Week 4 - 3-1
                        Week 5 - 4-1-1
                        Week 6 - 5-2

                        Comment

                        Working...
                        X