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World Series - Game 1 - worthless tidbits of info

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  • World Series - Game 1 - worthless tidbits of info

    Tampa Bay -

    Home record - 61-26
    Postseason home record - 4-2
    Regular season stats -
    if ahead after 6 innings.
    44-1 SU at home
    if tied after 6 innings.
    5-0 SU at home
    if trailing after 6 innings.
    8-23 SU at home
    Interleague record 12-6
    Allowed 307 runs at home,3.8 avg, 3rd in A.L.
    Scored 399 runs at home, 4.9 avg, 8th in A.L.
    15-10 at home vs LH starter
    .245 BA vs LH pitching (.268 BA vs RH pitching)
    World Series Game 1 -
    Starter - Scott Kazmir LH
    Postseason - 1-0, 3 GS, 15.2 IP, 16 H, 7 R, 8 BB, 13 SO, 4.02 ERA
    Closer -
    Dan Wheeler RH - 13 saves, 3.12 ERA
    Postseason - 4 games, 6 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 6 SO, 1 SV, 6.00 ERA


    Philadelphia -

    Away record - 47-39
    Postseason away record - 3-2
    Regular season stats -
    if ahead after 6 innings.
    29-8 SU on road
    if tied after 6 innings.
    7-3 SU on road
    if trailing after 6 innings.
    8-26 SU on road
    Interleague record 4-11
    Allowed 342 runs on the road, 4.2 avg, 3rd in N.L.
    Scored 387 runs on the road, 4.8 avg, 5th in N.L.
    15-10 on road vs LH starter
    .258 BA vs LH pitching (.255 BA vs RH pitching)
    World Series Game 1 -
    Starter - Cole Hamels LH
    Postseason - 3-0, 3 GS, 22 IP, 13 H, 3 R, 6 BB, 22 SO, 1.23 ERA
    Closer -
    Brad Lidge RH - 41 saves, 1.95 ERA
    Postseason - 7 games, 7.1 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 10 SO, 5 SV, 1.23 ERA


    Some more tidbits.
    Tampa Bay has hit 22 HR's in 11 postseason games so far, including 7 by B.J. Upton and 6 by Evan Longoria, and they have scored 65 runs as a team for a 5.9 run per game average. 4 starters are batting over .300 for the playoffs. Tampa Bays 8 main starters are hitting .291 as a team. Cliff Floyd has been fairly unproductive in the DH role and has seen only 15 AB's. Willy Aybar has filled in there admirably. The Rays have 17 stolen bases and have only been caught twice.
    Philadelphia has hit just 10 HR's in 9 postseason games and have scored a total of 40 runs for a 4.4 run per game average. They have 19 extra base hits. Ryan Howard has 0 HR and just 3 RBI so far. Phillie's main 8 starters have averaged just a .250 BA. Philly will get to DH so if they can utilize Matt Stairs there maybe?, it could add some needed power. They have only 7 stolen bases and have been caught 3 times.

    A few things stand out.
    1) Tampa Bay's stellar overall home record
    2) The Rays were 12-6 in interleague play whereas the Phillies were 4-11
    3) Cole Hamels awesome postseason stats. A .123 ERA vs his 3.09 regular season ERA.
    4) Phils closer Brad Lidge's regular season and awesome postseason stats
    5) Tampa Bays awesome power numbers (22 HR, 21 extra base hits)
    6) Tampa Bay's base running skills
    7) Tampa Bay is 15-10 vs LH starters, but are hitting 23 pts lower as a team vs LH pitching overall.

    The Rays edges:
    Base running, power/run production, home field
    The Phillies edges:
    Cole Hamels and Brad Lidge

    If the Rays win game 1 you would think it would have to be a low scoring game as Hamels and Lidge have been nearly unhittable.
    If the Phillies win, the total could go either way. But they've been idle for 6 days too, so I would think that could be a disadvantage.

  • #2
    At www.sports.com sportsbook, the over has gone from 7.5 EVEN to 7.5 -110. The public, as expected, is betting the over as the game nears it appears.
    They say that 70% of the action is on the Phillies, yet they have gone from -107 to -105, slightly contrary.

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