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3-System NFL Picks (Dinger/Wildcard/ESPN Accuscore)

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  • 3-System NFL Picks (Dinger/Wildcard/ESPN Accuscore)

    We are comparing three computer system picks all with a unique formula using power rankings, points, yardage,
    and other key indicators. We develop our own line and compare to the Vegas line.

    ESPN Accuscore simulates playing the game 10,000 times and develops a winning percentage and average score. We use the
    average score and check it against the betting line.

  • #2
    Dingers
    Pick of Week (POW): W (GB -4) 1-0
    Top 5: 4-1
    All games: 9-5

    Top 5 (POW)
    5* GB -9.5 (POW)
    5* Pit -14.5
    5* Was -4
    4* NE -7
    3* NYG -4.5

    Best of Rest
    Chi +6.5
    Det -8.5
    NYJ -9
    Buf -3.5
    Bal -6
    TB +3
    IND +2.5
    Dal -3.5
    Mia +3
    DeN -4.5
    Atl +2.5
    Last edited by Dinger; 09-14-2011, 07:32 PM. Reason: CORRECTION ON DENVER PICK

    Comment


    • #3
      ESPN Accuscore
      http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/proje...ons%3fweek%3d1

      Pick of Week (POW): L (SD-9) 0-1
      Top 5: 2-3
      All games: 8-7

      Top 5 (POW)
      NYG -4.5 (POW)
      IND +2
      AZ +4
      SD +7
      ATL +2.5

      Best of Rest
      OAK +3.5
      DET -8.5
      BAL -6
      TB +3
      CHI +6.5
      JAK +6
      SEA +14.5
      CAR +10.5
      SF +3
      DEN -4.5
      MIA +3

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      • #4
        Correction on my Cin/Den pick.

        System likes

        Cin +4.5

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        • #5
          It would also be interesting if you could provide a concensous of the sources picks, looks like a few games they agree on but also a few they dont

          Both your systems show they like the Bears getting 6.5 at New Orleans, with Mr Urlacher just returning home from a funeral (he lost his mom this week) it will be a difficult game for him to get up for. My prayers are with you Brain Urlacher in your time of loss.
          Don't think the computer factos in these type of things.

          Comment


          • #6
            Hey Carpet, I'm waiting for
            wildcard to post his picks using a formula system.
            We then look for picks that are the same. Last week we were 2-3-1.
            Not the greatest start, but I'm hinking week 6 and beyond we should have some good data.

            My system doesn't account for Mr Urlacher or Peyton Manning. One of he reason it keeps picking the Colts to win.

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