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RestEasy's Week 7 NFL Picks

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  • RestEasy's Week 7 NFL Picks

    Going over the games again I like most of my first instincts and here are the 10 I like the most in no particular order.

    lines from sportsbook.

    Chicago -1
    Bucs beat the saints in tampa. The week before they got decimated by the 9'ers. The only other away game they've had was against minny where they came back to win by 4. Bears destroyed minny again at home and played well before that against a strong lions team. I think they bring it to the bucs in London.

    Carolina -1
    This started at -2.5 and has seen a lot of action. Beck starting at QB for skins, skins on the road coming to an angry carolina team. A QB change so fast after a good start can not instill confidence. Couple that with last year's behavior of switching QB's and I feel that creates doubt. The skins are on a decline and carolina has been playing well. Cam Newton gets his 2nd win.

    Washington/Carolina Under 43.5
    Good D with washington and lack of offense for skins keep this game under.

    Detroit -3.5
    Detroit finally lost. It's over and done with out of their system. Now, Atlanta comes to town. It's no big secret Atanta doesn't travel well and up until last week everyone had doubts about them. Well, doubts resurface this week after the lions win and cover and shake hands softly afterwards. Key factor will be containing Turner. If they can stuff the run game they cover 4pts.

    Seattle +3
    Seattle is showing something in it's past couple games. They aren't the best team but they do have some talent. Whitehurst likely behind center but that's no real loss compared to Tavaris Jackson. Browns have won 2 games.... indy and miami. Combined 0-11. They have issues at the RB position with Hillis sore and cursed by a video game cover. Seahawks are rested and had an extra week to soak up the win over the Giants.

    Chargers-2
    rested team vs a short week for the jets. Anyone watch the jets game on monday night? Yeah, I'm leaning chargers and their 2nd overall pass D to stop sanchez.

    Denver Pick (grabbed this myself at +1)
    Miami is terrible. They haven't won at home in a long time and haven't won yet this season. Denver has lost Lloyd to the rams and now look to Tim Tebow. He'll have full fan support in Denver and heck he's a star in Florida. There couldn't be an easier or better matchup for him to make a debut. I'm not sold on him as an NFL qb either, but I'm not sold on the miami dolphins as an NFL team this year either.

    Oakland -5.5
    I grabbed this at -4 earlier in the week. Line has moved towards the Raiders. Palmer looks to be starting according to reports but who knows right? Was Jason Cambell such an amazing QB that he'll have a Manning effect on the raiders with him gone? No. KC is rested sure but now on the road to the raiders who play their 2nd home game in a row. KC has won the last 2 games! Against indy and minny. combined 1-11. I just don't have confidence in KC to pick them on the road over McFadden and the raiders.

    Arizonia +4
    Pitt has played 3 road games. They lost 2 and won in Indy by 3. Arizonia has played 2. They beat carolina and just lost by 4 against the Giants. Except for @minny they kept their games close even against a good washington D. I believe the steelers have a let down going on the road after 2 home games and with wisenhunt having an extra week to gameplan. They keep it close.

    Dallas -13
    Bradford is hurt. IF he playes it won't be the whole game. Dallas has the #1 run D and the #7 pass D. Ask Tom Brady it's surprisingly effective. Now, they play in Dallas in a game they need to win to keep pace. Eagles on bye this week they need this to pull ahead and begin to close the gap on the skins and the division leading Giants (also on bye). From 2-3 to 3-3 would put them 1 game behind the 4-2 lead. Miles Austin and Dez Bryant will have big days. Rams have the worst run D in the league so even the weak dallas run attack will have a good day. I know I know rams looked good against the pack right? Just a couple INT's in the endzone, over 400 yds passing! But bradford hurting, and the packers believe it or not have the 31st pass D. Many will look good against them.


    Last week was a bad week for me. 5-6 ouch. BUT it happens.
    Overall I'm 25-18-1 (58%)
    Good Luck to all this week.

  • #2
    I will add to this

    Rams/Cowboys Under 43
    Just don't think the rams score enough to push the over. Without bradford and with the cowboys having the #1 run D (in total yards and yards/game) it doesn't happen.

    Seahawks/Browns Over 41
    this is a close one. Browns let only 1 game under 41 and seahawks let 2 (one being at pitt). They cover the points here.

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    • #3
      3-4-1 on the morning. Lions just couldn't get it done. Denver pulled out an insane last minute win and seattle would have played so much better if marshawn lynch didn't go out just before the game. Missed that over by a ridiculous amount.

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      • #4
        5-6-1 on the day. Basically same as last week. Oh well, hit my teasers yippie. Rams almost killed the under on that last stand.

        I was completely wrong about the oakland game. Live and learn. Said I wouldn't (couldn't) side with KC until they showed something. Well, I'll give them a closer look next week.

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        • #5
          dont feel bad on that Oakland game resteasy, it caught me flat footed also, I should of knew with a new QB being signed it would cause distractions but I ignored it. Shame on me

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          • #6
            Thanks man

            It's kind of funny. I think I could improve my average by picking less games but it's kind of nice to see how I'd do over a season if I pick as many as I have been the last couple weeks. I'll stick with it and if I can stay above 50% for the year or even higher I'll be happy.

            As for today, I did well with a parlay at halftime in the afternoon and a couple teases I had going. So that is great.
            Not even half over with the season yet lots of football to look forward to

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            • #7
              I had the Dallas game also. Very good analysis on Dallas and St. Louis. I will add that Dallas has had to listen to a lot of criticism the past three weeks after tough losses and a bye week in between. Finallly, they get a dog in St. Louis that they can kick around. I expected Dallas to kick them around more than they did, but covering less than two TDs was a given.

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