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Week 7 is over let's look at week 8. These are my initial thoughts and leans this is completely open to discussion. Lets get some good feedback.
The numbers are from sportsbook.com on this tuesday morning (pacific time)
Morning Games
Colts @ Titans -9.5 O/U 43.5
Colts and titans both coming off big losses. Colts moreso than the titans of course. Is the Colt's confidence destroyed? Are the Titans going to do to them what New Orleans did? Maybe and no. The colts are on their 3rd road game with this game. I feel Titans win but the colts cover. Though would feel better to see this at 10.
Jaguars @ Texans -9.5 O/U 41.5
Jags put up a fight against ravens eh? So, they should cover right? It was like watching two blind chicks try to slap each other. Jags barely landed enough hits to win the decision. Houston on the other hand was firing on all cylinders. Can the jags make foster look as bad as they did Rice last night? Did the jags do that? Even if they do, schaub isn't flacco. Texans score a lot again and jags get about 10. 37-10
Vikings @ Panthers -3 O/U 47.5
This looks like it'll be a great game. Ponder played about up to expectations this weekend keeping it real close against the packers. Who else can do that? Oh yeah, Cam Newton did in week 2. GB has one of the worst pass d's in the league by yds/game. Really, they do and it'll bolster some QB's. The deciding factor here? Defense. I like the points.
Cardinals @ Baltimore -13 O/U 44
This is a larger line than I would have expected. Beanie wells is out this game and the ravens are home again after an embarassing monday night display. What cures a bad night's hangover better than a 1-5 cardinals team? Take it.
Dolphins @ Giants -10 O/U 43
Bye weeks haven't been to helpful this year but playing the dolphins has. Giants. My only concern will be if the Giants do that annoying thing of playing down to the competition. That's why I also like the under.
Afternoon Games
Redskins @ Bills -6 O/U 46
Bills coming off a bye and a loss at home. They are rested and at home (actually this is in Toronto). Redskins lost hightower for the season and Moss for 5-7 weeks. Couple that with questions at the QB spot and you have the bills rolling back. The total is a hard one here. I want to say the over because of the weak D of the bills but can't justify it against the skins and their semi strong D.
Patriots -3 @ Steelers O/U 51
Patroits are one of the very few road favorites this week and i agree. I even see some places with even money on them at -3. Take that. Remember last year when they played? Sure the pats have a weak D but man oh man can they score.
Browns @ 49ers -9.5 O/U 38.5
Mike Tirico said it best "A pillow fight win against seattle". Love it. 9'ers are playing great football. Alex Smith at home is the alex smith that keeps getting the starting QB jobs each season. Browns have seemingly no offense and the 9ers have a good d. pts are somewhat high still but I do think they'll cover. 2 weeks of under plays this line looks a little low. Wonder if the books are trying to trip us up?
Bengals -3 @ Seahawks O/U 38
Seahawks play well at home. Whitehurst I think is better than what he showed at the Browns. Marshawn lynch not playing was absolutely key to their defeat. If the spread was higher say 6+ maybe but the bengals have a good defense and can manage well on offense. At -3 I take cincy in a low scoring game.
Sunday Night
Cowboys @ Eagles -3.5 O/U 51
Again, the overhyped eagles are favored. I'll chalk this up to the bye week and home field. One of the worst run D's in the league by the eagles will get torn up by the cowboys. Pass D will be all over Bryant (Nandi) and Austin will also draw coverage. Sausenbacher (spelling?) should do ok but it will be witten and the running game that really move the ball. Dallas has the best run D in the league so eagles won't do much there. Then again Andy Reid doesn't like to run much (was that a jab? no just worked out that way). 1/2 over a FG is a great spot. Dallas moneyline in a game I wish they both could lose.
Oh and Philly 0-2 @home ATS dallas 2-0 away ATS.
Monday Night
Chargers -3.5 @ Chiefs O/U 44
This is actually a good game. Wow! 2 good night games after this weekend I like. This may also be the most difficult game to figure. I said I wouldn't back the chiefs until they proved something. They did pretty good. Yeah it was against a team with QB issues and McFadden didn't really play at all but they blanked them. Their D played well and they offense did good. The chargers on the other hand let the Jets win. They had the game but lost it. They usually start off the season bad but this year have done well so far... against whom? KC played them close then KC was horrendous IN SD. In KC I like the chiefs at 1/2 over a FG. Take the points.
Game with no Line yet.
Saints @ Rams @1pm EST
Will Bradford play? That's the question. Even ifhe does I see this as a -14.5 line. After what the saints did to indy and what the rams didn't do to the cowboys it wouldn;t be surprising nor would it be to see the saints cover even that large spread. But let's wait on it.
Detroit @ Denver @4pm EST
IF Matt Stafford plays this is a line of I'll guess -6 or -5.5. Detroit should win and bring tebow back to earth and give them a shot of confidence they need to move on from two big losses. They are still a very good team that has been told over the years they're no good. They'll bounce back but need stafford to do that.
Ok, so that's my current thought on the games. Agree disagree let's all discuss.
The numbers are from sportsbook.com on this tuesday morning (pacific time)
Morning Games
Colts @ Titans -9.5 O/U 43.5
Colts and titans both coming off big losses. Colts moreso than the titans of course. Is the Colt's confidence destroyed? Are the Titans going to do to them what New Orleans did? Maybe and no. The colts are on their 3rd road game with this game. I feel Titans win but the colts cover. Though would feel better to see this at 10.
Jaguars @ Texans -9.5 O/U 41.5
Jags put up a fight against ravens eh? So, they should cover right? It was like watching two blind chicks try to slap each other. Jags barely landed enough hits to win the decision. Houston on the other hand was firing on all cylinders. Can the jags make foster look as bad as they did Rice last night? Did the jags do that? Even if they do, schaub isn't flacco. Texans score a lot again and jags get about 10. 37-10
Vikings @ Panthers -3 O/U 47.5
This looks like it'll be a great game. Ponder played about up to expectations this weekend keeping it real close against the packers. Who else can do that? Oh yeah, Cam Newton did in week 2. GB has one of the worst pass d's in the league by yds/game. Really, they do and it'll bolster some QB's. The deciding factor here? Defense. I like the points.
Cardinals @ Baltimore -13 O/U 44
This is a larger line than I would have expected. Beanie wells is out this game and the ravens are home again after an embarassing monday night display. What cures a bad night's hangover better than a 1-5 cardinals team? Take it.
Dolphins @ Giants -10 O/U 43
Bye weeks haven't been to helpful this year but playing the dolphins has. Giants. My only concern will be if the Giants do that annoying thing of playing down to the competition. That's why I also like the under.
Afternoon Games
Redskins @ Bills -6 O/U 46
Bills coming off a bye and a loss at home. They are rested and at home (actually this is in Toronto). Redskins lost hightower for the season and Moss for 5-7 weeks. Couple that with questions at the QB spot and you have the bills rolling back. The total is a hard one here. I want to say the over because of the weak D of the bills but can't justify it against the skins and their semi strong D.
Patriots -3 @ Steelers O/U 51
Patroits are one of the very few road favorites this week and i agree. I even see some places with even money on them at -3. Take that. Remember last year when they played? Sure the pats have a weak D but man oh man can they score.
Browns @ 49ers -9.5 O/U 38.5
Mike Tirico said it best "A pillow fight win against seattle". Love it. 9'ers are playing great football. Alex Smith at home is the alex smith that keeps getting the starting QB jobs each season. Browns have seemingly no offense and the 9ers have a good d. pts are somewhat high still but I do think they'll cover. 2 weeks of under plays this line looks a little low. Wonder if the books are trying to trip us up?
Bengals -3 @ Seahawks O/U 38
Seahawks play well at home. Whitehurst I think is better than what he showed at the Browns. Marshawn lynch not playing was absolutely key to their defeat. If the spread was higher say 6+ maybe but the bengals have a good defense and can manage well on offense. At -3 I take cincy in a low scoring game.
Sunday Night
Cowboys @ Eagles -3.5 O/U 51
Again, the overhyped eagles are favored. I'll chalk this up to the bye week and home field. One of the worst run D's in the league by the eagles will get torn up by the cowboys. Pass D will be all over Bryant (Nandi) and Austin will also draw coverage. Sausenbacher (spelling?) should do ok but it will be witten and the running game that really move the ball. Dallas has the best run D in the league so eagles won't do much there. Then again Andy Reid doesn't like to run much (was that a jab? no just worked out that way). 1/2 over a FG is a great spot. Dallas moneyline in a game I wish they both could lose.
Oh and Philly 0-2 @home ATS dallas 2-0 away ATS.
Monday Night
Chargers -3.5 @ Chiefs O/U 44
This is actually a good game. Wow! 2 good night games after this weekend I like. This may also be the most difficult game to figure. I said I wouldn't back the chiefs until they proved something. They did pretty good. Yeah it was against a team with QB issues and McFadden didn't really play at all but they blanked them. Their D played well and they offense did good. The chargers on the other hand let the Jets win. They had the game but lost it. They usually start off the season bad but this year have done well so far... against whom? KC played them close then KC was horrendous IN SD. In KC I like the chiefs at 1/2 over a FG. Take the points.
Game with no Line yet.
Saints @ Rams @1pm EST
Will Bradford play? That's the question. Even ifhe does I see this as a -14.5 line. After what the saints did to indy and what the rams didn't do to the cowboys it wouldn;t be surprising nor would it be to see the saints cover even that large spread. But let's wait on it.
Detroit @ Denver @4pm EST
IF Matt Stafford plays this is a line of I'll guess -6 or -5.5. Detroit should win and bring tebow back to earth and give them a shot of confidence they need to move on from two big losses. They are still a very good team that has been told over the years they're no good. They'll bounce back but need stafford to do that.
Ok, so that's my current thought on the games. Agree disagree let's all discuss.
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