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Sun 4-Dec-11

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  • Sun 4-Dec-11

    NFL 2011 WEEK 13

    Sys1 notes
    1.02 Tennessee @ Buffalo > RD is 91-74 past years, 1-2 ytd, > favors Tennessee
    RD getting 3.0 or less points is 48-34 covering the spread
    1.04 Carolina @ TampaBay > RD is 81-53 past years, 1-1 ytd > favors Carolina
    1.16 Indianapolis @ New England
    RD is 6-0 vs the spread when getting 17.5 or more points
    1.24 StLouis @ SanFrancisco
    RD is 0-6 vs the spread when getting 10.0-14.5 points
    1.25 Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
    RD getting 6.5 pts is 12-5 vs the spread
    1.27 Baltimore @ Cleveland … RD is 95-129 past years, 2-4 ytd > favors Cleveland
    1.29 Green Bay @ NYGiants
    RF giving 6.0 to 7.0 points is 13-29 vs the spread, 1-8 when giving 6.0 points
    1.47 NYJets @ Washington
    RF giving 3.0 or fewer points is 30-47 vs the spread

    Splitter potential scenarios:
    1pm Tennessee and 1pm Oakland [5-8-1], same time, no value
    1pm Indianapolis and 8pm Detroit [9-17-9] > Detroit opposite Indy result
    1pm NYJets and 4pm Dallas [9-21-8] > Dallas opposite NYJets result

    Sys2 notes
    2.12 Baltimore @ Cleveland > HD is 33-20 past, 1-1 ytd > favors Cleveland
    2. 04 Atlanta @ Houston > HF is 11-19 past years, 0-0 ytd > favors Atlanta

    Sys3 notes


    SYS3 plays
    0 ~ none
    1 ~ Tennessee, Cincinnati, Cleveland, NYJets, Carolina, Indianapolis
    2 ~ none

    Added non Sys3 play: SanFrancisco
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