NBA Back to Back to Back ATS Season Thread

[widestrides]

If correct, that helps. My main confusion was that I figured the play would always be AGAINST a team that is playing its 3rd game in 3 nights.

I wouldn't be so keen to play ON a team that is playing its 3rd game in 3 nights, especially if they just played two on the road! And so I guess that's why he highlights and favors the ones where it is the road team that is playing their 3rd game in 3 nights.

But he does say above, "My criteria that I am using is the following: Play on the home team whose 3rd game is the home game." So in that, he says he is playing on the home team on their 3rd game in 3 nights, not on a home team AGAINST a ROAD team on their 3rd game in 3 nights.

[FSU123]

well if that is his criteria then the teams that are in red are no plays because the team that is on their 3rd game in a row are away so therefore only play the teams in black because those are the teams that are at home on their 3rd game in a row..but he also states that he will play against the team away team on its third game in a row so it really doesnt matter who is away or at home the key is to play against the away team idk i think you guys are looking way to far into this its pretty simple the play is always on the home team in a matchup where one of the two teams are playing their 3rd game in a row

[FSU123]

but he also states that he will play against the away team on its third game in a row so it really doesnt matter who is on their 3rd game in a row whether it be the away or home team... idk i think you guys are looking way to far into this its pretty simple the play is always on the home team in a matchup where one of the two teams are playing their 3rd game in a row

[Taxman]

Let me clarify it. FSU you are correct. The play is always the home. I did not look at how the previous 2 games were either home or away, I am only focusing on the 3rd game in 3 nights.

Always play on the home team. If the home team is playing their 3rd game in 3 nights, play on them.

If the team, playing their 3rd game in 3 nights, and the that 3rd game is on the road, play against them. You will take the home team in that scenario no matter what that the team's prior schedule was.

I think that might help. And thanks for working with me to explain this better. As you can tell, my major is not English! LOL

[widestrides]

its pretty simple the play is always on the home team in a matchup where one of the two teams are playing their 3rd game in a row

I got it. Thanks. I just don't understand the logic or rationale if in one case you are playing AGAINST a team on its 3rd game in 3 nights and in the other case, you are playing ON a team on its 3rd game in 3 nights. And hence the red games which are only the ones where it's the Road Teams that is on their 3rd game in 3 nights. And then the additional filter to pass on the "weak" Home Teams like Cleveland, Sacramento and Minnesota.

Thanks. I think we cleared it up.

[Taxman]

The team (HOME TEAM) in BOLD is the play!


back to back to back DATE OPPONENT SU ATS O/U
LOS ANGELES LAKERS 12/27/2011 Utah W W U
HOUSTON 12/31/2011 Atlanta W W U
DENVER 1/2/2012 Milwaukee W W U
SACRAMENTO 1/5/2012 Milwaukee W W O
ATLANTA 01/07/12Sat Chicago W W O
OKLAHOMA CITY 01/08/12Sun San Antonio W W O
MINNESOTA 01/10/12Tue Chicago L L O
CHICAGO 01/11/12Wed Washington W W U (D Rose did not play)
PHILADELPHIA 01/11/12Wed @New York W W U THIS WAS A PLAY AGAINST PHILADELPHIA (ROAD TEAM), PLAY NYK [ATS W]
TORONTO 01/11/12Wed Sacramento L L U
CHARLOTTE 01/14/12Sat Golden State
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 01/18/12Wed Dallas
ORLANDO 01/18/12Wed San Antonio
NEW JERSEY 01/23/12Mon @Chicago
PORTLAND 01/25/12Wed @Golden State
DETROIT 02/01/12Wed @New Jersey
DENVER 02/04/12Sat @Portland
NEW YORK 02/04/12Sat New Jersey
MIAMI 02/14/12Tue @Indiana
UTAH 02/14/12Tue @Oklahoma City
PHOENIX 02/15/12Wed Atlanta
INDIANA 02/16/12Thu New Jersey
PORTLAND 02/16/12Thu L.A. Clippers
NEW JERSEY 02/20/12Mon @New York
NEW ORLEANS 02/22/12Wed @Cleveland
MINNESOTA 03/01/12Thu @Phoenix
DALLAS 03/10/12Sat @Golden State
PHOENIX 03/16/12Fri Detroit
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 03/22/12Thu @New Orleans
INDIANA 03/24/12Sat @Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE 03/24/12Sat Indiana
ATLANTA 03/25/12Sun Utah
SAN ANTONIO 03/25/12Sun Philadelphia
WASHINGTON 03/26/12Mon Detroit
MEMPHIS 04/04/12Wed @Dallas
WASHINGTON 04/06/12Fri @New Jersey
BOSTON 4/15/2012 @ CHARLOTTE
CLEVELAND 04/15/12Sun Orlando
PHILADELPHIA 04/18/12Wed @Cleveland
SAN ANTONIO 04/18/12Wed @Sacramento
DETROIT 04/19/12Thu Minnesota
GOLDEN STATE 04/22/12Sun @Minnesota

[Taxman]

9-2 SU/ATS so far this year.

The team (HOME TEAM) in BOLD is the play!


back to back to back DATE OPPONENT SU ATS O/U
LOS ANGELES LAKERS 12/27/2011 Utah W W U
HOUSTON 12/31/2011 Atlanta W W U
DENVER 1/2/2012 Milwaukee W W U
SACRAMENTO 1/5/2012 Milwaukee W W O
ATLANTA 01/07/12Sat Chicago W W O
OKLAHOMA CITY 01/08/12Sun San Antonio W W O
MINNESOTA 01/10/12Tue Chicago L L O
CHICAGO 01/11/12Wed Washington W W U (D Rose did not play)
PHILADELPHIA 01/11/12Wed @New York W W U THIS WAS A PLAY AGAINST PHILADELPHIA (ROAD TEAM), PLAY NYK [ATS W]
TORONTO 01/11/12Wed Sacramento L L U
CHARLOTTE 01/14/12Sat Golden State W W O
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 01/18/12Wed Dallas
ORLANDO 01/18/12Wed San Antonio
NEW JERSEY 01/23/12Mon @Chicago
PORTLAND 01/25/12Wed @Golden State
DETROIT 02/01/12Wed @New Jersey
DENVER 02/04/12Sat @Portland
NEW YORK 02/04/12Sat New Jersey
MIAMI 02/14/12Tue @Indiana
UTAH 02/14/12Tue @Oklahoma City
PHOENIX 02/15/12Wed Atlanta
INDIANA 02/16/12Thu New Jersey
PORTLAND 02/16/12Thu L.A. Clippers
NEW JERSEY 02/20/12Mon @New York
NEW ORLEANS 02/22/12Wed @Cleveland
MINNESOTA 03/01/12Thu @Phoenix
DALLAS 03/10/12Sat @Golden State
PHOENIX 03/16/12Fri Detroit
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 03/22/12Thu @New Orleans
INDIANA 03/24/12Sat @Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE 03/24/12Sat Indiana
ATLANTA 03/25/12Sun Utah
SAN ANTONIO 03/25/12Sun Philadelphia
WASHINGTON 03/26/12Mon Detroit
MEMPHIS 04/04/12Wed @Dallas
WASHINGTON 04/06/12Fri @New Jersey
BOSTON 4/15/2012 @ CHARLOTTE
CLEVELAND 04/15/12Sun Orlando
PHILADELPHIA 04/18/12Wed @Cleveland
SAN ANTONIO 04/18/12Wed @Sacramento
DETROIT 04/19/12Thu Minnesota
GOLDEN STATE 04/22/12Sun @Minnesota

[garister]

easy win on charlotte as they had a Double Digit lead all game long.

[Taxman]

The plays for today are Orlando and the Clippers. With Paul questionable, I am staying away, unless it is known he will play. I am taking Orlando -5.5

[widestrides]

I may fade those plays as Orlando and the Clippers are the "tired" teams, despite being at home. Even though those home teams started off 6-0, I prefer being consistent with the logic that playing AGAINST a tired team is the better way to go.

Or I'll just wait and only play the Home Teams when it is the Road team that is tired from being on their 3rd game in 3 days.

GL

[widestrides]

Split decision on the "tired" Home Teams last night with Orlando losing and the Clippers winning.

Next play is Monday, Jan. 23 on the Home Team Chicago Bulls vs the "tired" NJ Nets who will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. This one I will go for, but it will probably be Bulls - 10+.

[Taxman]

Tonight's play is on the home team, Chicago. However, please note that the Bulls are beat up. Rose, Noah, Deng, Gibson all have injuries. Line is still not posted as 3/5 of the starters may not play at all.

NEW JERSEY 01/23/12Mon @Chicago

[OCK]

Just saw a line posted, Chicago -13.

[Taxman]

Just saw a line posted, Chicago -13.

Chicago sports radio is stating that Rose is expected to play tonight.

[widestrides]

Bulls covered it by 1.5!

Next up: Play on Golden State -3.5 at home vs the tired Portland Trail Blazers who are on the third in three Wednesday night. Late game.

Home Teams that are on their third game in three nights are 9-3, but 2-2 last 4.

Home Teams playing AGAINST a Road team on their third game in three nights are 2-0.

GL